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Elections présidentielles américaines 2016

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Is Hillary Clinton Really in Danger of Losing the Primary? Bernie Sanders is said to be surging, Joe Biden is considering jumping in the race, and ’s unfavorable ratings are the worst they’ve been in her 23-plus years in national politics — worse than they were in 2007 or 2008.

Is Hillary Clinton Really in Danger of Losing the Primary?

Whether you call it wishful thinking or a worst-case scenario, it’s enough to make some people say the Clinton campaign is in serious trouble. But is it? Has she forfeited the huge advantages she held at the start of the year? Does Mr. Sanders, or another Democrat, have a real chance to beat her in the primary? Probably not.

The Primary You might not know it if you’re reading the various articles about Mr. Photo. Both Parties Have Equal Chance to Win White House. Photo It’s a mismatch — and an even match.

Both Parties Have Equal Chance to Win White House

Oddly, a year before Election Day, both accurately describe the 2016 race for the American presidency. Republicans and Democrats approach the contest in radically different circumstances, but with roughly equal opportunities to succeed President Obama, polling, analysts and recent electoral history suggest. The Republican nomination contest remains sprawling, chaotic and unpredictable. Its two leading candidates, the real estate magnate and the retired neurosurgeon , stand outside the norms of typical candidates. Mr. Mr. Between them, Mr. Instead, betting markets suggest Senator of Florida, who commands only half as much support as either Mr. Democrats have comparatively little to wonder about. Unlike the Republican race, where a dozen aspirants still dream of converting small followings into unstoppable ones, the Democratic field has a clear, simple structure.

With Mrs. Democrats hold two other advantages. Winners and losers from the second Democratic presidential debate. Former secretary of state Hillary Clinton, Sen.

Winners and losers from the second Democratic presidential debate

Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and former Maryland governor Martin O'Malley sparred over how to handle the Islamic State, the minimum wage and more. (Sarah Parnass/The Washington Post) The Dizzying Circular Logic of Donald Trump. Photo Shortly before Tuesday night’s Republican debate, Showtime announced it would be starting a new political documentary series in January called “The Circus.”

The Dizzying Circular Logic of Donald Trump

The creation of the Republican media consultant Mark McKinnon and the Bloomberg political journalists Mark Halperin and John Heilemann, the show will chronicle the presidential campaign as it unfolds behind the scenes. It is the latest event horizon in the history of campaigns being covered as reality-show entertainment pieces — the next logical look into the fun-house mirror of our meta-driven political culture. David Nevins, president of Showtime, envisions “The Circus” as a campaign analogue to the network’s “A Season With” series, which goes behind the scenes with sports teams as they progress through their seasons.

(The current edition follows the Notre Dame football team.) Burn. “Doesn’t matter, doesn’t matter,” Bush muttered in response to Trump. Fact checking the fourth Democratic presidential debate. The three Democratic presidential contenders engaged in heated exchanges on health care, gun control, former president Bill Clinton and other issues in Charleston, S.C. on Jan. 17.

Fact checking the fourth Democratic presidential debate

Here are the key moments from the two-hour debate in three minutes. (Sarah Parnass/The Washington Post) NBC aired the fourth Democratic presidential debate on Jan. 17 featuring three candidates: former secretary of state Hillary Clinton, Sen. Bernie Sanders (Vt.) and former Maryland governor Martin O’Malley. Not every statement could be easily fact checked, but the following is a list of 10 suspicious or interesting claims. “In 1988, there were three candidates running for Congress in the state of Vermont. Sanders did come out against assault weapons in 1988. Sanders’s opponent in the 1988 election, who had promised not to vote for a ban on assault weapons, changed his mind once he got to Washington. Sanders did vote for instant background checks “from day one.” Hillary Clinton just handed Republicans a devastating ad against her. At the Jan. 17 Democratic debate in Charleston, S.C., Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton went out of her way to stress her ties to President Obama.

Hillary Clinton just handed Republicans a devastating ad against her

(Peter Stevenson/The Washington Post) Hillary Clinton had a clear strategy going into Sunday night's fourth Democratic presidential debate: Hug President Obama — at all costs. "We have the Affordable Care Act," Clinton said. "That is one of the greatest accomplishments of President Obama, of the Democratic Party, and of our country. " "I'm going to defend Dodd-Frank and I'm going to defend President Obama for taking on Wall Street, taking on the financial industry and getting results," she said. "I was very pleased that leaders of President Obama's administration went out to Silicon Valley last week and began exactly this conversation about what we can do, consistent with privacy and security," she said.

But it also represents a marked shift in Clinton's rhetoric on Obama. What changed? That shift comes with a cost, of course.