European voting systems (ERS) Ireland 2011 STV (ERS) Issues in contemporary elections. Women's Representation in Scot & Wales (ERS) Case for reducing viting age to 16 (ERS) A-Z of voting systems (ERS) PR Myths (ERS) STV explained (ERS) AV FAQS (ERS) Explaining AV (ERS) Review of UK voting systems (ERS) 2011 Welsh Assembly AMS (ERS) 2011 Scottish Parl AMS (ERS) 2012 local gvt STV (ERS) GE 2010. Charts & Maps. Facts & Figures (ERS) 2010 GE FPTP (Ers) GE 2005. GE 2001. GE 1997. Electoral Calculus. Current Prediction: Conservative majority 6 Prediction based on opinion polls from 03 Sep 2015 to 30 Sep 2015, sampling 8,280 people.
Probability of possible outcomes The future is never certain. But using our advanced modelling techniques, we can estimate the probability of the various possible outcomes at the next general election. ('Nat' means SNP+PlaidC) Local Election Results and Boundaries Update 2015 The seat detail pages now have the new local election results, and updated local ward boundaries where they have changed. List of UK by-elections (1979–present) Where the cause of by-election is given as "resignation" or "seeks re-election", this indicates that the incumbent was appointed on his or her own request to an "office of profit under the Crown", either the Steward of the Chiltern Hundreds or the Steward of the Manor of Northstead.
Accepting an office of profit under the Crown vacates the Member's seat. This process is used because members of the House of Commons are not technically permitted to resign. A member who resigns in this manner may stand for re-election. For a list of exceptional results and records in the history of by-elections in the United Kingdom see: United Kingdom by-election records. Bradford West, March 2012. Corby, Cardiff, Manchester, Nov 2012. The counting of votes commences in the Corby by-election at Lodge Park Sports Centre, Corby, Northamptonshire.
Photograph: Rui Vieira/PA Three by-elections were fought yesterday: Corby, Cardiff South & Penarth and Manchester Central. Despite small turnouts the results are taken as a verdict on the Government. Croydon North, Nov 2012. Rotherham, Nov 2012. The way to the Rotherham byelection count at Magna's former steelworks was through the Red Hall, which turned out to be appropriate after a nerve-wracking campaign for Labour.
Party members did not hide their relief at seeing their bedrock support stay loyal after a series of debacles, from the resigning MP Denis MacShane's misclaimed expenses to the Ukip fostering row. MacShane's legacy of a 10,681-strong majority had been expected to crumble in the face of onslaughts by 10 other candidates, especially Ukip, Respect and the BNP. There was talk of a margin edgily close, with party insiders preparing defensive positions over a majority of 2,000 or less.
Middlesbrough, 2012. Eastleigh, March 2013. South Shields, May 2013. Results map, Nov 2012. What went wrong? Nearly 90% of voters in England and Wales have no idea who their police and crime commissioner is despite November's first direct elections, which cost £75m.
A study by the Electoral Reform Society (ERS) shows the elections, which recorded the lowest turnout in peacetime history, were poorly delivered and failed candidates and voters. Voters were left in the dark about who they could vote for, while candidates were kept away by huge deposits, unclear eligibility rules, vast electoral districts and high campaign costs. The ERS, which predicted the low turnout of only 15.1%, said the Home Office had explained that the elections on 15 November had been held to "empower the public" and give them a "direct say on how their streets are policed".
Yet a Populus poll in the last week of January showed only 11% could correctly name their local commissioner – fewer even than the 15% who bothered to vote. "November's bungled poll failed both candidates and voters. How NOT to run an election (ERS) 2011 FPTP (ERS) VID: Lawrence Lessig: We the People, and the Republic we must reclaim. Rootstrikers. U.S. Presidential rematches. Vote! The Machinery of Democracy. July 16, 2004 – February 21, 2005 (new closing date) Museum: American History Museum Location: 1st Floor, East Wing Corridor As the 2000 Presidential election hung in the balance for weeks, many citizens learned there is no national voting standard and called for sweeping reforms.
4 Year Invisible Primary?? Culture Connoisseur Badge Culture Connoisseurs consistently offer thought-provoking, timely comments on the arts, lifestyle and entertainment.
More about badges | Request a badge Washingtologist Badge Washingtologists consistently post thought-provoking, timely comments on events, communities, and trends in the Washington area. Post Writer Badge This commenter is a Washington Post editor, reporter or producer. Post Contributor Badge This commenter is a Washington Post contributor. Post Recommended Washington Post reporters or editors recommend this comment or reader post. You must be logged in to report a comment. Map: primaries & caucuses 2012 (by month) Republican Delegates by state. Priary votes by state - detailed analyses of candidate performance. (4) Electoral College. Electoral College Changes Would Pose Danger for Democrats. Republican state senators in Virginia, as well as the state’s Republican governor, Bob McDonnell, announced Friday that they would oppose a bill to change how the state awards its electoral votes in presidential elections.
The proposed legislation would have moved the state from awarding its electors on a winner-take-all basis to a proportional system based on Congressional districts. There have been rumblings of similar changes in other Republican-controlled states carried by President Obama in 2008 and 2012: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Ohio and Michigan. And the chairman of the Republican National Committee, Reince Priebus, has voiced his approval of such measures. Although the Virginia bill now looks unlikely to become law, Democrats had expressed concern. Were they right to worry? They were. As Virginia demonstrates, the odds of all those states adopting a proportional system are probably small; some Republican lawmakers have expressed reservations about the idea.
(1) Overview. Race for the Presidency. High-Risk Primaries Could Cost Republicans in 2014. The impending retirement of Senator Tom Harkin of Iowa creates the opportunity for Republicans to pick up a seat that Democrats have held since 1985.
But if they aren’t careful in selecting their candidate, it could represent another opportunity forsaken by the party. The leading G.O.P. candidates are thought to be the two Republicans who currently serve in Iowa’s delegation to the House, Steve King and Tom Latham. Mr. Latham has repeatedly been elected from swing districts, and has a relatively moderate track record.
According to the statistical system DW-Nominate, he was more moderate than about 80 percent of Republicans in the House based on his voting record through 2010. Mr. Can we say how much of a difference this might make? Humour: Hank the cat runs for Senate. The Virginia Senate race is turning into quite the catfight now that Hank the cat has thrown his paw into the race.
Hank, a moderate, is a 9-year-old Maine Coon who is running as an independent against former Govs. George Allen (R) and Tim Kaine (D) for the state’s open Senate seat. A Virginia native, Hank has no previous political experience, but he has a wealth of life experience: Born to a single mother and raised on the streets, Hank clawed his way to the top and now lives a comfortable life with his owner, Anthony Roberts. In fact, it’s Hank’s unique background that makes him such a qualified candidate, according to his campaign manager, Matthew O’Leary. “It definitely gives him a great insight into how difficult it is to live on the streets and to almost being put down. Cat appears to come in third in Virginia’s U.S. senate race. Humour VID: negative ad. Humour VID: Hank the Cat for Senate? Vote the Humans Out!