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If folks are bundled in heavy jackets, it’s probably cold outside. If everyone’s in their shirt sleeves or short pants, then chances are good that it’s warm. The stock market environment can be determined the same way, except that instead of clothing, stock traders use stock options for protection. Some stock options are like heavy jackets, while others are like short pants. Although it is an oversimplification, traders buy Put options when the stock market is cooling off, and Call options when things are heating up. Of course, the stock market is not so simple. If Put buyers are displaying widespread comfort (in their heavy jackets) then it’s probably a Bear market.
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