background preloader

Global Warming's Terrifying New Math

Global Warming's Terrifying New Math
If the pictures of those towering wildfires in Colorado haven't convinced you, or the size of your AC bill this summer, here are some hard numbers about climate change: June broke or tied 3,215 high-temperature records across the United States. That followed the warmest May on record for the Northern Hemisphere – the 327th consecutive month in which the temperature of the entire globe exceeded the 20th-century average, the odds of which occurring by simple chance were 3.7 x 10-99, a number considerably larger than the number of stars in the universe. Meteorologists reported that this spring was the warmest ever recorded for our nation – in fact, it crushed the old record by so much that it represented the "largest temperature departure from average of any season on record." The same week, Saudi authorities reported that it had rained in Mecca despite a temperature of 109 degrees, the hottest downpour in the planet's history. Not that our leaders seemed to notice.

http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/global-warmings-terrifying-new-math-20120719

Related:  Réchauffement climatiqueThe Climate Crisis

Trying to follow what is going on in Syria and why? This comic will get you there in 5 minutes. That warning has become a global alert. Since the uprising against Assad in March 2011, over 240,000 people have been killed, 4 million Syrians have fled their country, and over 7 million have been displaced. The headlines are full of the heartbreaking stories of these refugees — including young children — who have died trying to reach safety in other countries. The story of these refugees is deeply tied to the effects of climate change. "We are experiencing a surprising uptick in global insecurity ... partially due to our inability to manage climate stress."

The Drought’s Alert for Corn FROM where I sit on the north end of America’s grain belt, I can almost hear the corn popping to the south of me. The drought threatens to drive up global corn prices beyond their level in 2007-8, when food demonstrations broke out around the world. But such crises often lead to change — and transformation is what is needed to make our food system less vulnerable.

The Triumph (and Challenge) of Climate Math - Andrew Winston by Andrew Winston | 12:00 PM November 13, 2012 A nerd hasn’t been this popular since, well, ever. Nate Silver, the creator of the election poll statistical hub FiveThirtyEight was declared the clear winner in last week’s election. And on Fox News, election math was at the center of one of the most bizarre on-air moments in memory. The numbers discussion then seeped over from polls to other politically charged topics such as climate change. David Frum, President George W. THE WORLD DREAM BANK: FUTURES: DUBIA, A GREENHOUSE EARTH World Dream Bank home - add a dream - newest - art gallery - sampler - dreams by title, subject, author, date, places, names A portrait of a possible Earth one thousand years from now by Chris Wayan, 2003

Revisiting why incompetents think they’re awesome In 1999 a pair of researchers published a paper called "Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One's Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments (PDF)." David Dunning and Justin Kruger (both at Cornell University's Department of Psychology at the time) conducted a series of four studies showing that, in certain cases, people who are very bad at something think they are actually pretty good. They showed that to assess your own expertise at something, you need to have a certain amount of expertise already.

Carbon bubble According to the UK MP Committee overvaluing companies that produce fossil fuels and greenhouse gases poses a serious threat to the economy. The UK MPs Committee warned British government and Bank of England of the risks of the carbon bubble in 2014.[1] Value[edit] Climate change: A guide for the perplexed - environment - 16 May 2007 Our planet's climate is anything but simple. All kinds of factors influence it, from massive events on the Sun to the growth of microscopic creatures in the oceans, and there are subtle interactions between many of these factors. Yet despite all the complexities, a firm and ever-growing body of evidence points to a clear picture: the world is warming, this warming is due to human activity increasing levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, and if emissions continue unabated the warming will too, with increasingly serious consequences.

Are Financial Blogs Trustworthy? The talking heads say that financial blogs aren’t trustworthy. But the whole debate about blogs versus mainstream media is nonsense. In fact, many of the world’s top PhD economics professors and financial advisors have their own blogs. Obama’s Science Report Card © AFP/Getty Images In the heat of presidential elections, a conscientious electorate hopes that the nation’s most pressing issues bubble to the surface, helping to inform the decision of who is most fit to lead the country for the next 4 years. This time around, jobs, the economy, health care, and foreign policy are taking center stage in the national discussion surrounding the presidential candidates. But with all that is at stake in this election, America’s scientific research cuts across all of these sectors, and the candidates, Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, have voiced different visions for the future of the scientific enterprise. It behooves scientists of all stripes—especially biomedical researchers, whose funding often comes from federal science agencies like the National Institutes of Health (NIH)—and members of the public who value scientific research to consider the candidates’ stances on matters of science policy.

FIFA 13 Tips & Tricks FIFA 13 Dribbling Tips Football journalist and FIFA fan Darren Cross looks at five great dribbling moves that will get you past your marker in FIFA 13. At some stage in a game of FIFA you’re going to need to dribble past an opponent. Whether you prefer a slow passing game, fast counter-attacks or any other style of play, there will be a point when you’ll have to beat a player with a dribble to progress with the attack. You may have the ball on the wing and need to get by a defender to make space for a cross, you could have a final opponent to take on for a free run on goal, or you might need to go around the keeper from a one-on-one. There are loads of situations where being good with the ball at your feet can be the difference between scoring or not, so it’s important to be pretty decent at it and to have a few moves that could give you the edge.

Evidence The Earth's climate has changed throughout history. Just in the last 650,000 years there have been seven cycles of glacial advance and retreat, with the abrupt end of the last ice age about 7,000 years ago marking the beginning of the modern climate era — and of human civilization. Most of these climate changes are attributed to very small variations in Earth’s orbit that change the amount of solar energy our planet receives. Scientific evidence for warming of the climate system is unequivocal. The current warming trend is of particular significance because most of it is very likely human-induced and proceeding at a rate that is unprecedented in the past 1,300 years.1

Related: