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Finance Example Models - Palisade Minimum Edition: @RISK Industrial. A manufacturer of fuel efficient cars believes that demand for this type of cars might increase in the next few years, so it wants to expand its capacity. To finance this, the company plans to divert profits from car sales to a fund for eventual expansion. The model uses RISKOptimizer to find an optimal plan for doing this. Minimum Edition: @RISK Industrial. The first example uses a portfolio model to illustrate the "conditional value at risk" concept from finance, in this case the mean return from a portfolio conditional on the fact that the return is below the 5th percentile of all returns. Minimum Edition: @RISK Industrial. This simulation model follows a sample of 200 customers who each begin a year in a certain credit rating category and with a certain amount of credit exposure. Discounted cash flow (DCF) calculations are a frequent example of the use of @RISK. This is a basic example of financial statement modeling.
Digging Into Buffett's Numbers Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)The concept of Discounted Cash Flow model valuation is straightforward: We discount all future cash flows the company will produce to the present day, add them up, and voila, we have our company valuation. With that, I present The Discounted Cash Flow Equation! DCF = CF0 x SUM[(1 + g)/(1 + r)]n (for x = 0 to n) OK, OK. That's not as pretty as my initial explanation. Buffett's DCF valuationsAs you read that section, I expect some of you were Foolishly thinking, "What kind of cash flows? Don't worry, you turned off the stove. Cash Flows and Growth: Buffett uses "owner earnings," which he defines as: Owner Earnings = Net Income + Depreciation - Capital Expenditures Sound familiar? Obviously, then, it makes sense that the "growth" refers to FCF growth. Expected rate of return: The expected rate of return is the opportunity cost of investing your money -- that is, what you could reasonably expect your money could earn in a risk-free investment. DF = 1 / (1 + r)(n) 1. 2.
Best Web-Based Conferencing Tool: WebEx @oneshot719: Webex is 'free' you can continue to make test accounts with fake / random emails. So judging by this poll, you can do that. I have experience using WebEX and actually using it to get major conferences together between 15-30 people all watching web presentations. It's pretty intuitive, however if you have a LARGE powerpoint file, or a movie / video you want to share, YOU DO WANT TO LOG IN EARLY AND UPLOAD IT. The powerpoint training video we used took 45 minutes to upload before we could 'share' it with everyone by the time they were scheduled to join the meeting. @PixelProphet: ok so if i own my domain i can make accounts for webex such as: webextrial1@lucaspc.com webextrial2@lucaspc.com and so on @oneshot719: You can even use thisone@hotmail.com / thisone2@hotmail.com ect without owning the email address.
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Meaning of Halflife I'd like to illustrate what this really means. If living creatures had halflives the way radioactive atoms do, the world would be a very different place. What do you mean? Suppose there's an alien species with a halflife of, say, 70 years. You randomly pick out 16 baby aliens and track them to see how long they live. After 70 years, of course, 8 of them will still be alive. That doesn't sound so weird. True...but remember that the halflife is always the same, regardless of how old the aliens are. That is kind of strange. It gets stranger. Methuselah isn't going to make it, though. Methuselah has just as much chance of surviving the next 70 years as any one of the 15 babies.