Clustering. Hydrocolloid. This Is A Brilliant Approach To Making Better Decisions. Bob Sutton’s new book, “Scaling Up Excellence: Getting to More Without Settling for Less,” contains an interesting section towards the end on looking back from the future, which talks about “a mind trick that goads and guides people to act on what they know and, in turn, amplifies their odds of success.”
We build on Nobel winner Daniel Kahneman’s favourite approach for making better decisions. This may sound weird, but it’s a form of imaginary time travel. It’s called the premortem. And, while it may be Kahneman’s favourite, he didn’t come up with it. A fellow by the name of Gary Klein invented the premortem technique. A premortem works something like this. Split them into two groups. Premortems encourage people to use “prospective hindsight,” or, more accurately, to talk in “future perfect tense.”
You imagine that a concrete success or failure has occurred and look “back from the future” to tell a story about the causes. 1. 2. 3. 4.
Plats préparés. MOOC. Traitement image. Android. Ebook. The World in 2030 Won't Look Anything Like You Think - Joshua Foust. ...But that doesn't mean thinking isn't still important.
What to make of the intelligence community's effort to forecast global events Military vehicles line up during a parade in Pyongyang, North Korea on April 15, 2012. In 1997, analysts predicted the country would not last until 2010. (Reuters) In 1997, the U.S. intelligence outfit charged with long-term strategic thinking made some startling predictions: by 2010, North Korea would be transformed into a normal state and tensions on the peninsula would be eliminated; the western world would see unending 2-percent growth in personal income; and precision weapons would make conflicts smaller and less costly. None of those things happened. The U.S. Unlike previous reports, the GT2030 report tries to account for predictions made in previous versions. The Global Trends reports tend to be two-sided. Confiture de coing (variante de la gelée de coing.
Gamification class - coursera. Simulation Montecarlo. Le financement participatif peut-il bâtir des villes. Le financement participatif (crowfunding ou « financement par la foule ») est un marché en pleine expansion, expliquait le rapport de Crowdsourcing.org.
L’âge de la prédation. Dominique Boullier, professeur de sociologie à Sciences Po et coordinateur scientifique du MediaLab nous propose une lecture du livre de Nicolas Colin et Henri Verdier, L’âge de la multitude, Entreprendre et gouverner après la révolution numérique, paru au printemps 2012 chez Armand Colin.
Il en livre une critique sans concession, mais qui permet d’analyser et de prendre du recul sur la façon dont l’innovation est trop souvent célébrée. Prenez cette note de lecture foisonnante comme une occasion de débattre sur ce qu’est l’économie numérique aujourd’hui… et ce qu’elle n’est pas. L’âge de la multitude est un livre étrange qui brouille les attentes générées par ce titre spinozien, qu’on retrouve chez Toni Negri et chez Yann Moulier-Boutang.
Cette fascination pour Apple illustre seulement une confusion conceptuelle que nous allons documenter dans cinq domaines : 1. Vend fichier MP3 très peu servi. Teaching Ethnography For User Experience: A Workshop On Occupy Wall Street [guest contributor] Editor’s note: A few weeks ago, we saw our twitter stream light up with John Payne’s work on ethnography of Occupy.
We quickly reached out to John and asked him to guest post on Ethnography Matters. John had facilitated a 2 and half day course of ethnographic fieldwork on Occupy for designers and blogged a series of 3 very thoughtful posts about the experience. Pourquoi nous n'apprendrons plus comme avant. Michel Serres et Bernard Siegler. La liberté Voir plus Heidegger.
Balade "l'art du graff" dans le 19e arrondissement de Paris.
Yves Marchand & Romain Meffre Photography - The Ruins of Detroit. At the end of the XIXth Century, mankind was about to fulfill an old dream.
The idea of a fast and autonomous means of displacement was slowly becoming a reality for engineers all over the world. Thanks to its ideal location on the Great Lakes Basin, the city of Detroit was about to generate its own industrial revolution. Visionary engineers and entrepreneurs flocked to its borders. In 1913, up-and-coming car manufacturer Henry Ford perfected the first large-scale assembly line. Within few years, Detroit was about to become the world capital of automobile and the cradle of modern mass-production.
Rando Bulgarie. Placer un DIV sur Flash. Allowing div layers to float over Flash/Vimeo/YouTube etc. Posted August 22nd, 2009 in HTML and CSS (Updated May 13th, 2011) By default Flash content in a web page will appear on top of other elements on the page, including floating menus, inline popups etc.
This can be pretty annoying if you have a flyout menu on your page and it goes behind the Flash video and this post shows how simple it is to fix. This works in all browsers inclding IE6+.
Lx5. Entretien clio. Velo. Assistance voyage. BD. Management. Thoughts within thoughts make us human. Liz Else, associate editor (Image: Ivo Berg (Crazy-Ivory)/Flickr/Getty) Cogito ergo sum - I think, therefore I am - was coined by René Descartes in 1637. He was struggling to find a solid philosophical basis for how we know about reality and truth. This is also turns out to be of the most famous examples of recursion, the process of embedding ideas within ideas that humans seem to do so effortlessly.
So effortlessly and so skilfully, in fact, that it's beginning to look like the one true dividing line between animals and humans that may hold up to close scrutiny. That's the hope of Michael Corballis, professor emeritus of psychology at the University of Auckland, New Zealand. In its ultra-reasonable way, this is quite a revolutionary book because it attacks key notions about language and thought. Chomsky's influential theory of universal grammar has been modified considerably since its origins in the 1960s, but it is still supported by many linguists.
Optique. Mobilier urbain. REcherche immo.