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Futures studies

Futures studies
Moore's law is an example of futures studies; it is a statistical collection of past and present trends with the goal of accurately extrapolating future trends. Futures studies (also called futurology and futurism) is the study of postulating possible, probable, and preferable futures and the worldviews and myths that underlie them. There is a debate as to whether this discipline is an art or science. In general, it can be considered as a branch of the social sciences and parallel to the field of history. Overview[edit] Futures studies is an interdisciplinary field, studying yesterday's and today's changes, and aggregating and analyzing both lay and professional strategies and opinions with respect to tomorrow. Foresight may be the oldest term for the field. Three factors usually distinguish futures studies from the research conducted by other disciplines (although all of these disciplines overlap, to differing degrees). Probability and predictability[edit] Methodologies[edit] Related:  Future Studies

INTRODUCTION TO FUTURE STUDIES Dr. Linda Groff & Dr. Paul Smoker Co-Directors, Global Options ***NOTE: Many, but not all, Buttons or Hotlinks below are active. Work is in progress! Introduction/Overview of Topic Brief History of the Future Studies Field Range of Futurist Views and Perspectives Characteristics of a Futurist Perspective Time Periods for Studying the Future Holistic/Systems View of Our Place in the Universe (as Systems within Systems within Systems) Key Subjects Studied by Futurists Methodologies for Studying Change and the Future Steps in Designing an Alternative Future World Key Organizations Involved in the Study of the Future and Change Future Studies Conferences Declarations of Organizations and/or Conferences Related to Future Studies Future Studies Universities and Programs Additional Online Universities, Programs, and Courses Relevant Writing (Abstracts/Outlines, Papers, & Articles) From Global Options (Co-Directors: Dr. See Information below. Journals,Magazines,Newsletters: Organizations: Dr.

Kirk McDonald: Sorry, College Grads, I Probably Won't Hire You Futures techniques Futures techniques used in the multi-disciplinary field of futures studies by futurists in Americas and Australasia, and futurology by futurologists in EU, include a diverse range of forecasting methods, including anticipatory thinking, backcasting, simulation, and visioning. Some of the anticipatory methods include, the delphi method, causal layered analysis, environmental scanning, morphological analysis, and scenario planning. Anticipatory thinking protocols[edit] Delphi method[edit] The Delphi method is a very popular technique used in Futures Studies. It was developed by Gordon and Helmer in 1953 at RAND. It uses the iterative, independent questioning of a panel of experts to assess the timing, probability, significance and implications of factors, trends and events in the relation to the problem being considered. Studies employing Delphi method tend to be difficult to perform. Causal layered analysis (CLA)[edit] Environmental scanning[edit] Morphological analysis[edit] Monitoring[edit]

The Future of Futures Studies Today, the increasing number of futurists, scholars, business planners, and others in the futuring field is a good sign of the usefulness of Futures Studies for humanity, just as Dator wished so 26 years ago (Dator, 1986). Masini (1989) described the future of Futures Studies 23 years ago in this manner: “Global models have lost their appeal, and there is a growing movement toward Futures Studies that are local. … As for methods, strategic planning will become more important in both the public and the private sectors.” Just a decade ago, Bell hoped that the future of Futures Studies was bright, “because it is reasonable to hope that futurists will be able to establish the field in most of the world’s colleges and universities” (Bell, 2002). In his view, a trans-disciplinary matrix for Futures Studies was emerging composed of shared assumptions, values, methods and key concepts. I think that beauty is the lost element in many of our works. Please remember that these are not empty slogans.

Henry Molaison: the amnesiac we'll never forget | Science | The Observer In 1953, a young man named Henry Gustav Molaison, of Hartford, Connecticut, lost his memory and helped to invent neuroscience. Henry Molaison's amnesia was the result of a highly risky "psychosurgical" procedure, an operation designed to cure the debilitating epilepsy he had suffered since childhood. In an attempt to remove the part of the brain that was causing Henry's fits, two holes were drilled in the front of his skull and a portion of his brain, the front half of the hippocampus on both sides, and most of the almond-shaped amygdala, was sucked out. The procedure, hopeful at best, went badly wrong and Henry, then aged 27, was left with no ability to store or retrieve new experiences. He lived the subsequent 55 years of his life, until his death in 2008, in the permanent present moment. Henry Molaison's tragedy was, however, perhaps also the single most significant advance in understanding the function of memory made in the past century. She offers three, all pointedly emotional.

World Futures Studies Federation The World Futures Studies Federation is a global non-governmental organization that was founded in 1973 to promote the development of futures studies as an academic discipline.[1][2] History[edit] The Federation was chartered at the 1973 meeting of the International Futures Research Conference. Past organization president Eleonora Barbieri Masini said in 2005: "The vision of the Federation is just as valid today as it was when the Federation started. It can still perform the role of a modest bridge between people who are concerned with building a humane world Relationship with UNESCO[edit] UNESCO financed the participation of nationals of developing countries in the events organized by the WFSF until the end of the 1990s. Partnerships[edit] References[edit] External links[edit] WFSF official website

2015-16 SOF by Jerome C. Glenn, Elizabeth Florescu, and The Millennium Project Team The Global Futures Collective Intelligence System offers the full version of the State of the Future with ongoing updates to the 15 Global Challenges plus access to all The Millennium Project research Individual – US$14.95/month (Purchase on GFIS) Individual – US$99.95/year Government – $850/year* Corporations – $2100/year* Universities, non-profit organization - $400/year * UN other international organizations - $799/year* * includes 10 users; additional users beyond 10 cost $25/year Subcribe here Table of Contents FOREWORD EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 GLOBAL CHALLENGES 15 1. The 2015–16 State of the Future brings together an extraordinarily diverse set of data, information, intelligence, and hopefully some wisdom about the future. The short overviews of the 15 Global Challenges are getting longer and more detailed each year. Jerome C. What are the Prospects for Humanity? List of Figures, Tables, Boxes Box 1.

The War of a Wounded Warrior Wife MSc Elective Future-Oriented Strategising Fall 2017 - Future Orientation Participate in our MSc Elective on Future-Oriented Strategising. Registration period is May 1st-7th. How can companies actively create superior positions in markets of the future? What helps them to better see, understand, and act upon change? This course introduces you to the core capabilities of strategic foresight. What is future-oriented strategising Today, many organizations are affected by disruptive change. While the 20th century was dominated by companies that were rich in assets and good at managing their core competencies, winning in the 21stcentury will depend the ability of organizations to excel in: Speed in executionCreativity in developing novel value propositionsManaging the complexity of large and changing networks of value creation partners This also led to the need to upgrade organizational processes, become more agile in strategizing and grow more aggressive in business development. Future-oriented strategizing is becoming increasingly relevant for Faculty René Rohrbeck

Don’t Guess, Learn: Rapid Prototyping with Tom Chi [Video] “Doing is the best type of thinking.” – Tom Chi Tom Chi, CPO and head of X at Factory, is largely known for his work creating Google Glass, but arguably one of his largest contributions to the world has been unleashing the rapid prototyping framework and bringing it to organizations large and small. What is rapid prototyping? In Chi’s own words, “Rapid prototyping is the process of finding the fastest path to a direct experience of the thing you’re trying to create.” As a tool, rapid prototyping shifts how teams approach research, design, and development by prioritizing the creation of a high volume of “quick and dirty” prototypes early on, getting those into the hands of users, and then iterating based on direct user feedback and observation. The goal is reframing the learning process to foster education through direct application and testing, or as Chi puts it, “Don’t guess. Video produced by Brent Christo Have you met the seven startups in the SU Labs Accelerator? Alison E.

RSC and Google team up for online Midsummer Night's Dream | Stage Forget putting a "girdle round about the earth in 40 minutes", the Royal Shakespeare Company will present A Midsummer Night's Dream to a global audience over three days via the magic of the internet. The RSC has partnered with Google for the project, called Midsummer Night's Dreaming, in which Shakespeare's fanciful play will unfold in real time. The production will use a number of online formats, from live-streaming to written blogs, all shared through the social network Google+ over the Midsummer weekend, from 21 June. It marks the company's second major foray into online drama, following its Twitter take on Romeo and Juliet, Such Tweet Sorrow, in 2010, which saw actors microblogging in character over the course of five weeks. However, that project, though praised for its intentions, was ridiculed in practice. The Midsummer Night's Dreaming project will reduce the length of engagement required of its audiences, and centre on a day of live events on Sunday 23 June in Stratford-upon-Avon.

Certificates Graduate Certificate in Foresight Courses in the certificate are the same as those offered within the Master's degree in Foresight. Courses are offered online and face-to-face and the student simply takes four core courses. Professional Certificate in Foresight The Foresight certificate program is a 5-day, project-based, face-to-face workshop. Certificates in Retailing and Consumer Science Enhance your skills, extend your current capabilities, and prepare for a job promotion! Certificates in Apparel Merchandising, E-Tailing, Retail Organizations, Retail Promotion, and Technology Entrepreneurship are available.

5 Mind-Boggling Predictions for the Next 25 Years – Live Learn Evolve Bill Gates calls Ray, “the best person I know at predicting the future of artificial intelligence.” Ray is also amazing at predicting a lot more beyond just AI. This post looks at his very incredible predictions for the next 20+ years. So who is Ray Kurzweil? He has received 20 honorary doctorates, has been awarded honors from three U.S. presidents, and has authored 7 books (5 of which have been national bestsellers). He is the principal inventor of many technologies ranging from the first CCD flatbed scanner to the first print-to-speech reading machine for the blind. In short, Ray’s pretty smart… and his predictions are amazing, mind-boggling, and important reminders that we are living in the most exciting time in human history. But, first let’s look back at some of the predictions Ray got right. Predictions Ray has gotten right over the last 25 years In 1990 (twenty-five years ago), he predicted… … that a computer would defeat a world chess champion by 1998. In 1999, he predicted…