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Florida’s Changing Latino Population Veers From G.O.P. MIAMI — For decades, being Latino in Florida almost always meant being Republican. Miami was the undisputed capital of Cuban exiles who had fled the Communist government — they were most of the state’s Latinos — and by the 1980s a large majority had registered with the .

But a glimpse at the state voter rolls these days, where the names Samuel Del Valle, Maria Flores and Oswaldo Muñoz all appear as Democrats or independents, makes clear how much has changed in one of the nation’s most important swing states, one that will be important for Hillary Clinton and Donald J. Trump in November. In March, Mr. Del Valle, newly arrived from Puerto Rico, stood in front of a voter registration table, staring at the four relatively unfamiliar choices in front of him: Florida , Republican Party of Florida, No Party Affiliation, Minor Party.

The Hispanic Factor Articles in this series will look at the diversity of Latino political power and influence ahead of the presidential election. When Ms. Photo. What Republicans Really Have to Do to Win Over Black Voters. I have an aunt, now in her 70s, who announced to the entire family during a holiday dinner that she would “slap the shit out of” anyone who voted Republican.

The level of distrust between black voters and the GOP is that deep, maybe deeper than that between communities of color and the police. No one interested in bridging this divide should pretend otherwise. A few timely ads or going to a conservative black church, as Donald Trump seems to be planning, or co-opting the arguments made by black activists who sincerely want to see more progress won’t be enough.

Story Continued Below Strengthening the Voting Rights Act—when George W. Bush signed a reauthorization of the law in 2006 not a single Republican senator voted against it—would be a good place to start. Another would be rethinking how Republicans talk about maladies in the black community and how they would be willing to provide genuine help. Let’s get a few things straight. Which brings me back to my original question. 1.) 2.) 3.)

Clinton isn’t doing better than previous Democrats with Latinos — even against Trump. In a presidential year expected to produce record turnout among Hispanic voters, there are few signs that Hillary Clinton is performing any better among Latinos than past Democratic presidential candidates — even with immigrant-bashing Donald Trump as her GOP opponent. In Nevada and Florida, the two battlegrounds states with the highest Latino populations, the Democratic nominee remains locked in a close race with Trump. Clinton is polling about the same as Democrats in previous contests among Latinos nationally, apparently gaining no ground from Trump’s historic unpopularity. The close polls in Nevada and Florida have prompted Clinton’s allies to begin spending money in those states targeting Hispanic voters.

The campaign itself will also begin airing Spanish-language ads in battleground states after Labor Day. Lorella Praeli is Hillary Clinton’s Latino vote director. [As she gains in polls, Clinton seeks Latino support in unusual places] politics Orlando Shooting Updates post_newsletter348. American Indians are less likely to claim identification with major American political parties. | USAPP. Much has been written recently about the partisan preferences of Hispanics and Asians, but the political orientations of Native Americans are less well understood. In new research, Jeffrey Koch uses national election study data to examine how Native Americans identify with political parties. He find that, for the most part, Native Americans are less likely to identify with a major US political party, but when they do, it’s more likely to be with the Democratic Party. The most important political orientation for citizens in a democracy is their partisanship.

Partisanship is the orientation that nearly all citizens possess, and powerfully shapes vote choice, influences the adoption of issue positions, and shapes perceptions of the economy and foreign policy events. American Indians are an understudied population in the US with regard to their partisan orientations. Prior research suggests two expectations for the partisanship of American Indians. Figure 1 – Partisanship by ethnicity. How popular is Trump with Hispanic voters? Donald Trump has promised to build a wall along the southern border. He’s referred to Mexican immigrants as rapists and criminals. He's attacked the Republican Hispanic governor of New Mexico.

He’s done much to alienate Latino voters since entering the presidential race, yet according to some polls he’s running ahead of 2012 GOP nominee Mitt Romney among them. Story Continued Below Trump and his surrogates frequently cite online NBC News/SurveyMonkey polls that have Trump winning just under a third of the Hispanic vote, more than Romney’s 27-percent performance against President Barack Obama. But other polling shows Trump well below historical benchmarks for winning GOP presidential candidates, and Hillary Clinton’s campaign believes Trump will win a smaller share of the Hispanic vote than any Republican in modern history.

While SurveyMonkey has Trump exceeding Romney’s 2012 performance among Hispanics, other polls conducted over the past few weeks show Trump a bit lower. 'El Viejito' for president: why Latinos in Nevada are switching to Bernie Sanders | US news. Hillary Clinton posters are in their apartment window and Bernie Sanders stickers are on their car. The Macias family are similar to many Latinos who find themselves unusually torn ahead of Nevada’s Democratic caucuses. But this family has more at stake than most. Tomasa Macias, the 50-year-old matriarch, collapsed and died last year while cleaning the toilets at a Las Vegas convention center owned by the billionaire Republican donor Sheldon Adelson. Her family are united in their belief that America’s unforgiving working conditions are to blame for the severe stroke she suffered on 5 May. But they are divided over which Democratic candidate would best serve the country’s working poor.

Theirs is a familiar story in Nevada, the third state to host a Democratic presidential contest, and one in which the fractured Latino vote threatens to further erode Clinton’s aura as the party’s nominee-in-waiting. That, in itself, constitutes a major setback for the former secretary of state. Liberal Hispanic activists assail Rubio, Cruz as ‘traitors’ to their culture. Liberal Hispanic groups have launched a new campaign designed to turn Latino voters against the two Cuban American Republicans who have risen to the top tier of the GOP presidential field — assailing Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz as traitors to their own culture.

Radio and online ads, social media posts and public discussions with Hispanic leaders in swing states are accusing Cruz and Rubio, senators from Texas and Florida, respectively, of fighting against immigration reforms, a minimum wage increase and other changes that millions of Latinos support. Many of the ads equate the two candidates to GOP front-runner Donald Trump, whose sharp rhetoric on immigration has until now drawn most of the attention of Hispanic activists. “It’s not comfortable for us to do this, to call out members of our own community who don’t reflect our community values, but we have no choice,” said Cristóbal Alex, president of the Democratic-backed Latino Victory Project. Ed O’Keefe contributed to this report. The GOP’s identity-politics crisis: Holding race-card aces but loath to play them. Juan Rodriguez, a Colombian immigrant and Republican businessman in Des Moines, is on a mission to persuade his employees, nearly all Hispanic Democrats, to elect a president from what they think of as the party of white guys.

This year, with three minorities among the top four GOP contenders, Rodriguez thought he had a shot. “You are against abortion, yes? Against same-sex marriage, yes?” He tells them. “Then you are a Republican!” “No, no,” comes the response. The workers can’t get past what they hear from some Republican candidates about immigrants and immigration. After years of deriding Democrats for dividing Americans into hyphenated subgroups, Republicans face a tantalizing and vexing prospect this year. Some party officials say the Republicans’ more diverse field of candidates — especially in contrast to the Democrats’ all-white list — is evidence of conservatism’s broadening appeal.

Rubio, Cruz and Carson avoid emphasizing their ethnicity as a selling point. Play Video1:01 Rep. Hillary Clinton’s economic ideas would be big for Latinos. That’s no coincide... Getty Images On Monday morning, Hillary Clinton laid out how she would narrow economic inequality and deal with the economic struggles of ordinary Americans. And later Monday, she'll head to the National Council of La Raza convention in Kansas City and likely repeat many of the same themes.

And maybe that's a coincidence of scheduling, but it's no coincidence that a lot of Clinton's proposals would be particularly beneficial to workers of color -- especially Latinos. Here's the crux of what Clinton is talking about Monday: As part of her workforce focus, Clinton will decry that women’s participation in the workforce has stalled after decades of growth and that many working parents, especially single mothers, have passed up job opportunities because of family obligations.

She will preview policies on child care, paid leave and paid sick days. Clinton's speech at The New School in New York City and her policy proposals have been billed as ideas that will benefit the middle class. California is now the second state in which Hispanics outnumber whites. New annual estimates released by the Census Bureau last month confirm that a long-expected California milestone has arrived: There are now officially more Hispanic residents of the state than white ones.

As we've noted before, the long-term national trend is for the population to become less white and more Hispanic. (And older and less religious.) California is at the front end of that demographic shift. Demographers in the state expect California to be nearly half Hispanic by 2060, according to the Los Angeles Times. But California is not the first state to hit this milestone. Hispanics in New Mexico outnumbered whites as early as 2003.

The next state in which the shift will take place is likely Texas. That the shift is happening in the Southwest is not a surprise. This wouldn't be a Fix post if we didn't note two states that are very far from matching California's milestone: Iowa and New Hampshire. When will Hispanics outnumber whites in New Hampshire? Share of counties where whites are a minority has doubled since 1980. Last week’s Census Bureau release of 2014 population estimates confirms that the U.S. is becoming ever more diverse, at the local level as well as nationally. As of last summer, according to a Fact Tank analysis, 364 counties, independent cities and other county-level equivalents (11.6% of the total) did not have non-Hispanic white majorities – the most in modern history, and more than twice the level in 1980.

That year – the first decennial enumeration in which the nation’s Hispanic population was comprehensively counted – non-Hispanic whites were majorities in all but 171 out of 3,141 counties (5.4%), according to our analysis. The 1990 census was the first to break out non-Hispanic whites as a separate category; that year, they made up the majority in all but 186 counties, or 5.9% of the total.

(The Census Bureau considers Hispanic to be an ethnicity rather than a race; accordingly, Hispanics can be of any race.)