Evolution of Change: Signs for the Future of Business | Smart Data Collective I like taking the time once in a while to tie different trends together, it just helps me focus on what's really happening now and helps me understand where things might be going. Taken individually there are some very interesting things happening in technology and business but when you link them together a picture starts to emerge that is almost staggering in depth and breadth of change potential. I was reading "The Singularity is Near" by Ray Kurzweil the other day and a point jumped out at me that I think is extremely important when looking at change, whether you agree with Kurzweil's ideas on singularity or not. That concept is that technology growth or the growth of any evolutionary process is exponential, and is not linear or does not simply continue at current growth rates over time. In fact many evolutionary processes see double exponential growth, so in fact the growth of the exponent is exponential. So what are the individual changes or shifts that we are seeing? Big data
Dawn of a New Day « Ray Ozzie To: Executive Staff and direct reports Date: October 28, 2010 From: Ray Ozzie Subject: Dawn of a New Day Five years ago, having only recently arrived at the company, I wrote The Internet Services Disruption in order to kick off a major change management process across the company. In the opening section of that memo, I noted that about every five years our industry experiences what appears to be an inflection point that results in great turbulence and change. In the wake of that memo, the last five years has been a time of great transformation for Microsoft. In the realm of the service-centric ‘seamless OS’ we’re well on the path to having Windows Live serve as an optional yet natural services complement to the Windows and Office software. And in the realm of what I referred to as our ‘services platform’, I couldn’t be more proud of what’s emerged as Windows Azure & SQL Azure. Our products are now more relevant than ever. The past five years have been breathtaking. Complexity kills. Ray
Nieman Journalism Lab - Predictions for Journalism 2011 Smartphone growth, Murdoch’s Daily, and journalism for the poor: Predictions for mobile news in 2011 Editor’s Note: We’re wrapping up 2010 by asking some of the smartest people in journalism what the new year will bring. One of the common threads through many of their predictions was mobile — the impact smartphones and tablets and apps will have on how news is reported, produced, distributed, and consumed. (Not to mention how it’s paid for.) Here are Vivian Schiller, Keith Hopper, Jakob Nielsen, Alexis Madrigal, Michael Andersen, Richard Lee Colvin, Megan McCarthy, David Cohn, and David Fanning on what 2011 will bring for the mobile space. After two decades of saying that “this is the year of mobile,” 2011 really will be the year of mobile. My wild prediction: 2011 will be the year of media initiatives that serve poor and middle-income people. For 20 years, almost all native Internet content has been made for the niche interests — often the professional interests — of people who make more than the median household income of $50,000 or so. 1. 2. 3. For Frontline it is the bright hope.
Technology - Alexis Madrigal - The Jig Is Up: Time to Get Past Facebook and Invent a New Future After five years pursuing the social-local-mobile dream, we need a fresh paradigm for technology startups. Finnish teenagers performing digital ennui in 1996 2006. Reuters. We're there. The future that visionaries imagined in the late 1990s of phones in our pockets and high-speed Internet in the air: Well, we're living in it. "The third generation of data and voice communications -- the convergence of mobile phones and the Internet, high-speed wireless data access, intelligent networks, and pervasive computing -- will shape how we work, shop, pay bills, flirt, keep appointments, conduct wars, keep up with our children, and write poetry in the next century." That's Steve Silberman reporting for Wired in 1999, which was 13 years ago, if you're keeping count. The question is, as it has always been: now what? Decades ago, the answer was, "Build the Internet." What we've seen since have been evolutionary improvements on the patterns established five years ago. That paradigm has run its course.
A Short History of Internet Protocols at CERN Now that the Internet has exploded in popularity on a world wide scale, with a major component of its success (the World Wide Web) being developed at CERN, it seems a good time to look back and trace the history of the Internet at CERN. Even before the Web allowed Internet penetration in the most unexpected places, the presence of the Internet protocols at CERN had already encouraged their adoption not only in many other parts of Europe but also in such influential organizations as the ITU and ISO in Geneva. Another reason for writing this history today is that it is almost exactly ten years ago that CERN named me as its first "TCP/IP Coordinator". Another interesting element, apart from the rapidity of change, is the factor of accident or coincidence, often traceable to a personal event or a meeting of one or two people in critical circumstances. In the Beginning - the 1970's In the beginning was - chaos. It was from around 1984 that the wind began to change.
The Age Of Relevance Editor’s note: This is a guest post submitted by Mahendra Palsule, who has worked as an Editor at Techmeme since 2009. Apart from curating tech news, he likes analyzing trends in startups and the social web. He is based in Pune, India, and you can follow him on Twitter. What’s the Next Big Thing after social networking? This has been a favorite topic of much speculation among tech enthusiasts for many years. The key element of the next big thing is the increasing significance of the Interest Graph to complement the Social Graph. Relevance is the only solution to the problem of information overload. The above matrix is a representation of how the process of online information discovery has evolved over time. Phase I: The Search Dominated Web This is how Google began its dominance over the web two decades ago, using PageRank to surface the most popular web pages as identified by other web pages that linked to them. Phase II: Web 2.0 With Social Bookmarking Phase IV: Personalized Serendipity
Qwiki's iPad Moment Is Coming (TCTV) Ever since Qwiki won the last TechCrunch Disrupt in September, it’s been working on an iPad app. In fact, one of its overexcited developers showed me a peek back then. Well, it’s come along way since then, and Qwiki is currently working on the finishing touches before submitting a real app to the iTunes store sometime in the next few weeks. Qwiki founder and CEO Doug Imbruce dropped by my office today to give me a preview. In many ways, Qwiki was built for the iPad. The iPad app will also have “a very interesting geography feature,” Imbruce hints. And just for fun, let’s see that backstage video from Disrupt of the original iPad prototype.
The Imminent Takeover of Web 3.0? Social media has literally started a revolution when it comes to advertising online or working on website promotion. There are so many affordable search engine optimization companies that can help you develop a killer social media plan that will help you establish ongoing communications with your customers, building your customer base and exploding your profits. The key is to balance out your regular SEO tactics with social media, and have the best of both worlds. The introduction, and seemingly imminent takeover, of social media is being referred to as Web 3.0. at first, Web 2.0 referred to the introduction of blogs, forums and such, which allowed the Internet user to be more present online and be more involved with marketing. Web 3.0 refers to the real time capabilities of people to connect with one another, through instant chat and other methods, which are readily available just about anywhere. Web 3.0 is not on the way, it is already here.
A Little History of the World Wide Web See also How It All Started presentation materials from the W3C 10th Anniversary Celebration and other references. from 1945 to 1995 Vannevar Bush writes an article in Atlantic Monthly about a photo-electrical-mechanical device called a Memex, for memory extension, which could make and follow links between documents on microfiche 1960s Doug Engelbart prototypes an "oNLine System" (NLS) which does hypertext browsing editing, email, and so on. Ted Nelson coins the word Hypertext in A File Structure for the Complex, the Changing, and the Indeterminate. 20th National Conference, New York, Association for Computing Machinery, 1965. Andy van Dam and others build the Hypertext Editing System and FRESS in 1967. While consulting for CERN June-December of 1980, Tim Berners-Lee writes a notebook program, "Enquire-Within-Upon-Everything", which allows links to be made between arbitrary nodes. March "Information Management: A Proposal" written by Tim BL and circulated for comments at CERN (TBL). May April