Matt McGrath Trumpets The Latest Hurricane Junk Science. By Paul Homewood h/t Ian Magness More from the clueless Matt McGrath: Climate change will expand the range of tropical cyclones, making millions more people vulnerable to these devastating storms, a new study says. At present, these cyclones – or hurricanes as they are also known – are mainly confined to the tropical regions north and south of the equator. But researchers say that rising temperatures will allow these weather events to form in the mid-latitudes. This area includes cities such as New York, Beijing, Boston and Tokyo. The study has been published in the journal Nature Geoscience. The scientists involved say their work shows by the end of this century, cyclones will likely occur over a wider range than they have for three million years. When subtropical storm Alpha made landfall in Portugal in September 2020, the relatively small scale of damage caused by the cyclone made few headlines.
But for scientists this was quite a momentous event. BBC’s Fake Climate Check On Hurricanes. By Paul Homewood The BBC’s Climate Check is unsurprisingly about hurricanes, and equally unsurprisingly does not tell the truth: Ben Rich repeats the BBC’s frequent lie, that climate change is making hurricanes stronger, expressed of course in the usual “scientists say” way. These are his exact words: “Climate scientists believe that global warming is making them stronger” It is of course true that some scientists say this, but equally many hurricane experts maintain the opposite, something you might have thought the BBC would have reported. And, given this is supposed to be a “Climate Check”, you might have thought the BBC would actually have provided some facts, rather than just opinions.
They could find no evidence whatsover of any “significant observed trends” in tropical cyclone activity over the past century. Little has changed in the latest AR6, which can still find no long term trends. Like this: Like Loading... Britain’s Weather Getting Wilder–BBC. By Paul Homewood I previewed the BBC’s Panorama report on climate change earlier this week, concentrating on the Met Office’s meaningless projections. However, the programme fronted by Justin Rowlatt focussed largely on Britain’s so-called “wild weather” this year. Naturally, this was accompanied by emotional footage of floods and so on, intended to give the impression that these were all the result of global warming. The introduction gives a flavour of what was to follow, Here’s what Rowlatt said: Britain’s weather is getting wilder.
This year we have been soaked with record breaking rainfall and have sweltered in soaring temperatures. But nothing which follows backs up his ludicrous assertions. He goes on to state: A year of weather extremes, which have shattered previous records. The main highlights were: February Storms in England & Wales Although rainfall that month broke the record for February, it was a long way from being the wettest month on record. Sunny Spring August Heatwave Summary. A Busy Hurricane Season? Maybe, But It Won’t Be Due To Global Warming. By Paul Homewood Today’s fake news from the BBC: Tropical Storm Fay brought strong winds, heavy rain and local flooding to north eastern states of the USA in the last few days. It was the earliest "F" named storm on record and follows fast on the heels of the earliest "E" – Edouard – which formed earlier in the week. And we may be looking at more to come.
In an update to their hurricane season forecast, which includes all storms which are given a name, specialists at Colorado State University are now predicting there could be 20 named storms – up from 16 in their previous forecast. The long term average is 12. And when it comes specifically to hurricanes – storms with winds of more than 74mph – that’s gone up too, from eight to nine. This is the sixth consecutive year that has seen named tropical storms before the official start of the hurricane season on 1 June.
The BBC article ends: New Hurricane Study Systematically Debunked By Roger Pielke. By Paul Homewood Matt McGrath gives top billing to the latest piece of junk science: The biggest and most damaging hurricanes are now three times more frequent than they were 100 years ago, say researchers. Using a new method of calculating the destruction, the scientists say the increase in frequency is "unequivocal". Previous attempts to isolate the impact of climate change on hurricanes have often came up with conflicting results.
But the new study says the increase in damage caused by these big cyclones is linked by global warming. Hurricanes or tropical cyclones are one of the most destructive natural disasters. One of the big questions that scientists have wrestled with is how to compare storm events from different eras. Previous research has concluded that the rise in damages was related to wealth, and not to any statistically significant change in frequency. However this new paper challenges that view. As an example, the researchers examined Hurricane Irma that hit Florida in 2017.
Climate change ‘could expose more ancient monuments and ruins’ By Paul Homewood Today’s silly story comes from the BBC (where else?) More ancient monuments and historic ruins will be uncovered as extreme weather caused by climate change gets more frequent, an expert has said. The remains of a shipwreck off the Abergele coast dating back 150 years was revealed by July’s thunderstorms. A prehistoric forest and 200 archaeological sites were also unearthed following extreme weather.
Archaeologist Dr Paul Belford said "you’ll see more and more of this" as the world warms up. Experts have "tentatively identified" the recently-uncovered Abergele wreck as the 35-tonne wooden sloop Endeavour that sunk without trace in gales in October 1854. The remains of the 45ft long vessel was found at Pensarn beach in Conwy county by a member of the public.
"The stormy weather created giant waves which moved the sand banks and exposed the boat," said Dr Belford, chief executive of the Clwyd-Powys Archaeological Trust. Like this: Matt McGrath’s Latest Hurricane Propaganda. By Paul Homewood The ambulance chasers are out, even though the ambulances have not set off yet! Hurricanes are extremely dangerous and costly under any circumstances, and to try to tease out tiny changes, which may or may not be the result of a slightly warmer climate, is the work of a charlatan. By far the most important factor is the NUMBER and STRENGTH of hurricane landfalls, which for some reason McGrath forgot to mention: During the current decade (beginning 2010), the number of US landfalling hurricanes is at a record low of eleven. By far the worst decades for hurricane activity were the 1880s and 1940s. As Joe Bastardi pointed out a few months ago, people would have a fit if we were to experience the sort of major hurricane hits that they did in the 1940s and 50s: As for his assertion that Hurricane Harvey was moving slowly because of global warming is absurd and simply not true.
BBC Forced To Retract False Claims About Cyclone Pam. By Paul Homewood After three months and much stubborn arrogance from them, the BBC have finally been forced to retract one of their lies about Cyclone Pam, which devastated Vanuatu in March. As readers may recall, I pointed out that their above claim of 300km/h winds was fallacious and grossly misleading in an attempt to compare the storm with Typhoon Tip, the most intense, and arguably the strongest, typhoon on record. The intent of the piece was clear – to suggest that Cyclone Pam was one of the worst on record. As I mentioned at the time, the 1-minute sustained wind speed of Pam was much lower at 268 kph.
So, my first complaint went in to the BBC, pointing out their factual inaccuracy and asking for a correction. We have checked with our reporter who said the wind speed figure came from news wires at the time, which reported speeds of up to 300km/h. It seems the Trust agreed, because they replied: BBC’s Fake Claims About Hurricanes. By Paul Homewood Another grossly misleading piece of propaganda from the BBC: The past year has been a busy one for hurricanes.
There were 17 named storms in 2017, 10 hurricanes and six major hurricanes (category 3 or higher) – an above average year in each respect. The 10 hurricanes formed consecutively, without weaker tropical storms interrupting the sequence. The only other time this has been recorded was in 1893. Are these storms getting worse? And does climate change have anything to do with it? As usual with the BBC, it is what they omit that makes their report so dishonest. Let’s look at some the claims: 1) This Atlantic hurricane season has been particularly bad. There was Harvey, which pummelled the United States in August. It brought the largest amount of rain on record from any tropical system – 1,539mm It caused the sort of flooding you’d expect to see once every 500 years, causing $200bn of damage to Houston, Texas. Footnote Like this: The BBC & Cyclone Idai. BBC Backtracking On IPPR Extreme Weather Claims. BBC Repeat Fake Extreme Weather Disaster Claims.