The Economics of the Singularity | 60 Second Reads. The Singularity - a potential future event that represents computers overtaking human intelligence - is one of the most talked about ideas on Big Think. However, here is a perspective that we don't often see. How will the Singularity impact economic productivity? You will get $40 trillion just by reading this essay and understanding what it says. That's what Ray Kurzweil famously wrote in his 2001 essay, "The Law of Accelerating Returns. " Now that's a bit hard to grasp. On the other hand, here is how Robin Hanson, an economist at George Mason University in Washington, D.C., put it to NBC News: The past two singularities — the Agricultural and Industrial revolutions — led to a doubling in economic productivity every 1,000 and 15 years, respectively, said Robin Hanson, an economist at George Mason University in Washington, D.C., who is writing a book about the future singularity.
Understanding STEM (formerly, MEST), STEM+I, and STEM Compression in Universal Change. More on STEM Compression as the apparent driver of universal accelerating change (geochemical, biological, cultural, and technological) can be found in the following paper:: Evo Devo Universe? A Framework for Speculations on Cosmic Culture (PDF), 2008-10. Feedback, edits, and critiques always appreciated. STEM Compression: A Brief Introduction The developmental history of the universe, of life on Earth, and of human technological civilization may be briefly and elegantly summarized as doing more (universal computation, or processes of matter-energy transformation), better (more intelligently, morally, or in a more self-aware manner) with less (physical resources, or STEM per standard computation).
Here on Earth, this process has gotten so advanced that it sometimes seems that a few decades or centuries hence humanity's descendants will be capable of doing "almost everything" with "virtually nothing" in terms of physical resources. 1. Consider biogenesis, the emergence of life on Earth. Superintelligence. A superintelligence, hyperintelligence, or superhuman intelligence is a hypothetical agent that possesses intelligence far surpassing that of the brightest and most gifted human minds. ‘’Superintelligence’’ may also refer to the form or degree of intelligence possessed by such an agent.
Technological forecasters and researchers disagree about when human intelligence is likely to be surpassed. Some argue that advances in artificial intelligence (AI) will probably result in general reasoning systems that lack human cognitive limitations. Others believe that humans will evolve or directly modify their biology so as to achieve radically greater intelligence. A number of futures studies scenarios combine elements from both of these possibilities, suggesting that humans are likely to interface with computers, or upload their minds to computers, in a way that enables substantial intelligence amplification. Definition[edit] Feasibility[edit] Superintelligence scenarios[edit] Concerns[edit] Alcor Life Extension Foundation. This "bigfoot" Dewar is custom-designed to contain four wholebody patients and six neuropatients immersed in liquid nitrogen at −196 degrees Celsius.
The Dewar is an insulated container which consumes no electric power. Liquid nitrogen is added periodically to replace the small amount that evaporates. The Alcor Life Extension Foundation, most often referred to as Alcor, is a Scottsdale, Arizona, USA-based nonprofit company that researches, advocates for and performs cryonics, the preservation of humans in liquid nitrogen after legal death, with hopes of restoring them to full health when new technology is developed in the future. As of February 28, 2014, Alcor had 973 members, 91 associate members and 121 patients in cryopreservation, many as neuropatients (79 of Alcor patients were neuropatients or brain preservation patients as of December 2013).[3][4][5] Alcor also cryopreserves the pets of members. As of November 15, 2007, there were 33 pets in suspension.[6][7] History[edit] Cryonics. Technicians prepare a patient for cryopreservation Cryonics (from Greek κρύος kryos- meaning icy cold) is the low-temperature preservation of humans who cannot be sustained by contemporary medicine, with the hope that healing and resuscitation may be possible in the future.[1][2] Cryopreservation of people or large animals is not reversible with current technology.
The stated rationale for cryonics is that people who are considered dead by current legal or medical definitions may not necessarily be dead according to the more stringent information-theoretic definition of death.[3] It is proposed that cryopreserved people might someday be recovered by using highly advanced technology.[4] The future repair technologies assumed by cryonics are still hypothetical and not widely known or recognized.
Premises[edit] Obstacles to success[edit] Preservation injury[edit] Long-term cryopreservation can be achieved by cooling to near 77.15 Kelvin, the boiling point of liquid nitrogen. Revival[edit] Association for Consciousness Exploration. The Association for Consciousness Exploration LLC (ACE) is an American organization based in Northeastern Ohio which produces events, books, and recorded media in the fields of "magic, mind-sciences, alternative lifestyles, comparative religion/spirituality, entertainment, holistic healing, and related subjects. "[1] History[edit] The organization was founded in 1983 by members of the "Chameleon Club" (founded in 1978), and their fictional founder, C. Activities and functions[edit] ACE is best known for hosting the annual Starwood Festival, a six-day summer camping event held in July featuring live entertainment and classes on a variety of subjects including Neopaganism, eclectic spirituality, consciousness, holistic health and other topics,[9][10] and the annual WinterStar Symposium,[1] usually held in February.
Location[edit] Notes[edit] References[edit] External links[edit] rosencomet.com - the Association for Consciousness Exploration website. Keith Henson. Howard Keith Henson (born 1942) is an American electrical engineer and writer on space engineering, space law (Moon treaty), memetics, cryonics, evolutionary psychology and physical limitations of Transhumanism. In 1975, he and his then-wife Carolyn Meinel founded the L5 Society, which promoted space colonization and which was eventually folded into the National Space Society. More recently, Henson's outspoken criticism of the Church of Scientology and subsequent criminal proceedings have gained him headlines. Early influences University During much of this period, Henson worked at a geophysics company, mostly running induced polarization surveys in the western US and Peru.
Druid prank Henson was known at the University of Arizona as one of the founders of the Druid Student Center, where a campus humor newspaper, The Frumious Bandersnatch was published in the late 1960s. Analog engineering Henson married his first wife, Carolyn Meinel, in 1967[9] and they divorced in 1981.[7] L5 Society Works.
Astro Teller. Astro Teller (born May 29, 1970) is an entrepreneur, scientist, and author, with expertise in the field of intelligent technology. Career[edit] Astro Teller was born Eric Teller in Cambridge, England. He is the grandson of both Gérard Debreu and Edward Teller.[1] Teller holds a Bachelor of Science in computer science from Stanford University, Masters of Science in symbolic computation (symbolic and heuristic computation), also from Stanford University, and a Ph.D. in artificial intelligence from Carnegie Mellon University, where he was a recipient of the prestigious Hertz fellowship.[2] After working as a teacher at Stanford University, Teller became a business executive.
He is the co-founder and Chairman of BodyMedia, makers of the "BodyMedia FIT", "Bodybugg", and the "Sensewear" armbands (wearable devices that function as a dashboard for the human body; measuring sleep, perspiration, motion, and calories burned).[3] He is a published author with Random House. Teller currently[when?]
Google Begins Testing Its Augmented-Reality Glasses. Photos via GoogleGoogle showed off its first venture into wearable computing, called Project Glass. If you venture into a coffee shop in the coming months and see someone with a pair of futuristic glasses that look like a prop from “Star Trek,” don’t worry. It’s probably just a Google employee testing the company’s new augmented-reality glasses. On Wednesday, Google gave people a clearer picture of its secret initiative called Project Glass. The glasses are the company’s first venture into wearable computing.
The glasses are not yet for sale. Google will, however, be testing them in public. In a post shared on Google Plus, employees in the company laboratory known as Google X, including Babak Parviz, Steve Lee and Sebastian Thrun, asked people for input about the prototype of Project Glass. “We’re sharing this information now because we want to start a conversation and learn from your valuable input,” the three employees wrote.
Freedom (TM): Daniel Suarez: 9780451231895: Amazon.com. Daemon (technothriller series) Daemon and Freedom™ comprise a two-part novel by the author Daniel Suarez about a distributed, persistent computer application, known as The Daemon, that begins to change the real world after the original programmer's death. Walter F. Parkes, who produced the 1983 film WarGames, had optioned the film rights to Daemon with Paramount Pictures,[1] however these rights likely reverted to Suarez on 8 December 2012.[2] During his investigation, Peter meets and befriends Jon Ross who is a technology consultant.
Unfortunately, their traditional investigation methods are useless against Sobol's Daemon program. The program takes over thousands of companies and provides financial and computing resources for creating AutoM8s (computer controlled driverless cars, used as transport and occasionally as weapons), Razorbacks (sword-wielding robotic riderless motorcycles, specifically designed as weapons) and other devices. Matthew A. David Chalmers. David John Chalmers (/ˈtʃælmərz/;[1] born 20 April 1966) is an Australian philosopher and cognitive scientist specializing in the area of philosophy of mind and philosophy of language. He is Professor of Philosophy and Director of the Centre for Consciousness at the Australian National University.
He is also Professor of Philosophy at New York University.[2] In 2013, he was elected a Fellow of the American Academy of Arts & Sciences. Life[edit] Since 2004, Chalmers has been Professor of Philosophy, Director of the Centre for Consciousness, and an ARC Federation Fellow at the Australian National University.
A Rhodes Scholar raised in Australia, Chalmers received his PhD at Indiana University Bloomington under Douglas Hofstadter. He was a postdoctoral fellow in the Philosophy-Neuroscience-Psychology program directed by Andy Clark at Washington University in St. He is the lead singer of the Zombie Blues band which performed at the Qualia Fest in 2012.[5] in New York. Thought[edit] PhilPapers. This may sound like a weird question, but if our only premiss was for a person to stay conscious, what parts of the human body could be taken away for the person to still stay alive and conscious? : askscience.
The Ghosts We Leave Behind — Better Humans. One of my good friends, Dannel Jurado, recently did an excellent piece in Tiny Cartridge about Pokemon X / Y’s ability to store Pokemon in a cloud service rooted somewhere on the Internet. Additionally, through some circuitous methods, you’ll be able to transfer Pokemon in from 3 generations ago into the most recent release. Jurado goes on to muse about how this indicates that we, as a society, are beginning to form attachments to data in the same way we form attachments to old photographs or worn books — we’ll be able to play a brand-new Pokemon game with hand-raised creatures that will be older than some of the children playing the games to begin with.
However, the difference between forming an attachment to a first-edition print of Old Man and the Sea and your 10-year-old Roselia is that the book was printed in a moment in time and, when changing hands, continues to be the same book. So, for those raised by the Internet and described by data, there are thousands of you. Moore's law. Moore's law is the observation that, over the history of computing hardware, the number of transistors on integrated circuits doubles approximately every two years. The law is named after Intel co-founder Gordon E. Moore, who described the trend in his 1965 paper.[1][2][3] His prediction has proven to be accurate, in part because the law is now used in the semiconductor industry to guide long-term planning and to set targets for research and development.[4] The capabilities of many digital electronic devices are strongly linked to Moore's law: processing speed, memory capacity, sensors and even the number and size of pixels in digital cameras.[5] All of these are improving at roughly exponential rates as well.
This exponential improvement has dramatically enhanced the impact of digital electronics in nearly every segment of the world economy.[6] Moore's law describes a driving force of technological and social change in the late 20th and early 21st centuries.[7][8] History[edit] File:ParadigmShiftsFrr15Events.svg. ✓ The source code of this SVG is valid. Summary[edit] Fifteen views of evolution: When plotted on a logarithmic graph, 15 separate lists of key events in history and prehistory are claimed by Ray Kurzweil to show an exponential trend.
Graphed by Ray Kurzweil, based on lists compiled by Theodore Modis, who "attempted to develop a precise mathematical law that governs the evolution of change and complexity in the Universe". To reduce bias, Modis compiled thirteen multiple independent lists of major events in the history of biology and technology from the sources listed below. The lists have between 12 and 47 events, and most of them have between 15 and 20 events. Lists[edit] The first 14 lists are included in the following source: T.Modis, Forecasting the Growth of Complexity and Change, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 69, No 4, 2002 John R. Reference[edit] Ray Kurzweil, The Singularity Is Near : When Humans Transcend Biology, Viking Adult, 2005, ISBN 0670033847. Citations[edit] Is Near -SIN Graph - Internet Data Traffic.
Wired 8.04: Why the future doesn't need us. Why the future doesn't need us. Our most powerful 21st-century technologies - robotics, genetic engineering, and nanotech - are threatening to make humans an endangered species. By Bill Joy From the moment I became involved in the creation of new technologies, their ethical dimensions have concerned me, but it was only in the autumn of 1998 that I became anxiously aware of how great are the dangers facing us in the 21st century. I can date the onset of my unease to the day I met Ray Kurzweil, the deservedly famous inventor of the first reading machine for the blind and many other amazing things.
Ray and I were both speakers at George Gilder's Telecosm conference, and I encountered him by chance in the bar of the hotel after both our sessions were over. While I had heard such talk before, I had always felt sentient robots were in the realm of science fiction. It's easy to get jaded about such breakthroughs. I found myself most troubled by a passage detailing adystopian scenario: Page 2 >>
Exponential growth. Law of Accelerating Returns.
Michel Kaku. Ray Kurzweil. Augmented Reality. Matt Mills: Image recognition that triggers augmented reality. Stanford–Binet Intelligence Scales. Advanced Intelligence/Autism Studies. Computer Sentience. Transhumanism. Direct Brain-to-Brain Communication in Humans: A Pilot Study. The incredible growth of the Internet since 2000. How Pay-Per-Gaze Advertising Could Work With Google Glass. Michio Kaku: The Intelligence Revolution.
Can We Have Brain-to-Brain Communication? Researcher Controls Another Person's Brain Over the Internet. ‘Vulcan Mind Meld’: First Human Brain-to-Brain Communication Lets Scientist Control Another Person’s Movement. Moore's law. Singularity. Future human missions to mars. Warm-Blooded Plants and Freeze-Dried Fish by Freeman J. Dyson. Energy development. Freeman Dyson. Down and Out in the Magic Kingdom. Will Minecraft and Makerbot Usher in the Post-Scarcity Economy? | Idea Channel | PBS Digital Studios. Will Minecraft and Makerbot Usher in the Post-Scarcity Economy? | Idea Channel | PBS Digital Studios. Post Scarcity Utopia - HOPE FOR DESPAIRING PEOPLE. Waking From Sleep: The Causes of Higher States of Consciousness.
Mars sample return mission. Warm-Blooded Plants and Freeze-Dried Fish by Freeman J. Dyson. Dyson sphere. Dyson sphere. Michio Kaku. Kardashev scale. March towards Type1 Civilization. The Dialectic of the Nature-Society-System | Fuchs | tripleC: Communication, Capitalism & Critique. Open Access Journal for a Global Sustainable Information Society. Outline for talk on dialectics of technology revolution. Genetically modified organism. Technological singularity.