background preloader


Please read this link to learn about the author and background to these posts. It seems many people are breathing some relief, and I’m not sure why. An epidemic curve has a relatively predictable upslope and once the peak is reached, the back slope can also be predicted. We have robust data from the outbreaks in China and Italy, that shows the backside of the mortality curve declines slowly, with deaths persisting for months. Assuming we have just crested in deaths at 70k, it is possible that we lose another 70,000 people over the next 6 weeks as we come off that peak. That's what's going to happen with a lockdown. As states reopen, and we give the virus more fuel, all bets are off. There are very few states that have demonstrated a sustained decline in numbers of new infections. (as of May 3rd) So throughout most of the country we are going to add fuel to the viral fire by reopening. Where are people getting sick? We know most people get infected in their own home. Sobering right? Erin S.

Related:  Research and science behind COVID-19SAR-COV-2 AcademicCovid-19Disease understandingCovid 19

How do they test for coronavirus, how long does it take and where do you go to get tested? - ABC News Not everyone who wants a COVID-19 test will get one. Australia doesn't have enough to go around, so doctors are being asked to limit tests to those most likely to test positive. These include people who: Have recently been overseasHave been in contact with a known caseHave been hospitalised with pneumoniaAre frontline health workersAnd, as of Friday, aged care workers If you're worried you might have COVID-19, Queensland Health has created a quiz you can take (regardless of which state you're in) to find out what you should do. Estimating the overdispersion in... Introduction A novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, which is considered to be associated with a market in Wuhan, China, is now affecting a number of countries worldwide1,2. A substantial number of human-to-human transmission has occurred; the basic reproduction number R0 (the average number of secondary transmissions caused by a single primary case in a fully susceptible population) has been estimated around 2–33–5. More than 100 countries have observed confirmed cases of COVID-19.

How a $175 COVID-19 Test Led to $2,479 in Charges ProPublica is a nonprofit newsroom that investigates abuses of power. Sign up to receive our biggest stories as soon as they’re published. This article is co-published with The Texas Tribune, a nonprofit, nonpartisan local newsroom that informs and engages with Texans. Sign up for The Brief weekly to get up to speed on their essential coverage of Texas issues. As she waited for the results of her rapid COVID-19 test, Rachel de Cordova sat in her car and read through a stack of documents given to her by SignatureCare Emergency Center. Without de Cordova leaving her car, the staff at the freestanding emergency room near her home in Houston had checked her blood pressure, pulse and temperature during the July 21 appointment.

Evidence based suggestions for the return to elective orthopaedic surgery following the COVID-19 pandemic By Sarkhell Radhaa,b and Irrum AfzalbaCroydon University Hospital London, UKbSouth West London Elective Orthopaedic Centre, UK Published 01 May 2020 Editor’s note: They say that nature abhors a vacuum so as participants in the natural world we are as guilty as others in wanting to fill one. There is a void of guidance waiting to be filled. We know that for some things we are better given a free hand to act locally but that for others we need to work as a pack, as this provides consistency, resilience, safety, reproducibility and all the other products of unified standardised working which we have been advocating as a profession.

Should I get tested? What if I don't have symptoms? Will it hurt? Your COVID-19 testing questions answered - ABC News It's no secret that COVID-19 testing is crucial to get control back over the virus situation in Australia. From the number of people getting tested, to the way that data is reported, to exactly how it physically feels, there's no shortage of questions about COVID-19 tests. If you're still not sure about getting tested and how it works, we've answered some frequently asked questions right here. I'm not feeling too good … should I get tested? Yes, you should organise to get tested if you're not feeling well — no matter how badly you don't want to see that positive result. Menzies Health Institute infectious diseases and immunology director Nigel McMillan says if you're sick, particularly if you have obvious symptoms, just get a test.

Assessment of Deaths From COVID-19 and From Seasonal Influenza As of early May 2020, approximately 65 000 people in the US had died of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19),1 the disease caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). This number appears to be similar to the estimated number of seasonal influenza deaths reported annually by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) ( This apparent equivalence of deaths from COVID-19 and seasonal influenza does not match frontline clinical conditions, especially in some hot zones of the pandemic where ventilators have been in short supply and many hospitals have been stretched beyond their limits. The demand on hospital resources during the COVID-19 crisis has not occurred before in the US, even during the worst of influenza seasons. Yet public officials continue to draw comparisons between seasonal influenza and SARS-CoV-2 mortality, often in an attempt to minimize the effects of the unfolding pandemic.

COVID-Lab: Mapping COVID-19 in Your Community If you’re experiencing issues loading the “Projected Cases for 4 Weeks” tab click here or the “Projected Cases with Roll-back Scenarios” tab click here to view the graphs on an alternative platform. We measure social distancing as the percentage change in travel to non-essential businesses, as compared to normal activity before the pandemic. We calculate travel to non-essential businesses using cellphone GPS data from Unacast. COVID-19 - assessing your risk We know that if you or a loved one are living with a long-term health condition such as arthritis, the information available can be confusing. We’ve pulled together the latest content from the NHS and worked with the British Rheumatology Society on guidance to help you assess your risk levels, and how best to protect yourself at this time. Assessing your risk – rheumatology patients How high is my risk? Why is this important for rheumatology patients?

What is COVID-19 rapid testing, and should we be using it in Australia? - ABC News They're portable, scalable, and easy to use — and most importantly, can deliver a result in just 15 minutes. COVID-19 rapid tests, though considered less accurate than the widely used PCR tests, offer the possibility of testing more people with fewer resources in less time. Just this week, one-hour rapid COVID-19 tests were introduced at Heathrow airport in London as a way to screen passengers as healthy before they travel. So, could they be used as a screening tool in Australia to potentially reopen workplaces, community events and even borders? Let's take a look. How rapid testing works