Is the climate consensus 97%, 99.9%, or is plate tectonics a hoax? Four years ago, my colleagues and I published a paper finding a 97% consensus in the peer-reviewed literature on human-caused global warming.
Since then, it’s been the subject of constant myths, misinformation, and denial. In fact, last year we teamed up with the authors of six other consensus papers, showing that with a variety of different approaches, we all found the expert consensus on human-caused global warming is 90–100%. Most of the critiques of our paper claim the consensus is somehow below 97%. For example, in a recent congressional hearing, Lamar Smith (R-TX) claimed we had gone wrong by only considering “a small sample of a small sample” of climate studies, and when estimated his preferred way, it’s less than 1%. But in a paper published last year, James Powell argued that the expert consensus actually higher – well over 99%.
Scientists try to replicate climate denier findings and fail. Does the Ted Cruz in you ever wonder whether global warming really is just a hoax?
Whether skeptics really are the Galileos of our time? Whether climate scientists really do just want to make money? Well, wonder no more. A group of researchers just tried to replicate 38 peer-reviewed studies that support skeptic talking points, and surprise! They ran into some trouble. In a paper published last week in the journal Theoretical and Applied Climatology, the researchers reported a number of problems with the 38 studies, including questionable physics and incomplete data sets. One of the most common problems the researchers encountered was something called “cherry-picking.” Dana Nuccitelli, one of the coauthors of the study, gave an example of such cherry-picking in an article he wrote for the Guardian. Another state bans agency from discussing climate change. This story is reproduced here as part of the Climate Desk collaboration.
The climate change language police just struck again. Last month, it was in Florida, where former staffers with the state’s Department of Environmental Protection alleged that senior officials, under the direction of Gov. Rick Scott (R), had instituted an unwritten ban on using the phrases “climate change” and “global warming.” Scott denied the claim. Facebook. Paris2015 : Genève ne sauvera pas la mise. Nous nous alarmons du décalage grandissant entre ce que le GIEC recommande, ce que les négociations de l’ONU permettent et ce que les gouvernements font.
Les mécanismes techniques toujours plus sophistiqués sont déconnectés de la réalité des dérèglements climatiques et des populations qui en subissent les conséquences. Et ils ne permettent pas de neutraliser les tensions politiques, ni de solutionner la crise climatique. À Lima, les États ont refusé de revoir à la hausse leurs engagements d’ici 2020 comme le préconisent les scientifiques. Au prétexte de la prise en compte des nouveaux (des)équilibres géopolitiques, les pays les plus puissants de la planète essaient de restreindre la portée des principes d’équité et de responsabilités communes mais différenciées.
L’échelon national prime désormais dans la définition des contributions nationale, comme si l’objectif commun visant à rester en deçà des 2 °C de réchauffement global avait été abandonné. The Senate will vote to decide if climate change is real. Senate Majority Leader and honorary fifth ninja turtle Mitch McConnell announced yesterday that he will graciously allow the Senate to vote on climate change.
Specifically: thing or not a thing? Here at Grist, we understand that plenty of things that seem real might not be real (Drake, cake pops), and vice versa (ghosts). Even Australia is joining the climate fight. The prime minister of Australia is called Abbott.
His deputy, Bishop. And together they head a group of ministers who are running an anti-climate campaign with an almost religious fervor. No one sucks on climate change like Australia, mate. Australia has been named the worst-performing industrial country in the world on climate change in a report released at international negotiations in Peru.
The climate change performance index ranked Denmark as the best-performing country in the world, followed by Sweden and Britain. Among the world’s top 10 emitters, Germany was ranked the highest at 22. Australia was second bottom overall, above Saudi Arabia — which was not classified as industrial. The report states: “The new conservative Australian government has apparently made good on last year’s announcement and reversed the climate policies previously in effect.
As a result, the country lost a further 21 positions in the policy evaluation compared to last year, thus replacing Canada as the worst-performing industrial country.” China, the world’s biggest emitter, was in 45th spot — one below the U.S., which is the world’s second largest emitter of greenhouse gases that cause climate change. In the ski business, there are no climate deniers. Snow sport season may be officially upon us, but don’t get too excited yet.
Some of California’s most beloved ski runs are looking pretty brown, making opening days a little less celebratory and a lot more troubling for skiers and snowboarders hoping to hit the slopes across the Golden State. According to research from the University of California, Berkeley’s Central Sierra Snow Lab near Lake Tahoe, last year’s snow pack was the second lowest it’s been in a whopping 90 years, topping just 52 inches.
Yes, we can beat climate change — but it will take massive international government coordination. One of my recurring obsessions over the years has been the enormous difference between reducing carbon emissions and reducing carbon emissions enough.
There are thousands of ways to reduce emissions relative to a business-as-usual baseline, many of which are relatively painless. But reducing emissions enough to limit temperature rise to 2 degrees Celsius — the agreed-upon international target — is another matter entirely. Plenty of policies and strategies can achieve the former but not the latter. It’s troubling how often this distinction is elided, especially in politics, where people talk as though reducing emissions at all, or even growing emissions more slowly, is a sign of success on climate change. That’s why, to my mind, some of the most important work in the world is being done at the Deep Decarbonization Pathway Project (DDPP). First and most importantly, the team at DDPP believes that meeting the 2C target is possible. Climat: les lenteurs et contradictions de la politique américaine - Page 2.
China to limit carbon emissions for first time, climate adviser claims. China, the world's biggest greenhouse gas emitter, will limit its total emissions for the first time by the end of this decade, according to a top government advisor.
He Jiankun, chairman of China's Advisory Committee on Climate Change, told a conference in Beijing on Tuesday that an absolute cap on carbon emissions will be introduced. "The government will use two ways to control CO2 emissions in the next five-year plan, by intensity and an absolute cap," Reuters reported He as saying. Though not a government official, He is a high level advisor. However, Jiankun later in the day appear to row back on the comments. "What I said today was my personal view. While environmentalists broadly welcomed his initial remarks, they cautioned that it was far from clear at what level the cap would be set and said it needed to be enforceable. China's emissions have risen dramatically in the last two decades, overtaking those from the US – the previous biggest producer – in 2006.
Climat: l'âge de la pénombre. Preventing climate change and adapting to it are not morally equivalent. Climate hawks are familiar with the framing of climate policy credited to White House science advisor John Holdren, to wit: We will respond to climate change with some mix of mitigation, adaptation, and suffering; all that remains to be determined is the mix. It’s a powerful bit of language.
It makes clear that not acting is itself a choice — a choice in favor of suffering. But in another way, Holdren’s formulation obscures an important difference between mitigation (reducing greenhouse gas emissions to prevent climate effects) and adaptation (changing infrastructure and institutions to cope with climate effects). It makes them sound fungible, as though a unit of either can be traded in for an equivalent unit of suffering.
That’s misleading. Carbon is global, adaptation is local With every ton of carbon we emit, we add incrementally to the total concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. Don't Even Think about It: Why Our Brains Are Wired to Ignore Climate Change by George Marshall. Ships in 1 to 3 days by George Marshall Synopses & Reviews. La majorité des Français estime que le réchauffement climatique aura un impact sur leur vie. Le Monde.fr | • Mis à jour le | Par Laurence Caramel Une large majorité de français — 76% — considère qu'il existe un lien entre les violentes tempêtes qui ont récemment frappé l'Hexagone et le changement climatique, selon un sondage réalisé par l'IFOP entre le 14 février et le 17 février, auprès d'un échantillon représentatif de 990 personnes.
Climate change sceptics are 'headless chickens', says Prince Charles. The Prince of Wales has launched an attack on climate change sceptics, describing them as the "headless chicken brigade" and accusing "powerful groups of deniers" of engaging in intimidation. Charles, who has long campaigned to raise awareness of global warming and has hit out at sceptics in the past, unleashed his latest salvo during an awards ceremony at Buckingham Palace for green entrepreneurs. "It is baffling, I must say, that in our modern world we have such blind trust in science and technology that we all accept what science tells us about everything - until, that is, it comes to climate science," the prince said in a speech on Thursday evening. "All of a sudden, and with a barrage of sheer intimidation, we are told by powerful groups of deniers that the scientists are wrong and we must abandon all our faith in so much overwhelming scientific evidence.
This chart makes it painfully obvious that climate deniers are ridiculous. Suriname MP urges adoption of environment law drafted by citizens' group. A house flooded by heavy downpours that inundated parts of Suriname earlier this year. TRF/Marvin Hokstam PARAMARIBO, Suriname (Thomson Reuters Foundation) – A wide-ranging environmental law drafted by a group of concerned citizens in Suriname has been welcomed by a member of the tiny South American country’s parliament. It's Time to Stop Portraying Climate Change as a 'Debate' The science forum on reddit, the self-described “front page of the Internet,” is now a climate change denial-free zone — which means it’s now a paradise. OK, that might be overstating things. But the atmosphere of the science subreddit has improved remarkably since the moderators started cracking down.
According to one of the forum’s moderators, nothing — not evolution, not vaccines — drew the kind of vitriol and ill-informed soliloquies as climate change: Some issues, however, are particularly contentious. Faux Pause 2: Warmest November On Record, Reports NASA, As New Studies Confirm Warming Trend. By Joe Romm "Faux Pause 2: Warmest November On Record, Reports NASA, As New Studies Confirm Warming Trend" Last month saw the hottest global November surface temperature on record, according to the latest data from NASA.
Earth’s surface temperature in °C for each November since 1880 (compared to base period, 1951-1980). As Keystone ruling nears, Canada short on time for climate plan. Climato-scepticisme et complotisme font bon ménage - Page 2. Que le lobbying de l'industrie fossile soit empêché dans les négociations climat ! Denial dries up: Americans finally seeing the light on climate change. No, global warming isn’t caused by solar flares or cosmic rays. The futility of “just the facts” climate science. My last post was about the evolution of conservative identity politics over the past 40 or 50 years, which made hostility to climate science more or less inevitable, regardless of how climate scientists chose to communicate their findings. The Godzilla In The Room: Climate Change. By Marcia Yerman The use of comedy and satire to inform and challenge has a long tradition.
Ag Secretary Refuses To Link Drought and Climate Change. The Midwest and South are going through one of the worst droughts in U.S. history. The statistics Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack cited about the damage the drought is doing to crops on July 18 during a press briefing are quite staggering. The climate change deniers have won. By Nick Cohen, The ObserverSaturday, March 22, 2014 14:27 EDT Scientists continue to warn us about global warming, but most of us have a vested interest in not wanting to think about it. Former Republican EPA chiefs back Obama on climate change. GOP to Obama on Keystone: Don’t think about climate. Many Americans are worried that if the Keystone XL pipeline is built, even more sludgy bits of what used to be Canada will end up going up in smoke and heating up the planet.
Dems plan to talk about climate action during August, Republican deniers plan to talk nonsense. Like father, like daughter: Climate denier Liz Cheney to run for Senate in Wyoming. Climate Change Denying Congressman to Head Subcommittee on Climate Change. October 21, 2012 - Stop CNN from Greenwashing Fossil Fuels, and Media Bias Worsening Extreme #Sandy Type Weather. Conservatives seek alternatives to climate denialism, come up short. A Republican calls for climate action — and has to remain anonymous to keep job. Can climate science be rendered conservative-friendly? Google hosts fundraiser for climate-denying Sen. Jim Inhofe. Google is supporting climate change deniers. Statement from Campaign Director Brant Olson on Google Dropping ALEC. Interdira-t-on les prévisions climatiques.
En Caroline du nord, des élus veulent supprimer les prévisions climatiques - L'histoire du jour - Monde. AUDIO: Why Oklahoma Lawmakers Don't Want Kids To Learn About Climate. NC Ignores Science, Tries To Make Sea Level Rise Illegal. Help Melt Climate Denial in DC! Tar Heel Lawmakers Put Global Warming on Hold! (or, a Rising Tide Lifts No Votes) North Carolina's Outer Banks 'Ban' Rising Seas.