background preloader


Facebook Twitter

CAGW failed ‘Predictions’ By Rud Istvan, My last ruminating climate guest post compared ‘big’ climate science issues to ‘weeds’.

CAGW failed ‘Predictions’

This is a follow on big picture post, from a different perspective, albeit partly overlapping the first. (First perspective was basic science claims, this is resulting predictions.) I am tired of whack-a-mole minutia, and think that detailed rebuttals to garbage climate alarm papers no longer matter in our politicized ‘GND’ environment. This post incorporates by reference (not by links [lazy me], just by key WUWT search words or other occasional generic mentions) many previous WUWT guest posts plus other writings that relative newbies can review for your selves.

Since the Charney and Hanson 1988 climate alarm proceedings, there have been many dire climate prognostications. Temperatures have recently suddenly risen. There are also a lot of unworkable ‘Green New Deal solutions’ to this non-problem. Renewables sort into wind and solar (either PV or concentrated). Model Predictions, Projections and Observations.

Predictions by Decade

Tipping Points. Predictions: Doomsday Timelines. Failed Predictions. Predictions: Climategeddon. Predictions: Sea Level. Predictions: Poles Melting. Predictions: Droughts amd Extreme Heat. Predictions about Pestilence. Predictions about Fires. Predictions: Human Behavior and Events. Predictions: Worse Hurricanes. Predictions: Doomed Agriculture. Predictions: End of Snow. Predictions: Rain. Predictions: Animals and Ecosystems. Predictions: Volcanic Eruptions and Earthquakes.

Predictions: New Mini Ice Age or Global Cooling

Predictions: The End of Clouds / More Clouds. Predictions: Methane. Predictions: Getting Silly. Predictions: UK and Europe. Predictions - Prince Charles. Hansen Predictions: 30 Years Later. Earth Day. The Climate Decade that Was: Failed Predictions, Tour De Paris, and the Gretas. By Vijay Jayaraj As we step into a new decade, here’s a look at the climate drama that just ended.

The Climate Decade that Was: Failed Predictions, Tour De Paris, and the Gretas

The 2010s were dominated by the failure of doomsday prophecies, the adoption of a fantasy climate agreement, unexpected weather trends, and the beginning of the climate emergency cult movement that reminded many of the overpopulation hype of the 1970s and 1980s.Al Gore Prophecies Al Gore’s legacy of lies continued to spill into the second decade of this century. Contrary to his predictions in the famous climate documentary An Inconvenient Truth, polar bear populations increased, the Arctic and Antarctic remained relatively unaffected, and no major coastal economy was threatened by rising sea levels.

Gore would have had nightmares when the Canadian authorities in 2019 pondered culling polar bears because of their excess numbers caused trouble for residents in Nunavut. No Snow Australia. Two more degrees by 2100! By Vaughan Pratt An alternative perspective on 3 degrees C?

Two more degrees by 2100!

This post was originally intended as a short comment questioning certain aspects of the methodology in JC’s post of December 23, “3 degrees C?”. But every methodology is bound to have shortcomings, raising the possibility that Judith’s methodology might nevertheless be best possible, those shortcomings notwithstanding. I was finding my arguments for a better methodology getting too long for a mere comment, whence this post. (But if actual code is more to your fancy than long-winded natural language explanations, Figures 1 and 2a can be plotted with only 31 MATLAB commands .)

72 Terrible Things Global Warming Will Apparently Cause. Published on January 29, 2020 Written by Tom Elliott As everyone knows global warming will kill us all in as little as 12, 11, 10 years.

72 Terrible Things Global Warming Will Apparently Cause

But it’s actually way worse than that. Global warming — caused of course by corporate greed/gas guzzling SUVs/supersized hamburgers/greedy, fat, stupid Americans, etc. — is being predicted to cause all manner of disaster. Scientists eager to terrify people into taking them seriously have over the last several decades made a series of frightful predictions. A Complete List Of Things Caused By Climate Change. A complete list of things caused by global warming Apologies for a temporary delay in updating the dead link list Advice of any omissions (with sources) or broken links is welcome at

A Complete List Of Things Caused By Climate Change

List of dates predicted for apocalyptic events. Wikipedia list article Predictions of apocalyptic events that would result in the extinction of humanity, a collapse of civilization, or the destruction of the planet have been made since at least the beginning of the Common Era.[1] Most predictions are related to Abrahamic religions, often standing for or similar to the eschatological events described in their scriptures.

List of dates predicted for apocalyptic events

Christian predictions typically refer to events like the rapture, the Great Tribulation, the Last Judgment, and the Second Coming of Christ. Polls conducted in 2012 across 20 countries found over 14% of people believe the world will end in their lifetime, with percentages ranging from 6% of people in France to 22% in the US and Turkey. The “climate doom” timeline. Have you ever wanted a nice, compact image you could share on social media whenever you need to put some eco-worrier in his/her/its place?

The “climate doom” timeline

Well, one showed up in my social media timeline this morning, and it is worth sharing. Like this: A prediction that came true. In 1994 American meteorologists John Christy and Richard McNider took the 15 years of satellite data then available and measured the rate of warming in the lower “troposphere”, the region of the atmosphere between the Earth’s surface and about 10 km up.

A prediction that came true

Climate models say the troposphere should be warming there faster than the surface if greenhouse gases are to blame. But Christy and McNider found the troposphere was only warming 0.09 degrees C per decade, less than 1˚ C per century and much less than models were predicting. Choosing empirical evidence over conjecture, they said it would probably continue to warm at that rate in the future. So nearly a quarter century later, in 2017, they repeated the measurement, with more than twice as much data to work with, and found the warming trend essentially unchanged at 0.096 degrees C per decade, about half what the average IPCC climate model estimates.

Robust Science! More Than 30 Contradictory Pairs Of Peer-Reviewed Papers. “Our Common Future” Revisited–how did the roadmap for the green juggernaut fare over 30 years? Ross McKitrick: All those warming-climate predictions suddenly have a big, new problem. One of the most important numbers in the world goes by the catchy title of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity, or ECS.

Ross McKitrick: All those warming-climate predictions suddenly have a big, new problem

It is a measure of how much the climate responds to greenhouse gases. More formally, it is defined as the increase, in degrees Celsius, of average temperatures around the world, after doubling the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and allowing the atmosphere and the oceans to adjust fully to the change. Climate Science Comes Up Short — Quadrant Online. People unwilling to act on the climate-crisis narrative should be assisted with drugs that improve and promote conformity, according to eminent bio-ethicist Professor Matthew Liao, of New York University, who also wants to see parents dosing their children with hormones and diets to keep them shorter and less of a burden on the planet.

Climate Science Comes Up Short — Quadrant Online

He wants such people to be given the ‘love drug/cuddle chemical’ oxytocin. This would increase their trust and empathy and make them more ready to change to emission-saving lifestyles. As his peer-reviewed study puts it, “Pharmacologically induced altruism and empathy could increase the likelihood that we adopt the necessary behavioral and market solutions for curbing climate change.” He emphasises there would be no coercion. The drugs would merely help those who want to be climate-friendly behaviour but lack the willpower. Read about the world of 2030 and see hidden truths - Fabius Maximus website. Summary: Read the shocking news in this warning from global experts about our future climate! We can learn much from this report, but not what they intended. “Climate Futures: responses to climate change in 2030“ By Forum for the Future, October 2008. Ignoring science to convince the public that we’re doomed by climate change - Fabius Maximus website. Summary: The news has become stranger since the climate policy debate has decoupled from the IPCC.

Ludicrous claims of certain doom and nightmarish futures splash across the headlines, seldom with rebuttals (climate scientists are complicit in their silence). This one-sided flow of “news” will shape public opinion slowly but surely, creating support for bold measures by President Clinton. Activists are panicking the public for political gain. “I think looking at grief is quite appropriate, as I believe we are facing human extinction” — Comment by a reader on the FM website. Study: Global Warming Could Resurrect the Ice Age Indian Ocean El-Nino. Guest essay by Eric Worrall Global warming models have predicted the emergence of an Indian Ocean version of the Pacific El-Nino / La-Nina cycle. Paleo climate research suggests this was active during the last ice age.

MAY 6, 2020Climate change could reawaken Indian Ocean El Ninoby University of Texas at AustinGlobal warming is approaching a tipping point that during this century could reawaken an ancient climate pattern similar to El Niño in the Indian Ocean, new research led by scientists from The University of Texas at Austin has found. Another Doomsday Climate Prediction Gets Postponed …Effect On Gulf Stream “Smaller Than Expected” - Principia Scientific International. Published on Written by P Gosselin Germany’s Geomar Research Center recently published a press release (see below) concerning the latest on the Gulf Stream.

Some leading scientists have claimed that melting Greenland glaciers due to “man-made global warming” will lead to a disruption of the Gulf Stream and cause the North Atlantic region’s climate to change dramatically. However, the latest computer simulations show this scenario may be delayed. National Geographic’s Warming Warning – 10 Years Later. Geoff Sherrington writes: National Geographic Magazine had a Global Warming issue in September 2004. New instruments have given new data. By planning now, NatGeo can make a revised issue 10 years later, in September 2014. The 2014 edition should aim to correct what is now known to be wrong or questionable in the 2004 edition. We can help. Here are some quotes that need attention. 1. 2. “… researchers believe that most central and eastern Himalayan glaciers could virtually disappear by 2035.”

Checking up on past forecasts about climate change, a guide to the future. US To Warm Faster Than The Rest Of The World. STUDY: UN Climate Model Predictions Are ‘Inconsistent’ With Real Temperature Trends. 3:00 PM 04/24/2018 | Energy Michael Bastasch | Energy Editor. Deaths from Heat Waves to Increase 2000%: “It Will Be Awful” This story is from Sputnik and is presented with a straight face: It Will Be Awful:’ Global Warming Could Soon Increase Heat Wave Deaths 2,000% Excerpts below in italics with my bolds and some references for context.

Remember when peat bogs were going to release deadly carbon? Never mind. Fake Climate Models – Fake Science – Fake Scientists. Study: we’re going to miss (and overshoot) the 2°C warming target. Demise of the Great Lakes. Perth plan to become ghost town delayed, with average rain and dams highest in 8 years. South West WA and Perth have been the Australian posterchild for Water-Panic for years. We were destined to be an abandoned ghost town with worthless property: Perth is set to become the world’s first ‘Ghost City’ according to a long-term weather forecaster and a news anchor. “I’m reading here that unless drastic action is taken, Perth could become the world’s first ghost city – a modern metropolis abandoned by the 1.7 million people there for lack of water,” she said. Eleven Years Since The New York Times Announced “The Endless Summer” Eleven years ago, the New York Times told us winter is a thing of the past, Polar Bears are dying, and sea ice is shrinking.

The Deplorable Climate Science Blog. Burn more oil and feed the world. Tim Flannery in 2007: after a two month crash course in climate change, the man was a prophet. Climate predictions in 1974 – Famous glaciologists predicted the world going colder from 1974 until 2010. Claim: Fall foliage season may be later, but longer on a warmer Earth. Claim: Climate Change will make Californian Marijuana more potent. Claim: Climate Change will disrupt the Panama Canal. Oh, please: ‘Weather whiplash’ triggered by changing climate will degrade Midwest’s drinking water. The UN “disappears” 50 million climate refugees, then botches the disappearing attempt. “In Searching For A New Enemy To Unite Us, We Came Up With The Threat Of Global Warming” Experts : Maldives To Drown in 12 Months.

Melbourne Sustainable Society Institute. Environment Canada : Eight Degrees Warming By 2050. Flannery sticks by 'ghost' city. Audubon Society: Climate Science or just Sticking Feathers on PIGs? Oh noes! Models say that climate change, ENSO, and beach sand heat will kill sea turtles. Nobel Prize Winners Predicted It All Along. Latest Climate Crisis: Slightly Less Mild Weather by 2065. Summer Shaping Up To Be A Disaster For Climate Experts - Principia Scientific International. Prophets of doom in high places - Principia Scientific International. Florida based Veritence Corporation’s Two Major Climate Predictions Come to Pass - Principia Scientific International.