Send to a friend Your IP address will be logged Share Short link for this page: Contact us Meet the Environment team Report errors or inaccuracies: firstname.lastname@example.org Letters for publication should be sent to: email@example.com Close. Nicholas Stern: 'I got it wrong on climate change – it's far, far worse' | Environment | The Observer. Lord Stern, author of the government-commissioned review on climate change that became the reference work for politicians and green campaigners, now says he underestimated the risks, and should have been more "blunt" about the threat posed to the economy by rising temperatures.
In an interview at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Stern, who is now a crossbench peer, said: "Looking back, I underestimated the risks. The planet and the atmosphere seem to be absorbing less carbon than we expected, and emissions are rising pretty strongly. Some of the effects are coming through more quickly than we thought then. " The Stern review, published in 2006, pointed to a 75% chance that global temperatures would rise by between two and three degrees above the long-term average; he now believes we are "on track for something like four ". Had he known the way the situation would evolve, he says, "I think I would have been a bit more blunt. The History of Climate Change Negotiations in 83 seconds. Data.GISS: GISS Surface Temperature Analysis. Global Warming: An Exclusive Look at James Hansen’s Scary New Math. How can NASA physicist and climatologist James E.
Hansen, writing in the New York Times today, “say with high confidence” that recent heat waves in Texas and Russia “were not natural events” but actually “caused by human-induced climate change”? It wasn’t all that long ago that respected MIT atmospheric scientist Kerry Emanuel flatly refuted the notion that you can pinpoint global warming as the cause of an extreme weather event.
“It’s statistical nonsense,” he told PBS. In 2005, Emanuel reported that hurricane intensity, which is fed by warmth, had increased some 80 percent during the previous 50 years, a period during which temperatures had increased more dramatically than any time in at least 500 years. Nonetheless, he asserted, that didn’t mean Hurricane Katrina, the sixth strongest Atlantic storm on record, had been brought on by climate change. (MORE: Cutting Carbon Means More than Fancy Bookkeeping) Hansen’s reasoning has to do with math. Bill McKibben, Buying Congress in 2012. Var femte småföretagare släcker under Earth Hour – men oroar sig mer för annat än klimatförändringar | Webfinanser - nyheter aktier it lyx bil nöje spel mobil räntor taxeringskalender. Företag Var femte småföretagare kommer att uppmärksamma Earth Hour nu på lördag. Men bara var tionde oroar sig egentligen för klimatförändringarna, enligt en undersökning som Trygg-Hansa gjort. Inte bara kommuner, stora företag och intresseorganisationer engagerar sig i Earth Hour på lördag.
Även småföretagare agerar genom att släcka ljuset i sina lokaler och att uppmana sina anställda att göra det hemma. Men bara var tionde småföretagare oroar sig egentligen för klimatförändringarna. Trygg-Hansa ger i år ut Världens Chans, www.trygghansa.se/varldenschans, en undersökning om hur föräldrar möter barns oro och frågor om klimatförändringar. Om undersökningarnaTrygg-Hansa har under februari 2012 låtit göra en undersökning genom undersökningsföretaget YouGov. 506 personer med eget företag har svarat på undersökningen. MyNewsdesk. U.K. to mandate CO2 reporting for largest corporations. The U.K. government today confirmed that it will introduce mandatory carbon reporting rules requiring around 1,800 of the country's largest listed companies to report annually on their greenhouse gas emissions.
In The Guardian, deputy prime minister Nick Clegg, who will tomorrow represent the U.K. at the Rio +20 Earth Summit in Brazil, wrote that long-awaited emission reporting rules would come into effect next April. "Using resources responsibly is in business's own interests too," he wrote. "Pepsi depends on water, Unilever depends on fish stocks and agricultural land, and every firm relies on a stable fuel supply. But while nine out of 10 chief executives say sustainability is fundamental to their success, only two out of 10 record the resources they consume. "So the U.K. will press for governments to come together, working with those companies already blazing a trail, to give 'sustainability reporting' a global push. Environmentalists hail the move. No Bail-Out for the Planet.
Why is it so easy to save the banks, but so hard to save the biosphere? By George Monbiot, published on the Guardian’s website 16th December 2011 They bailed out the banks in days. But even deciding to bail out the planet is taking decades. Lord Stern estimated that capping climate change would cost around 1% of global GDP, while sitting back and letting it hit us would cost between 5 and 20%. One per cent of GDP is, at the moment, $630bn. This support was issued on demand: as soon as the banks said they wanted help, they got it. Much of this was done both unconditionally and secretly: it took journalists two years to winkle out the detail. But getting the US government to commit to any form of bailout for the planet – even a couple of billion – is like pulling teeth. I’m often struck by the wildly inflated rhetoric of those who accuse environmentalists of scaremongering. The US and other nations began talking seriously about tackling climate change in 1988.
Www.monbiot.com. Så klimatbromsar svenska direktörer. Per-Olof Eriksson, Sverker Martin-Löf, Mats Qviberg och Carl-Henric Svanberg. Bakom kulisserna stärks klimatskeptikerna i svenska näringslivstoppen. Ingenjörsvetenskapsakademien kan inte ens enas om en linje i frågan. Klimatmötet kommer att gå åt skogen. Det är i stort sett det enda vi vet på förhand, när delegater från hela världen nu återigen samlas för att träta om utsläppsnivåer och bristande politiska ambitioner. Efter fiaskona i Köpenhamn och Mexiko de senaste två åren vågar ingen hoppas på ett nytt, bindande avtal som på allvar kommer att minska de skenande utsläppen av växthusgaser. I år hålls mötet, COP17, i Durban, Sydafrika. . – Jag skulle önska att jag vore mer positiv, men det är en svår situation, sa Lena Ek till SVT tidigare i veckan. Men vad är det som är så svårt, egentligen? I offentligheten går stridslinjen mellan klimatvärnarna och näringslivet i frågan om praktiska lösningar på klimatproblemen.
Frågan om ledarnas inställning till klimatforskningen är känslig. Ibland«. p091101-The-one-degree-war-plan. Climate deal salvaged after marathon talks in Durban | Environment | The Observer. Countries have agreed a deal in Durban to push for a new climate treaty, salvaging the latest round of United Nations climate talks from the brink of collapse. The UK's cimate change secretary, Chris Huhne, hailed the deal, finally struck in the early hours of Sunday after talks had overrun by a day and a half, as a "significant step forward" that would deliver a global, overarching legal agreement to cut emissions. He said it sent a strong signal to businesses and investors about moving to a low-carbon economy. But environmental groups said negotiators had failed to show the ambition necessary to cut emissions by levels that would limit global temperature rises to no more than 2C and avoid "dangerous" climate change.
But talks were plunged into disarray after the EU clashed with India and China in a series of passionate exchanges over the legal status of a potential new agreement, putting more than a year of talks between 194 countries in jeopardy. Cost of extra year's climate inaction $500 billion: IEA. World headed for irreversible climate change in five years, IEA warns | Environment. The world is likely to build so many fossil-fuelled power stations, energy-guzzling factories and inefficient buildings in the next five years that it will become impossible to hold global warming to safe levels, and the last chance of combating dangerous climate change will be "lost for ever", according to the most thorough analysis yet of world energy infrastructure.
Anything built from now on that produces carbon will do so for decades, and this "lock-in" effect will be the single factor most likely to produce irreversible climate change, the world's foremost authority on energy economics has found. If this is not rapidly changed within the next five years, the results are likely to be disastrous.
"The door is closing," Fatih Birol, chief economist at the International Energy Agency, said. "I am very worried – if we don't change direction now on how we use energy, we will end up beyond what scientists tell us is the minimum [for safety]. The door will be closed forever. " Global economy gets dirtier for first time in a decade: it's no time to panic | Damian Carrington | Environment. With energy prices rising, turning household bills into political kryptonite and making the debate ever more fierce, it's worth reminding ourselves what this is all about. It is, first and foremost, about cutting the emissions of greenhouse gases that are dangerously warming our planet down to a level deemed "safe".
This is not an optional extra in the energy debate. If you think it is - that climate change is nothing to worry about - then you are on the wild fringes of the debate: not a single government or science academy agrees with you. Cost and security of supply are also crucial of course, but not at the expense of cutting carbon. And that makes a quartet of new reports pretty depressing reading. The first, from consultants PwC, shows that for the first time in a decade global emissions are increasing faster than economic growth.
Of course it's all fault of China, isn't it? So the message is invest now in clean energy - creating jobs and growth - to save in the future. The G20 must tackle climate change | Mary Robinson | Global development. Protesters take part in an anti-G20 demonstration in Nice on Tuesday. Photograph: Frederic Nebinger/Getty Images Critics often accuse world leaders of being able to focus on no more than one problem at once. So with the economic crisis, and the eurozone's problems in particular, dominating recent G20 discussions, what are the chances of progress on climate change at this week's leaders' summit in Cannes? The economic crisis has done little to sharpen the pressure for action to tackle climate change.
Banking collapses, austerity programmes and social unrest have for the most part knocked climate change from newspaper front pages. Action cannot be put off until the economic storm has passed. The poor countries most vulnerable to the floods, droughts, storms and other extreme weather associated with climate change need help now. It is rich countries whose emissions are overwhelmingly responsible for climate change.
The political case for action is also strong. Uppdatering av den vetenskapliga grunden för klimatarbetet | Publikationer. Typ: Rapporter, Serie: Klimatologi, KlimatSerie Klimatologi, 4Publicerad: september 2011Författare: Markku Rummukainen, Daniel J. A. Johansson, Christian Azar, Joakim Langner, Ralf Döscher, Henrik SmithUppdatering av den vetenskapliga grunden för klimatarbetet - En översyn av naturvetenskapliga aspekter (1,2 MB, pdf) Sammanfattning Det naturvetenskapliga kunskapsläget om klimatförändringarna förbättrats ständigt genom forskningen om klimatsystemet, klimatpåverkan, klimatets variationer och förändringar samt klimateffekter.
Kunskapsläget är väletablerat när det gäller den grundläggande fysiken bakom växthuseffekten, liksom att genomsnittstemperaturen vid jordytan stigit de senaste femtio åren. Samtidigt finns det betydande osäkerheter när det gäller konsekvenserna av klimatförändringarna samt hur mycket utsläppen behöver minska för att man ska nå ett givet klimatmål.
Forskningen visar att det behövs stora och snabba utsläppsminskningar för att uppnå tvågradersmålet. Isande sommar. Skrämmande nyheter från skilda delar av världen förmörkar min semester. Terrorn i Norge förfärar genom sin oförutsägbarhet. Men den följdes av något lika oväntat. Norge besegrade snabbt terrorn med imponerande sammanhållning och ett orubbligt försvar av demokrati och öppenhet. Svälten i Somalia förblir tragisk. Torka, avsaknad av en fungerande stat och en sen internationell respons orsakar svältkatastrofen. För mig är det inte omfattningen som skrämmer mest. Riktigt otäckt blir det när medierna inte ens rapporterar. Men i sommar bar det av i rekordfart igen. Om det varit en väljarundersökning hade det hetat att förändringen av isytan är statistiskt säkerställd.
Klimat- och energiforskarna är säkra på att omställningen till ett nytt grönt energisystem kommer att ta lång tid. Förra veckan rapporterade SCB att den svenska nationalinkomsten vuxit med 5,4 procent under det andra kvartalet 2011. Men miljöminister Andreas Carlgren har ännu ingen aning om koldioxidutsläppen under 2010. Global Warming's Terrifying New Math | Politics News. If the pictures of those towering wildfires in Colorado haven't convinced you, or the size of your AC bill this summer, here are some hard numbers about climate change: June broke or tied 3,215 high-temperature records across the United States. That followed the warmest May on record for the Northern Hemisphere – the 327th consecutive month in which the temperature of the entire globe exceeded the 20th-century average, the odds of which occurring by simple chance were 3.7 x 10-99, a number considerably larger than the number of stars in the universe.
Meteorologists reported that this spring was the warmest ever recorded for our nation – in fact, it crushed the old record by so much that it represented the "largest temperature departure from average of any season on record. " The same week, Saudi authorities reported that it had rained in Mecca despite a temperature of 109 degrees, the hottest downpour in the planet's history.
Not that our leaders seemed to notice. 2011 COP17 succumbs to Climate Apartheid! - Climate Justice Now! Antidote is Cochabamba Peoples’ Agreement! CJN! Press release, 10 December, Durban, S. Africa Decisions resulting from the UN COP17 climate summit in Durban constitute a crime against humanity, according to Climate Justice Now! “Delaying real action until 2020 is a crime of global proportions,” said Nnimmo Bassey, Chair of Friends of the Earth International.
According to Pablo Solón, former lead negotiator for the Plurinational State of Bolivia, “It is false to say that a second commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol has been adopted in Durban. The world’s polluters have blocked real action and have once again chosen to bail out investors and banks by expanding the now-crashing carbon markets – which like all financial market activities these days, appear to mainly enrich a select few. Despite talk of a “roadmap” offered up by the EU, the failure in Durban shows that this is a cul-de-sac, a road to nowhere. On technology On agriculture On REDD + and forest carbon projects On climate debt. Watch 131 Years of Global Warming in 26 Seconds. Klimatförändringarna oroar EU-medborgare. The scientific finding that settles the climate-change debate.