INTRODUCTION TO FUTURE STUDIES Dr. Linda Groff & Dr. Paul Smoker Co-Directors, Global Options ***NOTE: Many, but not all, Buttons or Hotlinks below are active. Work is in progress! Introduction/Overview of Topic Brief History of the Future Studies Field Range of Futurist Views and Perspectives Characteristics of a Futurist Perspective Time Periods for Studying the Future Holistic/Systems View of Our Place in the Universe (as Systems within Systems within Systems) Key Subjects Studied by Futurists Methodologies for Studying Change and the Future Steps in Designing an Alternative Future World Key Organizations Involved in the Study of the Future and Change Future Studies Conferences Declarations of Organizations and/or Conferences Related to Future Studies Future Studies Universities and Programs Additional Online Universities, Programs, and Courses Relevant Writing (Abstracts/Outlines, Papers, & Articles) From Global Options (Co-Directors: Dr. See Information below. Journals,Magazines,Newsletters: Organizations: Dr.
Technological singularity The technological singularity (also, simply, the singularity) is the hypothesis that the invention of artificial superintelligence (ASI) will abruptly trigger runaway technological growth, resulting in unfathomable changes to human civilization. According to this hypothesis, an upgradable intelligent agent (such as a computer running software-based artificial general intelligence) would enter a "runaway reaction" of self-improvement cycles, with each new and more intelligent generation appearing more and more rapidly, causing an intelligence explosion and resulting in a powerful superintelligence that would, qualitatively, far surpass all human intelligence. Four polls, conducted in 2012 and 2013, suggested that the median estimate was a 50% chance that artificial general intelligence (AGI) would be developed by 2040–2050. Background Intelligence explosion The intelligence explosion is a possible outcome of humanity building artificial general intelligence (AGI).
Association of Professional Futurists - What Is A Futurist? A professional futurist is a person who studies the future in order to help people understand, anticipate, prepare for and gain advantage from coming changes. It is not the goal of a futurist to predict what will happen in the future. The futurist uses foresight to describe what could happen in the future and, in some cases, what should happen in the future. Most people use some sort of foresight all the time - something as simple as listening to the weather forecast to prepare for the next day. A professional futurist uses formal methods to develop descriptions of possible futures. One of the founding principles of the field of futures studies is the idea of personal and organizational choice. By considering systems and human agency, futurists help identify choices that affect the future, for ourselves and future generations. What do futurists do? Framing Where do you begin? A futurist usually does not set out to describe “The Future.” Scanning There are two types of scanning. Visioning
Kirk McDonald: Sorry, College Grads, I Probably Won't Hire You Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies The Future of Futures Studies Today, the increasing number of futurists, scholars, business planners, and others in the futuring field is a good sign of the usefulness of Futures Studies for humanity, just as Dator wished so 26 years ago (Dator, 1986). Masini (1989) described the future of Futures Studies 23 years ago in this manner: “Global models have lost their appeal, and there is a growing movement toward Futures Studies that are local. … As for methods, strategic planning will become more important in both the public and the private sectors.” Just a decade ago, Bell hoped that the future of Futures Studies was bright, “because it is reasonable to hope that futurists will be able to establish the field in most of the world’s colleges and universities” (Bell, 2002). In his view, a trans-disciplinary matrix for Futures Studies was emerging composed of shared assumptions, values, methods and key concepts. I think that beauty is the lost element in many of our works. Please remember that these are not empty slogans.
Life extension The sale of putative anti-aging products such as nutrition, physical fitness, skin care, hormone replacements, vitamins, supplements and herbs is a lucrative global industry, with the US market generating about $50 billion of revenue each year. Some medical experts state that the use of such products has not been proven to affect the aging process, and many claims of anti-aging medicine advocates have been roundly criticized by medical experts, including the American Medical Association. Public opinion Life extension is a controversial topic due to fear of overpopulation and possible effects on society. Religious people are no more likely to oppose life extension than the unaffiliated, though some variation exists between religious denominations. A Spring 2013 Pew Research poll in the United States found that 38% of Americans would want life extension treatments, and 56% would reject it. Average and maximum lifespans Diets and supplements
About the Millennium Project Purpose: Improve humanity's prospects for building a better future. Mission: Improve thinking about the future and make that thinking available through a variety of media for feedback to accumulate wisdom about the future for better decisions today. Vision: A global foresight network of Nodes, information, and software, building a global collective intelligence system recognized for its ability to improve prospects for humanity. A think tank on behalf of humanity, not on behalf of a government, or an issue, or an ideology, but on behalf of building a better future for all of us. Key Outputs:Global Futures Intelligence SystemAnnual State of the Future reportsFutures Research Methodology 3.0 Special global futures research The Millennium Project was founded in 1996 after a three-year feasibility study with the United Nations University, Smithsonian Institution, Futures Group International, and the American Council for the UNU. The Millennium Project's primary products include: Alan F.
Henry Molaison: the amnesiac we'll never forget | Science | The Observer In 1953, a young man named Henry Gustav Molaison, of Hartford, Connecticut, lost his memory and helped to invent neuroscience. Henry Molaison's amnesia was the result of a highly risky "psychosurgical" procedure, an operation designed to cure the debilitating epilepsy he had suffered since childhood. In an attempt to remove the part of the brain that was causing Henry's fits, two holes were drilled in the front of his skull and a portion of his brain, the front half of the hippocampus on both sides, and most of the almond-shaped amygdala, was sucked out. The procedure, hopeful at best, went badly wrong and Henry, then aged 27, was left with no ability to store or retrieve new experiences. He lived the subsequent 55 years of his life, until his death in 2008, in the permanent present moment. Henry Molaison's tragedy was, however, perhaps also the single most significant advance in understanding the function of memory made in the past century. She offers three, all pointedly emotional.
Finland Futures Research Centre 2015-16 SOF by Jerome C. Glenn, Elizabeth Florescu, and The Millennium Project Team The Global Futures Collective Intelligence System offers the full version of the State of the Future with ongoing updates to the 15 Global Challenges plus access to all The Millennium Project research Individual – US$14.95/month (Purchase on GFIS) Individual – US$99.95/year Government – $850/year* Corporations – $2100/year* Universities, non-profit organization - $400/year * UN other international organizations - $799/year* * includes 10 users; additional users beyond 10 cost $25/year Subcribe here Table of Contents FOREWORD EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 GLOBAL CHALLENGES 15 1. The 2015–16 State of the Future brings together an extraordinarily diverse set of data, information, intelligence, and hopefully some wisdom about the future. The short overviews of the 15 Global Challenges are getting longer and more detailed each year. Jerome C. What are the Prospects for Humanity? List of Figures, Tables, Boxes Box 1.
Transhumanism Transhumanism (abbreviated as H+ or h+) is an international cultural and intellectual movement with an eventual goal of fundamentally transforming the human condition by developing and making widely available technologies to greatly enhance human intellectual, physical, and psychological capacities. Transhumanist thinkers study the potential benefits and dangers of emerging technologies that could overcome fundamental human limitations, as well as the ethics of developing and using such technologies. They speculate that human beings may eventually be able to transform themselves into beings with such greatly expanded abilities as to merit the label "posthuman". History According to Nick Bostrom, transcendentalist impulses have been expressed at least as far back as in the quest for immortality in the Epic of Gilgamesh, as well as historical quests for the Fountain of Youth, Elixir of Life, and other efforts to stave off aging and death. First transhumanist proposals
The War of a Wounded Warrior Wife