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How to overcome overconfidence bias — Quartz at Work. You’re reading a Quartz member-exclusive story, available to all readers for a limited time.
To unlock access to all of Quartz become a member. In the early 2000s, a wave of overconfidence spread through the US housing market and the global financial industry. Home buyers were confident that prices would increase, investors were confident they were making safe bets, and banks were confident that they weren’t overextended. Their errors sparked a global financial crisis and a series of prolonged recessions that scarred the lives of hundreds of millions. Elon Musk’s 2 Rules For Learning Anything Faster. Elon Musk’s 2 Rules For Learning Anything Faster. How to Tie Fishing Knots: 3 You Should Know. I recently took up fishing.
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Richard Feynman Creates a Simple Method for Telling Science From Pseudoscience (1966) Photo by Tamiko Thiel via Wikimedia Commons How can we know whether a claim someone makes is scientific or not?
The question is of the utmost consequence, as we are surrounded on all sides by claims that sound credible, that use the language of science—and often do so in attempts to refute scientific consensus. As we’ve seen in the case of the anti-vaccine crusade, falling victim to pseudoscientific arguments can have dire effects. So how can ordinary people, ordinary parents, and ordinary citizens evaluate such arguments? Richard Feynman's "Notebook Technique" Will Help You Learn Any Subject. Richard Feynman knew his stuff.
Had he not, he probably wouldn't have won the Nobel Prize in Physics, let alone his various other prestigious scientific awards. But his reputation for learning all his life long with a special depth and rigor survives him, and in a sense accounts for his fame — of a degree that ensures his stern yet playful face will gaze out from dorm-room posters for generations to come — even more than does his "real" work.
Many students of physics still, understandably, want to be like Feynman, but everyone else, even those of us with no interest in physics whatsoever, could also do well to learn from him: not from what he thought about, but from how he thought about it. On his Study Hacks Blog, computer science professor Cal Newport explains what he calls "the Feynman notebook technique," whereby "dedicating a notebook to a new learning task" can provide "concrete cues" to help mitigate the difficulty of starting out toward the mastery of a subject. Could You Pass This Astronaut Aptitude Test?
To celebrate the 50th anniversary of the Apollo 11 Moon landing, its three astronauts are being honored in the most Midwestern way imaginable: with life-sized butter sculptures at the Ohio State Fair.
Along with the uncannily lifelike statues of Neil Armstrong, Buzz Aldrin, and Michael Collins, there are also sculptures depicting a helmeted Neil Armstrong saluting the American flag next to the lunar module Eagle, a blown-up version of the official Apollo 11 patch, and the calf and cow that are showcased at the fair every year (this year, however, their ear tags read “Apollo”). Armstrong was born in Wapakoneta, Ohio, CNET reports, and also bought an Ohio dairy farm after leaving NASA in 1971.
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(And on Amazon, of course.) Harry Potter tees and socks are reliable best-sellers, as are Out of Print's library-inspired products, like this mug designed to look like a library card. When shopping online, customers can narrow their search field by title or author, and if they don’t see their favorite book represented, they can email the company a suggestion.
How to Use the “5 Hour Rule” to Radically Improve Your Intelligence and Success. A system of constant learning used by Benjamin Franklin, Oprah Winfrey and Bill Gates. In today’s business world, it seems like every second you’re not working there’s money being poured down the drain. Especially during hectic weeks, most of us just try to keep our heads down, our eyes on the screen, and distractions far, far away. But it turns out that devoting just one hour of purposeful distraction every weekday can actually enable you to be radically more productive and innovative in the long run. So no matter how busy they are, many of the world’s most esteemed entrepreneurs, artists, and politicians share this quality. Intellectual humility: the importance of knowing you might be wrong. Julia Rohrer wants to create a radical new culture for social scientists.
A personality psychologist at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Rohrer is trying to get her peers to publicly, willingly admit it when they are wrong. To do this, she, along with some colleagues, started up something called the Loss of Confidence Project. It’s designed to be an academic safe space for researchers to declare for all to see that they no longer believe in the accuracy of one of their previous findings. The effort recently yielded a paper that includes six admissions of no confidence. This Military-Tested Diet Is Designed to Prevent Jet Lag. An Easy Way To Double Learning Speed.
NASA Project Mercury Intelligence Test. In 1958, the newly formed National Aeronautics and Space Administration (aka NASA) launched a search for the nation’s first spacemen. Of the 508 military candidates the agency considered, only seven would become Mercury astronauts. In early 1959, 31 top contenders arrived at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base in Ohio to endure what’s perhaps the most exhaustive battery of psychological, intellectual, and physical work-ups in modern history. Hopefuls sat in extreme heat and cold, did math in 145-decibel rooms (normal conversation is 60 dB), and spent hours in isolation chambers. On top of all that, candidates took 12 intelligence tests. We've All Been Threading Needles Wrong This Whole Time. Get your passport ready.
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Show Full Text The Reddit user (Johnny_Provolone) who posted the cautionary tale was only 18 when it all happened, and went on to graduate with the class of 2001. Polish Poet and Nobel Laureate Wisława Szymborska on How Our Certitudes Keep Us Small and the Generative Power of Not-Knowing. The 5-Hour Rule That Turns Ordinary People Into Successful Ones.
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