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The 97%

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Polishing a turd and calling it a diamond

97 Articles Refuting The "97% Consensus" The 97% "consensus" study, Cook et al. (2013) has been thoroughly refuted in scholarly peer-reviewed journals, by major news media, public policy organizations and think tanks, highly credentialed scientists and extensively in the climate blogosphere.

97 Articles Refuting The "97% Consensus"

The shoddy methodology of Cook's study has been shown to be so fatally flawed that well known climate scientists have publicly spoken out against it, "The '97% consensus' article is poorly conceived, poorly designed and poorly executed. It obscures the complexities of the climate issue and it is a sign of the desperately poor level of public and policy debate in this country [UK] that the energy minister should cite it. "- Mike Hulme, Ph.D. All "97% Consensus" Studies Refuted by Peer-Review. After showing how 97 articles thoroughly refuted the most prominent "consensus" study, Cook et al. (2013), consensus proponents inevitably moved the goal posts and fell back on other "97% consensus" studies: Doran & Zimmerman (2009), Anderegg et al. (2010) and Oreskes (2004) (which is really a 100% consensus study).

All "97% Consensus" Studies Refuted by Peer-Review

However, these have all been thoroughly refuted in the scholarly literature and the following are the refutations of them. Update: Since this article was first published additional studies have been used to perpetuate the long-debunked "97% consensus" talking point, such as Verheggen et al. (2014). While others like Stenhouse et al. (2014) actually demonstrated a 52% consensus. The Letter Science Magazine Rejected (PDF) [Archive](Energy & Environment, Volume 16, Numbers 3-4, pp. 685-688, July 2005)- Benny Peiser.

Survey of scientists debunks global warming 'consensus' - Principia Scientific International. Published on Written by www.examiner.com The facts continue to discredit the left’s fraudulent “consensus of experts.”

Survey of scientists debunks global warming 'consensus' - Principia Scientific International

This time, it is in the form of a recent survey of climate scientists by George Mason University. More than four thousand American Meteorological Society (AMS) members were recently asked about their positions on global warming (or ‘climate change,’ now that we know zero actual warminghas occurred for decades). And the results predictably fly in the face of everything we have been told. Approximately one-third acknowledged that global warming “is not occurring, is mostly natural, or is at most half-natural and half man-made … or simply think we ‘don’t know.'” As explained by Forbes: Responding to the findings, University of Alabama climate scientist Dr. 97%: An Inconvenient Truth About The Oft-Cited Polling Of Climate. Let’s Talk About The ‘97% Consensus’ On Global Warming. We’ve heard it time and time again: “97 percent of scientists agree global warming is real and man-made.”

Let’s Talk About The ‘97% Consensus’ On Global Warming

Question one aspect of the global warming “consensus” and politicians and activists immediately whip out the figure. “You disagree with 97 percent of scientists?” The 97 percent figure was often used by the Obama administration to bolster its case for phasing out fossil fuels, and President Barack Obama himself used the figure to undercut his critics. NASA even cites studies purporting to show near-unanimous agreement on the issue. More recently, Newsweek included this figure in an article fretting about “climate deniers” in state legislatures trying to influence science curriculum.

Liberals use the figure to shut down debate around global warming. The 52% Consensus. Cook’s 97% consensus study falsely classifies scientists’ papers according to the scientists that published them. UPDATE: More inconsistency: When asked about the categorizations of Cook et al, – “It would be incorrect to claim that our paper was an endorsement of CO2-induced global warming” Guest essay by Andrew of Popular Technology The paper, Cook et al. (2013) ‘Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature‘ searched the Web of Science for the phrases “global warming” and “global climate change” then categorizing these results to their alleged level of endorsement of AGW.

Cook’s 97% consensus study falsely classifies scientists’ papers according to the scientists that published them

These results were then used to allege a 97% consensus on human-caused global warming. To get to the truth, I emailed a sample of scientists whose papers were used in the study and asked them if the categorization by Cook et al. (2013) is an accurate representation of their paper. Craig D. Dr. More studies rebut climate change consensus amid government crackdown on dissent - Principia Scientific International. Published on Written by Valerie Richardson - The Washington Times The latest government crackdown on climate dissent, exemplified by last week’s subpoena of the Competitive Enterprise Institute, comes amid a surge of scientific research that pokes holes in the catastrophic climate change consensus.

More studies rebut climate change consensus amid government crackdown on dissent - Principia Scientific International

Even as Virgin Islands Attorney General Claude E. Walker demanded the free market think tank’s climate research and communications, a rising tide of evidence has challenged the narrative that increased carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere are driving floods, drought and other disasters. As of March 27, researchers had published 133 “consensus-skeptical” papers this year, bringing to 660 the number of such studies appearing since January 2014, blogger Kenneth Richard wrote on the skeptics website NoTricksZone. “There has been quite an uptick in papers that question the consensus this year,” said Anthony Watts, who runs the influential WattsUpWithThat? Mr. Political science: a response to 375 concerned members of the National Academy of Sciences. By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley, William M.

Political science: a response to 375 concerned members of the National Academy of Sciences

Briggs, David R. Legates, Anthony Lupo, Istvan Marko, Dennis Mitchell and Willie Soon. 97% Study Falsely Classifies Scientists' Papers, according to the scientists that published them. The paper, Cook et al. (2013) 'Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature' searched the Web of Science for the phrases "global warming" and "global climate change" then categorizing these results to their alleged level of endorsement of AGW.

97% Study Falsely Classifies Scientists' Papers, according to the scientists that published them

These results were then used to allege a 97% consensus on human-caused global warming. To get to the truth, I emailed a sample of scientists whose papers were used in the study and asked them if the categorization by Cook et al. (2013) is an accurate representation of their paper. Their responses are eye opening and evidence that the Cook et al. (2013) team falsely classified scientists' papers as "endorsing AGW", apparently believing to know more about the papers than their authors. Update 1: Dr. Climate Change: No, It’s Not a 97 Percent Consensus. Unable to address Texas senator Ted Cruz’s questions about “the Pause” — the apparent global-warming standstill, now almost 19 years long — at Tuesday’s meeting of the Senate Judiciary Subcommittee on Oversight, Sierra Club president Aaron Mair, after an uncomfortable pause of his own, appealed to authority: “Ninety-seven percent of scientists concur and agree that there is global warming and anthropogenic impact,” he stated multiple times.

Climate Change: No, It’s Not a 97 Percent Consensus

The relevant exchange begins at 1:39 (though the whole segment is worth watching): The myth of an almost-unanimous climate-change consensus is pervasive. Last May, the White House tweeted: “Ninety-seven percent of scientists agree: #climate change is real, man-made and dangerous.” A few days later, Secretary of State John Kerry announced, “Ninety-seven percent of the world’s scientists tell us this is urgent.” Almost everything the media tells you about skeptics is wrong: they’re engineers and hard scientists. They like physics too. In the mainstream media, skeptics are called Flat-Earthers, Deniers, and ideologues who deny basic physics.

Almost everything the media tells you about skeptics is wrong: they’re engineers and hard scientists. They like physics too.

So it’s no surprise that they are exactly the opposite. A recent survey of 5,286 readers of leading skeptical blogs (eg here, WattsUp) shows that the people driving the skeptical debate are predominantly engineers and hard scientists with backgrounds like maths, physics and chemistry. Which group in the population are least likely to deny basic physics?

Skeptics. I asked Mike Haseler for more details: Cooks ‘97% consensus’ disproven by a new peer reviewed paper showing major math errors. UPDATE: While this paper (a rebuttal) has been accepted, another paper by Cook and Nuccitelli has been flat out rejected by the journal Earth System Dynamics. See update below. – Anthony “0.3% climate consensus, not 97.1%” PRESS RELEASE – September 3rd, 2013 A major peer-reviewed paper by four senior researchers has exposed grave errors in an earlier paper in a new and unknown journal that had claimed a 97.1% scientific consensus that Man had caused at least half the 0.7 Cº global warming since 1950. Cook's 97% Consensus Study Game Plan Revealed. In March of 2012, the climate alarmist website Skeptical Science had their forums "hacked" and the contents posted online.

In a forum thread titled, "Introduction to TCP" (2012-01-19) John Cook layed out the game plan for the 97% consensus study, Cook et al. (2013) 'Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature', IntroductionIt's essential that the public understands that there's a scientific consensus on AGW.

So Jim Powell, Dana and I have been working on something over the last few months that we hope will have a game changing impact on the public perception of consensus. Basically, we hope to establish that not only is there a consensus, there is a strengthening consensus. Deniers like to portray the myth that the consensus is crumbling, that the tide is turning. In a forum thread titled, "Marketing Ideas" (2012-01-19) John Cook immediately moved onto marketing a "scientific" study before it was even started, Ari Jokimaki responded to Cook, Only 53% Of Climatologists & Meteorologists, 36% Of Engineers & Geoscientists, 19% Of Agronomists Are ‘Consensus’ Believers. Americans’ beliefs about climate change were recently surveyed by the Pew Research Center, and the results were made public a few days ago.

Pew pollsters found that a combined 51% of Americans agree that (a) there is no clear evidence the Earth is warming, or (b) natural factors are the main cause of climate changes. Therefore, just 48% of Americans believe the Earth is getting warmer, and this warming is mostly caused by humans. This belief percentage has essentially remained unchanged for the last 10 years, or since the survey was first conducted in 2006.

The 97% consensus of climate scientists is only 47% Summary: In February 2014 I examined surveys of climate scientists and found (as had others) that they showed broad agreement with the IPCC’s headline statement about warming since 1950. However time brings new research, such as a major survey that digs deeper and finds that only a minority of climate scientists agree with the full key statement of AR5 about greenhouse gases — the most recent IPCC report. That’s important news. Also see the important update below. Fake climate news brings costly, unneeded regulations. Have you ever met one of those “climate change deniers” that we constantly hear about?

That 3% of scientists who don’t care about our CO2-belching smokestacks and SUV’s causing polar bears to hyperventilate . . . or accept human blame for those recent first time ever extreme weather and coastal flooding events? I’m referring, of course, to the “crippling consequences” of climate change that former Secretary of State John Kerry warned graduating students at Boston College about in 2014, whereby “97% of the world’s scientists tell us this is urgent.”

Yet just in case you’re wondering where that 97% consensus claim come from, here’s a clue. It’s certainly not based upon any credible scientific studies or surveys. For starters, everyone I know agrees that the Earth has been slowly warming in fits-and-starts over the past 12,000 years or so since the end of the last major ice age, and that humans have likely had some (as yet unmeasured) recent influences. Heartland Institute Tries to Influence K-12 Teachers… Journalist Calls for Them the Be Burned at the Stake!!! Guest post by David Middleton OK… My “burned at the stake” comment was mostly sarcastic hyperbole… But the author of this CSM article really deserves a heaping dose of sarcastic hyperbole. SCIENCE FIRST LOOKHow climate skeptics are trying to influence 200,000 science teachersThe Heartland Institute has mailed tens of thousands of public school teachers a book titled ‘Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming,’ and has plans to mail copies to all 200,000 K-12 science teachers in the United States.Charlie Wood MARCH 30, 2017 —If you’re a public school science teacher, you’ve got mail.

Or if it hasn’t arrived yet, it’s on the way.The Heartland Institute, a Chicago-based think tank promoting public policy based on individual liberty, limited government, and free markets, has mailed 25,000 copies of its book “Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming” and an accompanying explanatory DVD to science teachers across the United States. Assuming, Mr. Peer-Reviewed Survey Finds Majority Of Scientists Skeptical Of Global Warming Crisis.

97% of climate models say that 97% of climate scientists are wrong. “The data doesn’t matter. We’re not basing our recommendations on the data. We’re basing them on the climate models.” – Prof. Chris Folland, Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research “The models are convenient fictions that provide something very useful.” – Dr David Frame, climate modeler, Oxford University. The IPCC consensus on climate change was phoney, says IPCC insider. The UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change misled the press and public into believing that thousands of scientists backed its claims on manmade global warming, according to Mike Hulme, a prominent climate scientist and IPCC insider. The actual number of scientists who backed that claim was “only a few dozen experts,” he states in a paper for Progress in Physical Geography, co-authored with student Martin Mahony.

Do Scientists Suppress Uncertainty in the Climate Change Debate? Paper Reviewed Post, S. 2016. The 97% consensus – a lie of epic proportions. To John Cook – it isn’t ‘hate’, it’s pity, – pity for having such a weak argument you are forced to fabricate conclusions of epic proportions Proving that crap can flow uphill, yesterday, John Cook got what one could consider the ultimate endorsement. Cook’s survey not only meaningless but also misleading « De staat van het klimaat. Senators Sing from Climate Hymnbook. More from true believers in climatism during today’s Senate confirmation hearings, featuring Bernie Sanders and Ed Markey. Ryan Zinke, nominee for Secretary of the Interior appeared before the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee for his confirmation hearing Tuesday.

Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont: Is President Elect Trump right? NASA and Climate Dogma. Recently in a confirmation hearing Senator Harris of California claimed that according to NASA, 97% or more of actively published climate scientists agree that climate warning trends over the past century are extremely likely due to human activities. Then she suggested no one should doubt this finding. Do 97% of experts agree with the IPCC that human CO2 emissions are causing dangerous global warming? The 97% Cook Consensus – when will Environ Res Letters retract it? Hump Day Hilarity – The 97% climate expertise [warning graphic content] Josh writes: I had an idea with Brandon [Shollenberger] about discovering a secret stupid chart along the lines of the one he found.

Deep-Sixing Another Useful Climate Myth - Principia Scientific International. Popular Technology.net: 1350+ Peer-Reviewed Papers Supporting Skeptic Arguments Against ACC/AGW Alarmism. Crumbling ‘Consensus’: 500 Scientific Papers Published In 2016 Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarm. Freeman Dyson: speaking out on “global warming” Dr. Harold Lewis, why he resigned from the American Physical Society (APS) MEDIA RELEASE - CLIMATE REALIST DECLARATION TOPS 1,100 ENDORSERS. SPECIAL REPORT: More Than 1000 International Scientists Dissent Over Man-Made Global Warming Claims – Challenge UN IPCC & Gore.

49 Former NASA Scientists Send A Letter Disputing Climate Change. Global Warming Petition Project.