background preloader

Erinbromage

Erinbromage
Please read this link to learn about the author and background to these posts. It seems many people are breathing some relief, and I’m not sure why. An epidemic curve has a relatively predictable upslope and once the peak is reached, the back slope can also be predicted. We have robust data from the outbreaks in China and Italy, that shows the backside of the mortality curve declines slowly, with deaths persisting for months. Assuming we have just crested in deaths at 70k, it is possible that we lose another 70,000 people over the next 6 weeks as we come off that peak. That's what's going to happen with a lockdown. As states reopen, and we give the virus more fuel, all bets are off. There are very few states that have demonstrated a sustained decline in numbers of new infections. (as of May 3rd) So throughout most of the country we are going to add fuel to the viral fire by reopening. Where are people getting sick? We know most people get infected in their own home. Sobering right? Erin S.

https://www.erinbromage.com/post/the-risks-know-them-avoid-them

Related:  Research and science behind COVID-19Covid-19SAR-COV-2 AcademicDisease understandingHealth & Wellness

Is the airborne route a major source of coronavirus transmission? As the world continues to grapple with the coronavirus pandemic, one question that keeps coming up is whether COVID-19 can be transmitted through the air. In fact, 239 scientists in 32 countries have written an open letter to the World Health Organisation (WHO) arguing there is mounting evidence the airborne route plays a role in the transmission of COVID-19. Like a lot of issues to do with the pandemic, what seems to be a relatively straightforward question is deceptively complex.

Estimating the overdispersion in... Introduction A novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, which is considered to be associated with a market in Wuhan, China, is now affecting a number of countries worldwide1,2. A substantial number of human-to-human transmission has occurred; the basic reproduction number R0 (the average number of secondary transmissions caused by a single primary case in a fully susceptible population) has been estimated around 2–33–5. More than 100 countries have observed confirmed cases of COVID-19. How a $175 COVID-19 Test Led to $2,479 in Charges ProPublica is a nonprofit newsroom that investigates abuses of power. Sign up to receive our biggest stories as soon as they’re published. This article is co-published with The Texas Tribune, a nonprofit, nonpartisan local newsroom that informs and engages with Texans. Sign up for The Brief weekly to get up to speed on their essential coverage of Texas issues. As she waited for the results of her rapid COVID-19 test, Rachel de Cordova sat in her car and read through a stack of documents given to her by SignatureCare Emergency Center. Without de Cordova leaving her car, the staff at the freestanding emergency room near her home in Houston had checked her blood pressure, pulse and temperature during the July 21 appointment.

Dubai schools can deliver textbooks now - KHDA The Knowledge and Human Development Authority (KHDA), Dubai’s education regulator, has confirmed that schools across the emirate can either deliver textbooks to its students or have parents collect them from the school’s premises. It also added that schools are in full knowledge of this directive. “Schools may choose to deliver books or ask parents to pick them up. In both situations, strict health and safety guidelines must be followed. Schools are adhering to these guidelines when packaging and delivering books. Evidence based suggestions for the return to elective orthopaedic surgery following the COVID-19 pandemic By Sarkhell Radhaa,b and Irrum AfzalbaCroydon University Hospital London, UKbSouth West London Elective Orthopaedic Centre, UK Published 01 May 2020 Editor’s note: They say that nature abhors a vacuum so as participants in the natural world we are as guilty as others in wanting to fill one. There is a void of guidance waiting to be filled. We know that for some things we are better given a free hand to act locally but that for others we need to work as a pack, as this provides consistency, resilience, safety, reproducibility and all the other products of unified standardised working which we have been advocating as a profession.

Special Issue : SARS-CoV2 and COVID-19 Outbreak: Lessons, Burning Points and Perspectives Special Issue Editors Dr. Evelyne BischofWebsiteGuest Editor 1. Shanghai University of Medicine and Health Sciences, Shanghai, China2. Assessment of Deaths From COVID-19 and From Seasonal Influenza As of early May 2020, approximately 65 000 people in the US had died of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19),1 the disease caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). This number appears to be similar to the estimated number of seasonal influenza deaths reported annually by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) ( This apparent equivalence of deaths from COVID-19 and seasonal influenza does not match frontline clinical conditions, especially in some hot zones of the pandemic where ventilators have been in short supply and many hospitals have been stretched beyond their limits. The demand on hospital resources during the COVID-19 crisis has not occurred before in the US, even during the worst of influenza seasons. Yet public officials continue to draw comparisons between seasonal influenza and SARS-CoV-2 mortality, often in an attempt to minimize the effects of the unfolding pandemic.

COVID-Lab: Mapping COVID-19 in Your Community If you’re experiencing issues loading the “Projected Cases for 4 Weeks” tab click here or the “Projected Cases with Roll-back Scenarios” tab click here to view the graphs on an alternative platform. We measure social distancing as the percentage change in travel to non-essential businesses, as compared to normal activity before the pandemic. We calculate travel to non-essential businesses using cellphone GPS data from Unacast. Putting the Risk of Covid-19 in Perspective How dangerous is it to live in New York City during this pandemic? How much safer is it in other places? Is the risk of dying from Covid-19 comparable to driving to work every day, skydiving or being a soldier in a war? We are awash in statistics about Covid-19: number of deaths, fatality rates, contagion rates. But what does this all mean in terms of personal risk?

Related: