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Futures studies

Futures studies
Moore's law is an example of futures studies; it is a statistical collection of past and present trends with the goal of accurately extrapolating future trends. Futures studies (also called futurology and futurism) is the study of postulating possible, probable, and preferable futures and the worldviews and myths that underlie them. There is a debate as to whether this discipline is an art or science. In general, it can be considered as a branch of the social sciences and parallel to the field of history. In the same way that history studies the past, futures studies considers the future. Futures studies (colloquially called "futures" by many of the field's practitioners) seeks to understand what is likely to continue and what could plausibly change. Overview[edit] Futures studies is an interdisciplinary field, studying yesterday's and today's changes, and aggregating and analyzing both lay and professional strategies and opinions with respect to tomorrow. Methodologies[edit]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Futures_studies

Related:  Future Studies

INTRODUCTION TO FUTURE STUDIES Dr. Linda Groff & Dr. Paul Smoker Co-Directors, Global Options Accelerating Future There isn’t enough in the world. Not enough wealth to go around, not enough space in cities, not enough medicine, not enough intelligence or wisdom. Not enough genuine fun or excitement. Not enough knowledge. Behavioral Economics Foils an Obama Tax Cut? The Making Work Pay tax credit, part of President Barack Obama’s 2009 stimulus bill, was one of the least noticed tax cuts of all time. Rather than coming as a check from the government with the sum written on the dotted line, Making Work Pay—a credit of up to $400, or $800 for couples filing jointly—was disbursed in a steady dribble. The middle-class workers who were its target had their paychecks grow slightly for part of 2009 and 2010, as the government withheld less. When asked, many didn’t realize they’d gotten anything.

Association of Professional Futurists - What Is A Futurist? A professional futurist is a person who studies the future in order to help people understand, anticipate, prepare for and gain advantage from coming changes. It is not the goal of a futurist to predict what will happen in the future. The futurist uses foresight to describe what could happen in the future and, in some cases, what should happen in the future. Most people use some sort of foresight all the time - something as simple as listening to the weather forecast to prepare for the next day.

The Future of Futures Studies Today, the increasing number of futurists, scholars, business planners, and others in the futuring field is a good sign of the usefulness of Futures Studies for humanity, just as Dator wished so 26 years ago (Dator, 1986). Masini (1989) described the future of Futures Studies 23 years ago in this manner: “Global models have lost their appeal, and there is a growing movement toward Futures Studies that are local. … As for methods, strategic planning will become more important in both the public and the private sectors.” Just a decade ago, Bell hoped that the future of Futures Studies was bright, “because it is reasonable to hope that futurists will be able to establish the field in most of the world’s colleges and universities” (Bell, 2002). In his view, a trans-disciplinary matrix for Futures Studies was emerging composed of shared assumptions, values, methods and key concepts. I think that beauty is the lost element in many of our works.

2015-16 SOF by Jerome C. Glenn, Elizabeth Florescu, and The Millennium Project Team The Global Futures Collective Intelligence System offers the full version of the State of the Future with ongoing updates to the 15 Global Challenges plus access to all The Millennium Project research Individual – US$14.95/month (Purchase on GFIS) Individual – US$99.95/year Government – $850/year* Corporations – $2100/year* Universities, non-profit organization - $400/year * UN other international organizations - $799/year* * includes 10 users; additional users beyond 10 cost $25/year Subcribe here Table of Contents

Methods of prospective > Softwares > Prospective softwares and toolbox : La prospective Six Problems, Six Tools Although strategic foresight is an intellectual “non-discipline” it nevertheless requires rigor and formalization, which clarify action and lead towards desired futures. The toolbox allows the strategist to ask the right questions and reduce incoherencies and uncertainties. Strategic foresight is an art that requires talents like intuition, unconventional thinking, and common sense. Foresight and Innovation - Methods Long-range foresight is about understanding the situation today, seeking future opportunities, and intelligently creating innovations. It echoes what management guru Peter Drucker described as the one trait he found in successful entrepreneurs, namely a commitment to approach innovation as a "systematic practice." Based on our experience in industry and at different universities, we have developed nine Foresight tools as a systematic practice. With the combination of these tools, we believe you will be able to prepare successfully for the future and answer three fundamental questions: How do I begin looking for future opportunities? How can I create a path to these opportunities that anticipates the inevitable changes along the way?

World Futures Studies Federation World Futures Studies Federation logo The World Futures Studies Federation is a global non-governmental organization that was founded in 1973 to promote the development of futures studies as an academic discipline.[1][2] History[edit] Rising to the challenge of the 21st century: the role of futures research and practice This short essay is adapted from a short piece I wrote during my time as Visiting Senior Research Fellow at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy at the National University of Singapore, for their publication Global-is-Asian. More than ever, futures research is needed to support people’s critical understanding of the challenges we face in the 21st century, and support the development of actionable responses through public policy and social innovation. The field has evolved since the 1950’s through differerent stages, a linear / predicticive modality, systems thinking and the birth of alternative futures, critical futures studies, and participatory and action oriented approaches.

Don’t Guess, Learn: Rapid Prototyping with Tom Chi [Video] “Doing is the best type of thinking.” – Tom Chi Tom Chi, CPO and head of X at Factory, is largely known for his work creating Google Glass, but arguably one of his largest contributions to the world has been unleashing the rapid prototyping framework and bringing it to organizations large and small. What is rapid prototyping? What is Open Foresight We recently introduced the concept of ‘Open Foresight’ as a process we’re developing to analyze complex issues in an open and collaborative way, and to raise the bar on public discourse and forward-focused critical thinking. It’s a work in progress and constantly evolving, but here are some of the basic principles we’ve developed so far.1) What is Open Foresight? In simple terms, open foresight is a process for building visions of the future together. 2) The Big Picture Context If you look around, it’s undeniable that there’s a new global narrative emerging in the way we fundamentally understand ourselves as humanity – how we do business, how we learn, how we generate value together, how we interact.

Welcome, Robot Overlords. Please Don't Fire Us? AND NOW FOR THE BAIT and switch. I promised you this would be a happy story, and in the long run it is. But first we have to get there. And at this point our tale takes a darker turn. What do we do over the next few decades as robots become steadily more capable and steadily begin taking away all our jobs? This is the kind of thing that futurologists write about frequently, but when I started looking for answers from mainstream economists, it turned out there wasn't much to choose from.

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