2016 Primary Results and Calendar. Trump. Elections (2016) US presidentials 2016. Elections présidentielles américaines 2016. Bernie Sanders Just Changed the Democratic Party. Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are damaged, but the Republicans have a winner. They have discovered that Trump is not unstoppable. Far from it – he will have difficulty translating poll numbers into votes. Because his national exposure was so great, and his national numbers so high, the media tended to believe his claim that he was in for a “huuuuge” victory. Yet aside from the fact that he uses Twitter like a seasoned troll, his approach to politics proved antiquated.
Trump is a TV candidate in a digital era. The Media Research Center calculates that during one month of evening news broadcasts on NBC, CBS and ABC, Trump got 60 per cent of coverage, Cruz got 30 per cent and the Florida senator Marco Rubio just 4 per cent. That, very simply, is why he has seemed irrepressible. He was never off the telly. Trump also didn’t prove popular among ideological conservatives or lifelong Republicans. The good news for Republican elites, however, is that this polarisation is mirrored among the Democrats. The force is strong with this one. Bernie Surges +12%, Clinton Falls -11% in Reuters LV Tracking Poll; Sanders Gains +13% With Af-Ams.
Last week, slinkerwink posted this diary highlighting the Reuters tracking poll. Reuters had shown Bernie Sanders pulling even with Clinton nationally following the Iowa caucuses, much like the Quinnipiac poll that showed Clinton only up 44-42. What was the response to this from DKos commenters? It was that Clinton still led handily among likely voters. At that time, she still led 63-34 in Reuters’ "likely democratic primary voter” screen. And to be sure, Reuters is not the best pollster by any measure. Reuters’ “likely democratic primary voter” screen excludes all self-identified independents, even though self identified independents made up about 24% of the electorate in the 2008 primaries.
For that reason, the “likely democratic primary voter” screen tends to underestimate Sanders’ support — because he does well with Independents. That was then This is now Over the past week, Sanders has gained steadily even among Reuters’ restrictive "likely Democratic Primary Voter screen.” Ruh-roh. America | Bernie Sanders. Hillary takes on Bernie’s worldview at the PBS debate. Win McNamee/Getty Images It’s taking time, but Hillary Clinton is inching toward a theme. “I am not a single-issue candidate, and I do not believe we live in a single-issue country,” she said at the close of the Democratic debate in Milwaukee. “I think we have to overcome and break down the barriers that are holding people back, whether it’s poison in the water of the children of Flint, or whether it’s the poor miners who are being left out and left behind in coal country, or whether it is any other American today who feels somehow put down and oppressed by racism, by sexism, by discrimination against the LGBT community, against the kind of efforts that need to be made to root out all of these barriers.
That’s what I want to take on.” Jamelle Bouie is Slate’s chief political correspondent. Unlike so much of her rhetoric, which hedges and qualifies and tries to place policies in context, this was clear and full-throated. The other choice, when you can’t stop a rival, is to co-opt him. Democratic Election Debates. Hillary 2016 Election. 2016 Election (Donald Trump) 2016 Election (Rand Paul) Bernie Sanders.