Unwelcome sea change: new research finds coastal flooding may cost up to 20% of global economy by 2100. Ebru Kirezci, University of Melbourne and Ian Young, University of Melbourne Over the past two weeks, storms pummelling the New South Wales coast have left beachfront homes at Wamberal on the verge of collapse.
It’s stark proof of the risks climate change and sea level rise pose to coastal areas. Our new research published today puts a potential price on the future destruction. Coastal land affected by flooding – including high tides and extreme seas – could increase by 48% by 2100. Climate Central – 150 Million People To Drown. Climate Central says all of the region around Bangkok is going to drown by the year 2050, wiping out the homes of 150 million people.
And they are having a seminar next week to release their findings. Then they go on and try to make it sound like they are doing some actual science. These findings are based on CoastalDEM, a new digital elevation model that uses machine learning methods to correct for systematic errors in the principal elevation dataset previously used for international assessment of coastal flood risks, NASA’s Shuttle Radar Topography Mission. Flooded Future: Assessing the Implications of New Elevation Data for Coastal Communities | Wilson Center Now let’s look at what is actually going on. NOAA has two tide gauges in Thailand. 1 Meter of Sea Level Rise Now “Inevitable”… Eventually. Guest yawn by David Middleton When I first read this, I was all set to ridicule it mercilessly… until I noticed the timeline… INHERIT THE WATER —It keeps going: 1 meter sea-level rise by 2300 is now inevitableAnalyzing a longer timeline, even if we ceased emissions in 2030.SCOTT K.
JOHNSON – 11/7/2019Climate change is often discussed in reference to where things will be in 2100, but the story obviously doesn’t end that year. Sea-level rise in particular has an impressive amount of inertia, and a very long time will pass before it has played out fully. Vast Swathes Of UK To Be Underwater In 80 Yrs Time–Daily Mirror. By Paul Homewood The Daily Mirror goes to new lengths of absurdity: A chilling new map has revealed how parts of the UK will be left underwater in a matter of decades as climate change causes sea levels to rise.
“Scientists” Predict Amazon’s HQ2 Site in Long Island City, NY to Be Flooded by Sea Level Rise by 2020 or 2030 or 2050 or 2100!!! Guest basic geology by David Middleton 2020, 2030, 2050, 2100… Whatever… It will flood… Climate Central assures us it will flood.
Amazon’s HQ2 site in Long Island City, Queens could be flooded in the next 30 years. Here’s what scientists predict for the headquarters.Aria Bendix Nov. 14, 2018Scientists have long warned that New York City is at risk of chronic flooding. Due to its dense population and coastal location, the city has more residents living in high-risk flood zones than any other city in the US.That’s bad news for Amazon, which recently opted to locate half of its second headquarters in Long Island City, Queens. The company intends to build a 4 million to 8 million square-foot development directly along the flood zone in Long Island City. “Based on Climate Central data, that new development could be partially underwater by 2050…” “The waterfront sites have a base flood elevation of 12 feet.
The nearest NOAA tide gauge station is at The Battery. Figure 1. Figure 2. Figure 2. Model Madness: Antarctica’s Effect on Sea Level Rise in Coming Centuries. From NASA JPL: There are two primary causes of global mean sea level rise – added water from melting ice sheets and glaciers, and the expansion of sea water as it warms.
The melting of Antarctica’s ice sheet is currently responsible for 20-25% of global sea level rise. But how much of a role will it play hundreds of years in the future? Scientists rely on precise numerical models to answer questions like this one. Sea level rise will likely prompt migration in Bangladesh. During the monsoon season, it can be pretty common in some parts of Bangladesh to see people living in flooded houses.
Stagnant water reaches their waists for periods of time. With changes in sea level, these scenarios have worsened—the duration in which land is flooded becoming less temporary than was before. A natural question to us was “Why are people not leaving these places for good?” While qualitative accounts depict exoduses from major floods, we, and other colleagues, tend to find Bangladeshis stay in place. Rising Seas Will Swamp Homes, Says Harrabin. By Paul Homewood More overhyped nonsense from Roger Harrabin: England’s coastal communities haven’t faced up to the reality of rising seas through climate change, a report says.
Sea Level to Rise 50 Feet by 2300… Oh noes!!! Guest commentary by David Middleton Global Sea Level Could Rise 50 Feet by 2300, Study SaysCharacterizing what’s known and what’s uncertain is key to managing coastal riskOctober 6, 2018Global average sea-level could rise by nearly 8 feet by 2100 and 50 feet by 2300 if greenhouse gas emissions remain high and humanity proves unlucky, according to a review of sea-level change and projections by Rutgers and other scientists.Since the start of the century, global average sea-level has risen by about 0.2 feet.
Under moderate emissions, central estimates of global average sea-level from different analyses range from 1.4 to 2.8 more feet by 2100, 2.8 to 5.4 more feet by 2150 and 6 to 14 feet by 2300, according to the study, published in Annual Review of Environment and Resources.[…]Rutgers Today “Global average sea-level could rise by nearly 8 feet by 2100 and 50 feet by 2300 if greenhouse gas emissions remain high and humanity proves unlucky…” No fracking way!
FAIL: 30 year old climate prediction proves to be a load of bunkum. Claim: Changing Antarctic waters could trigger steep rise in sea levels. Claim: Climate Threatens the Statue of Liberty. Honolulu Mayor Issues Directive to Prevent Sea Level Rise… Because Ignorance. Claim: Sea Level Rise will Kill the Internet in Fifteen Years. BC Green Party Leader Predicts Sixteen Feet Of Sea Level Rise. Andrew Weaver, the head of the British Columbia Green Party and lead IPCC author, predicts sixteen feet of sea level rise. 22 Mar 2009, Page 18 – The Times at Newspapers.com.
New Video : “Is Manhattan Going To Drown Due To Global Warming” New York Post : Falling Sea Level Threatens Astronauts. National Science Foundation : Sea Level To Rise 70 Feet. The National Science Foundation predicts 70 feet of sea level rise. Global Sea Level Likely to Rise as Much as 70 Feet in Future Generations | NSF – National Science Foundation This is a big improvement from sixty years ago, when scientists predicted 300 feet of sea level rise. 21 Dec 1953, Page 14 – Arizona Republic at Newspapers.com Meanwhile, the Greenland Ice Sheet continues to gain ice at a near record level.
Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget: DMI And the Antarctic Ice Sheet continues to gain ice. St. Andrews Golf Course Doomed by Global Warming. Posted by John Goetz Speculation abounds that the St Andrews golf course in Scotland will disappear by mid-century – a scant 42 years from now – due to global warming. From theherald.co.uk. The world’s most famous golf course could crumble into the North Sea by the middle of this century, according to a climate change expert.Professor Jan Bebbington, director of the St Andrews Sustainability Institute, visualises a town where locals remember with sorrow the last Open played on the Old Course, the home of golf.She also foresees that Scotland will be a nation of car-sharing vegetarians and the declining population due to emigration will be offset by the allocation of 580,000 “climate change refugees”.
The Deplorable Climate Science Blog. Fake USGS Scientists Predict Two Meters Of Sea Level Rise. Threatened by an end to global warming scam money, government scientists turn the volume of their BS up to eleven – predicting two meters of Southern California sea level rise by the year 2100. Disappearing Beaches: Modeling Shoreline Change in Southern California Sea level in Southern California is about the same as it was in 1871. 1871 Present At low tide, the La Jolla Cove beach looks like this. It will require about 1,000 years for Southern California sea level to rise two meters, most of which is due to land subsidence rather than rising seas. Thanks El Niño, But California’s Drought Is Probably Forever. Drought is a tricky thing to define. It is not just a matter of how little water falls out of the sky. If it were, you would be forgiven for believing that California’s wettish winter had ended, or even alleviated, the worst drought in state history.
But no. Despite the snow in the Sierra Nevada, the water filling Lake Shasta, and the rapids in the Kern River, California is still in a state of drought. For now, maybe forever. Even the governor thinks so. The most impactful part of Brown’s order requires that cities submit monthly water use, conservation, and enforcement reports to state officials. However, at the same meeting officials from the State Water Resources Control Board—California’s water police—indicated that cities would no longer be required to meet strict efficiency goals that the governor ordered last year. A little known 20 40 year old climate change prediction by Dr. James Hansen – that failed will likely fail badly.
UPDATE: Thanks to a tip from Willis Eschenbach, there’s some developing news in that story from Dr. James Hansen. The Salon interviewee and book author, Rob Reiss that I quoted, now admits he somehow conflated 40 years with 20 years, and concedes that Dr. Hansen actually said 40 years for his prediction. However, as the newest analysis shows, it doesn’t make any difference, and we still aren’t seeing the magnitude of sea level rise predicted, now 23 years into it. See the relevant excerpt below: Michaels also has the facts wrong about a 1988 interview of me by Bob Reiss, in which Reiss asked me to speculate on changes that might happen in New York City in 40 years assuming CO2 doubled in amount. Source: this update on Dr.
In my story, below, I quoted from Reiss here in the Salon interview. So I’m happy to make the correction for Dr. Per Dr. How’s that going? Here’s the PSMSL page. The Deplorable Climate Science Blog. New Alarmist Paper Predicts Two Feet Sea Level Rise By 2100. Scientists say “only a few millimetres sea level rise” if Antarctic ice shelf collapses.
Sea Level Rise Rate Along Coast So Far Only About One Seventh Of IPCC Alarmist Projections! The time in running out for the purveyors of the “rapidly accelerating sea level rise” scare story. Especially IPCC alarmist scientists like spreading scare stories about sea level rise, and how it’s accelerating. So far global CO2 emissions have in fact continued to climb at a rate that is defined as the “business as usual” emissions scenario RCP8.5, which means a sea level rise of up to 97 cm by 2100, according to the most recent IPCC projections: IPCC AR5 sea level rise for 4 different emissions scenarios. So far CO2 emissions have been on the worst case path. Could even be 90 by 2060! Flashback 1978: Scientist Predicts 10°C Warming, 5 Meter Sea Level Rise, 660 ppm CO2…By 2028!
Experts pour cold water on catastrophic sea level hype.