*ne pas changer les photos, faites une proposition...
* Ne pas créer de nouveaux pearltrees pour moins de 5 perles...
*respecter l'harmonie visuelle...
* plutôt arbo fermé (poupées russes) que dévellopé en flowchart (organigramme)...trops de branches donne des perliers de trop grand rayon avec une perte de place au centre...
*Garder l'essentiel, éviter les répétitions...
*réduire les url youtube j'usqu'au &...sinon ça fait plein de doublon isolés...
The GFF. K21st – Essential 21st Century Knowledge. Future Timeline. Global trends-2030. Trends of the 2010s decade - Framework by futurist Ross Dawson. Click on the image to see full-size pdfEXATRENDS OF THE DECADE:2010s AUGMENTED HUMANS More than ever before, we can transcend our human abilities.
Traditional memory aids are supplemented by augmented reality glasses or contact lenses, thought interfaces allow us to control machines, exoskeletons give us superhuman power. Machines will not take over humanity… because they will be us. BIO DESTINY Now that biological and genomic technologies are largely driven by information technologies, they are on the same exponential trajectory. Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds. Dear Reader: Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds is the th installment in the National IntelligenceCouncil’s series aimed at providing a ramework or thinking about the uture.
As with previouseditions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identiying critical trends andpotential discontinuities. We distinguish between megatrends, those actors that will likely occur under any scenario, and game-changers, critical variables whose trajectories are ar less certain.Finally, as our appreciation o the diversity and complexity o various actors has grown, we haveincreased our attention to scenarios or alternative worlds we might ace. We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting utures.It is our contention that the uture is not set in stone, but is malleable, the result o an interplay among megatrends, game-changers and, above all, human agency.
The World Future Council: WFC - Home. Foundation: Safeguarding Humanity. Future Exploration Network. A Future Without War. Forecasting, Tracking and Analyzing Global Trends. The Future Comes Faster Than You Think. 20 Crucial Terms Every 21st Century Futurist Should Know. These concerns have given rise to another must-know term that could serve as a potential antidote: guaranteed minimum income.
Good luck with that. Good luck dismissing this as crucial issue on our immediate horizon. How would it happen? There are very many people who have a lot of money who are not keen on income redistribution, and what's more, a lot of those people are in tech. The idea that all Big Tech people are progressives is a very big mistake.
Shaping Tomorrow. Article series on futures thinking. Jamais Cascio, who covers the intersection of emerging technologies and cultural transformation for Fast Company, is in the process of publishing an ‘occasional’ series of articles “about the tools and methods for thinking about the future in a structured, useful way”.
Futures Thinking: The Basics Overview of how to engage in a foresight exercise Futures Thinking: Asking the Question Detailed exploration of setting up a futures exercise and “how to figure out what you’re trying to figure out” Prospective-Foresight. Disruptive innovation. A disruptive innovation is an innovation that helps create a new market and value network, and eventually disrupts an existing market and value network (over a few years or decades), displacing an earlier technology.
The term is used in business and technology literature to describe innovations that improve a product or service in ways that the market does not expect, typically first by designing for a different set of consumers in a new market and later by lowering prices in the existing market. The term "disruptive technology" has been widely used as a synonym of "disruptive innovation", but the latter is now preferred, because market disruption has been found to be a function usually not of technology itself but rather of its changing application. Sustaining innovations are typically innovations in technology, whereas disruptive innovations change entire markets. Home - EFMN - European Foresight Monitoring Network. Welcome to Foresight. Print - 110 Predictions For the Next 110 Years. · People will be fluent in every language.
With DARPA and Google racing to perfect instant translation, it won't be long until your cellphone speaks Swahili on your behalf. · Software will predict traffic jams before they occur. Using archived data, roadside sensors, and GPS, IBM has come up with a modeling program that anticipates bumper-to-bumper congestion a full hour before it begins. Better yet, the idea proved successful in early tests—even on the Jersey Turnpike. What is Open Foresight. We recently introduced the concept of ‘Open Foresight’ as a process we’re developing to analyze complex issues in an open and collaborative way, and to raise the bar on public discourse and forward-focused critical thinking. It’s a work in progress and constantly evolving, but here are some of the basic principles we’ve developed so far.1) What is Open Foresight?
In simple terms, open foresight is a process for building visions of the future together. 2) The Big Picture Context. Futuring: The Exploration of the Future. Futuring: The Exploration of the Future by Edward Cornish.
WFS. 2004. 313 pages. Paperback.
Futurology. Moore's law is an example of futures studies; it is a statistical collection of past and present trends with the goal of accurately extrapolating future trends.
Futures studies (also called futurology and futurism) is the study of postulating possible, probable, and preferable futures and the worldviews and myths that underlie them. There is a debate as to whether this discipline is an art or science. In general, it can be considered as a branch of the social sciences and parallel to the field of history. In the same way that history studies the past, futures studies considers the future. Futures studies (colloquially called "futures" by many of the field's practitioners) seeks to understand what is likely to continue and what could plausibly change. 2030. THE FUTURIST Magazine Releases Its Top 10 Forecasts for 2013 and Beyond. Each year since 1985, the editors of THE FUTURIST have selected the most thought-provoking ideas and forecasts appearing in the magazine to go into our annual Outlook report.
Over the years, Outlook has spotlighted the emergence of such epochal developments as the Internet, virtual reality, the 2008 financial crisis and the end of the Cold War. But these forecasts are meant as conversation starters, not absolute predictions about the future. We hope that this report--covering developments in business and economics, demography, energy, the environment, health and medicine, resources, society and values, and technology--inspires you to tackle the challenges, and seize the opportunities, of the coming decade. With no further ado, THE FUTURIST Magazine releases its top ten forecasts for 2013 and beyond. Video by FUTURIST magazine editor Cynthia G. Articles - LongeCity - LONGECITY. Trends Watch.
Methods of prospective > Softwares > Prospective softwares and toolbox : La prospective. Six Problems, Six Tools Although strategic foresight is an intellectual “non-discipline” it nevertheless requires rigor and formalization, which clarify action and lead towards desired futures.
The toolbox allows the strategist to ask the right questions and reduce incoherencies and uncertainties. P2P Futures for Futures Studies. Jose Ramos proposes six paths: 1. Communion in diversity “Communion in diversity means that, even though we represent radical hybridity, mutating into new contexts, we are drawing upon each other’s knowledge and experience in order to inspire ourselves and continue to evolve and mutate what we do.
Galerie des Futurs - Des nouvelles du futur. Revue - Formation - Etudes. To think and act otherwise : La prospective. Welcome to Communities of the Future. Humanity+ The Future of Human Evolution Website. Accelerating Future. There isn’t enough in the world. Not enough wealth to go around, not enough space in cities, not enough medicine, not enough intelligence or wisdom. Not enough genuine fun or excitement. Futurity.org. What's Next.