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Avenir sans Pétrole

Avenir sans Pétrole

http://www.avenir-sans-petrole.org/

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The Peak Oil Crisis: The Beijing Syndrome As the term “China syndrome” has already been taken, I am terming what is happening in the country these days the “Beijing syndrome,” for China’s capital seems to be shaping up as the epicenter of a great upheaval to come. A “syndrome” is a group of symptoms that, when taken together, point to a more serious underlying disease; which, of course, is what we see emerging in the contention between China’s rapid growth and its environment. Thirty-five years ago, after China got over its bout of “cultural revolutions” and “great leaps forward” to become serious about economic growth, numerous reforms were undertaken. China’s leaders obviously got something right, for their economy grew in the vicinity of 10 percent or better for most of the intervening years and became the envy of the world – at least until recently. We all know that economic growth requires the consumption of energy at roughly the same pace as GDP increases, and indeed this is what has happened in China.

The Oil 'Revolution' Story Is Dead Wrong Chris Martenson: Welcome to this Peak Prosperity podcast. I am your host, Chris Martenson, and today, I am really excited to introduce a man who needs no introduction, Richard Heinberg, author, educator, speaker, writer now of eleven books including Party’s Over, the one that got me started on the peak oil story, The End of Growth, and Snake Oil: How Fracking’s False Promise of Plenty Imperils Our Future. Richard Heinberg: Try say that fast five times. Oil Supply and Demand to 2025 Yesterday, we took a look at what 7%ish growth in China's oil demand would do if continued to 2025 - adding about another 15 million barrels/day (mb/d) to global oil demand. Today, let's complete the exercise by looking at the other areas of the world where oil demand is growing rapidly, as well as the trends in supply (all data from BP). We will see that things don't add up

European Union plans to cut Natural-Gas reliance on Russia : Current Events - Peak Oil News and Message Boards And Russia has plans to cut its reliance on EU NG buyers: Arctic Gas Project Backs Political Strategy as Russia Turns to the East Reuters - On the Arctic tundra far to the north of Moscow, Russia is charting a course away from the West and towards Asia. In Yamal a $27 billion LNG scheme is assuming major political as well as economic significance. The project fits well with a more aggressive eastward push by Moscow since the United States and European Union imposed sanctions over its annexation of Crimea from Ukraine last month.

Tight Oil Production Will Fade Quickly: The Truth About Rig Counts U.S tight oil production from shale plays will fall more quickly than most assume. Why? High decline rates from shale reservoirs is given. The more interesting reasons are the compounding effects of pad drilling on rig count and poorer average well performance with time. Historical Energy Consumption Statistics Story: Because of this graph we needed series on domestic primary energy consumption ... it was quick to make a dataset out of it ! Data Sources: World needs to save at least 3 mb/d by 2020 for China to grow. Any volunteers? « Crude Oil Peak This is the 2nd post on the best slides shown at the October 2009 ASPO conference >> PFC Energy presented a graph showing Chinese oil production arriving at a bumpy production plateau in 2008. The profile is typical for the process of peaking. A majority of mature oil fields peaked around 1997 and is now in irreversible decline. Since then, a new group of fields (light blue) has been aggressively produced, which has lead to the current peak. However, this growth has come at a price.

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