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2016 Election Thoughts & Guesses

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Rigged: How Voter Suppression Threw Wisconsin to Trump – Mother Jones. You can’t say Andrea Anthony didn’t try. A 37-year-old African American woman with an infectious smile, Anthony had voted in every major election since she was 18. On November 8, 2016, she went to the Clinton Rose Senior Center, her polling site on the predominantly black north side of Milwaukee, to cast a ballot for Hillary Clinton.

“Voting is important to me because I know I have a little, teeny, tiny voice, but that is a way for it to be heard,” she said. “Even though it’s one vote, I feel it needs to count.” She’d lost her driver’s license a few days earlier, but she came prepared with an expired Wisconsin state ID and proof of residency. A poll worker confirmed she was registered to vote at her current address. The poll worker gave her a provisional ballot instead. I met Anthony on a rainy Wednesday evening in mid-August. Anthony said her 19-year-old daughter and 21-year-old nephew, who didn’t drive regularly and had misplaced their licenses, were also stymied by the new law.

Racism motivated Trump voters more than authoritarianism or income inequality. By Thomas Wood By Thomas Wood Monkey Cage Analysis Analysis Interpretation of the news based on evidence, including data, as well as anticipating how events might unfold based on past events April 17 A voter casts a ballot in Georgetown, Wis., on Nov. 8, 2016.

(Nicki Kohl/Telegraph Herald via AP) During the 2016 presidential campaign, many observers wondered exactly what motivated voters most: Was it income? 2016 was plainly an anomaly. Intel Vets Challenge ‘Russia Hack’ Evidence – Consortiumnews. In a memo to President Trump, a group of former U.S. intelligence officers, including NSA specialists, cite new forensic studies to challenge the claim of the key Jan. 6 “assessment” that Russia “hacked” Democratic emails last year. Editor’s Note: This VIPS Memo included two mistaken dates. Neither affected the Memo’s main conclusion; i.e., that the July 5, 2016 intrusion into DNC emails that was blamed on Russia could not have been a hack – by Russia or anyone else.

The portions of the Memo affected by the mistaken dates have been corrected. A short explanation of the corrections: -(1) June 14, 2016 (not the 15th, as the VIPS memo erroneously stated) was the day Crowdstrike said malware had been found on the DNC server and claimed there was evidence the malware was injected by Russians. (On the following day – the 15th) – “Guccifer 2.0” claimed responsibility for the “hack” and claimed to be a WikiLeaks source.) MEMORANDUM FOR: The President SUBJECT: Was the “Russian Hack” an Inside Job? What if the DNC Russian “hack” was really a leak after all? A new report raises questions media and Democrats would rather ignore. Last week the respected left-liberal magazine The Nation published an explosive article that details in great depth the findings of a new report — authored in large part by former U.S. intelligence officers — which claims to present forensic evidence that the Democratic National Committee was not hacked by the Russians in July 2016.

Instead, the report alleges, the DNC suffered an insider leak, conducted in the Eastern time zone of the United States by someone with physical access to a DNC computer. This report also claims there is no apparent evidence that the hacker known as Guccifer 2.0 — supposedly based in Romania — hacked the DNC on behalf of the Russian government. There is also no evidence, the report’s authors say, that Guccifer handed documents over to WikiLeaks. You could easily be forgiven for not having heard about this latest development — because, perhaps to avoid potential embarrassment, the media has completely ignored it. Let’s back up for a second. Peter Thiel pulls back the curtain: Donald Trump is a pro-wrestling villain turned president. Using two wrestling terms he learned, Mr. Thiel says that many people assumed Mr. Trump was “kayfabe” — a move that looks real but is fake.

But then his campaign turned into a “shoot” — the word for an unscripted move that suddenly becomes real. “People thought the whole Trump thing was fake, that it wasn’t going to go anywhere, that it was the most ridiculous thing imaginable, and then somehow he won, like [Hulk] Hogan did,” Mr. Thiel says. “And what I wonder is, whether maybe pro wrestling is one of the most real things we have in our society and what’s really disturbing is that the other stuff is much more fake. It is clear that Donald Trump is a political performance artist whose shtick is borrowed from professional wrestling. To reiterate: Professional wrestling is a type of scripted storytelling that uses athleticism and dramatis personæ to tell classic stories that draw upon basic archetypes that could easily be found in Shakespeare or ancient Greek mythology.

To point. 4 pieces of evidence showing FBI Director James Comey cost Clinton the election. Bill Clinton, Who May Have Cost Hillary the Election, Passes the Buck to James Comey. Anthony Weiner and the FBI were only in the picture because she felt the rules did not apply to her. She might still have won had her husband not felt the same. Former President Bill Clinton is quick to apportion blame for his wife’s defeat. “James Comey cost her the election,” Clinton was quoted telling a group of holiday shoppers during an impromptu chat in a Westchester County bookshop last week.

But he has yet to place any blame at all on an otherwise great man with a great fault who bears considerably more responsibility for Hillary Clinton’s loss. That man is Bill Clinton himself. His great fault is one he shares with his wife; they too often act as if rules that apply to you or me do not apply to them. In blaming Comey, Bill Clinton noted that “we were seven points up” before the FBI director made it known via a letter to Congress that the investigation into Hillary Clinton’s emails had been reopened.

Word of the encounter nonetheless left Comey in an untenable situation. Thank You! Log In. Photo The swirl of revelations and allegations about Russian involvement in the American presidential election, which has been building since the summer, can be difficult to keep straight. For example, though analysts often say that “hacked the election,” this shorthand refers to something much subtler than altering the vote itself — just one of many points of growing confusion. What follows is a guide to what is known and is not, and to separating fact from misconception.

What was Russia’s role in the election? • Russian security agencies infiltrated email servers last year and again this spring, according to American intelligence assessments and several independent security firms. . • This summer, intermediaries linked to the Russian government passed the emails to and to an anonymous WordPress blog called Guccifer 2.0. . • However, after the election, the Central Intelligence Agency concluded that Russia had released the emails with the primary goal of bolstering ’s presidential campaign.

Narcissist-in-Chief: The Psychopathology That Explains Donald Trump's Depravity. Photo Credit: Gage Skidmore/Flickr Reporter: What do you think people will take away from the [Republican National] Convention? What are you hoping? Donald Trump: From the convention? The fact that I'm very well liked. – New York Times, July 21, 2016 The initial shock has given way to a twofold horror. First, there is the unavoidable fact that more than 62 million Americans voted for this man. And then there are the sickening practical implications. The potential impact on official policy is staggering. All through the campaign, I found myself looking through a psychological lens at Trump's behavior, not only appalled at the bellicose, racist pronouncements about, say, Mexicans or Muslims, but riveted by the deeply damaged human being who was saying these things.

Donald Trump has distinguished himself as someone who is: * given to boasting, preening, and swaggering to the point of self-parody; * not merely thin-skinned and petulant but vindictive when crossed or even criticized; Untitled. If Jill Stein and die-hard Democrats get their way, recounts in three key states will take the presidency away from Donald Trump and hand it to Hillary Clinton. While this effort is probably doomed to failure, the attempted do-over prompts a question: what exactly are we losing with this mother of all paths not taken, a Hillary Clinton administration?

What elevates this theoretical exercise above a parlor game is the deep grief felt by tens of millions of Democrats, especially women. They believe not just that Donald Trump is a disaster, but that the United States will miss out on a great, inspiring leader in Hillary Clinton. For these bereft citizens, Hillary’s departure from the national political scene ranks alongside those of Adlai Stevenson and Al Gore — losing candidates who were clearly superior to the winners, whose loss left America much worse off.

I agree with the Clintonites’ horrorstruck reaction to Trump. But are they right about the rest? Trump opponents try to beat him at the Electoral College. BOISE, Idaho (AP) — Grassroots campaigns have sprung up around the country to try to persuade members of the Electoral College to do something that has never been done in American history — deny the presidency to the clear Election Day winner. Activists are circulating online petitions and using social media in hopes of influencing Republican electors to cast their ballots for someone other than President-elect Donald Trump and deprive him of the 270 Electoral College votes needed to become the next occupant of the White House.

"Yes, I think it's a longshot, but I also think we're living in strange times," said Daniel Brezenoff, who created a petition in favor of Hillary Clinton and is asking signers to lobby electors by email or phone. "If it was ever plausible, it's this year. " Trump has won 290 electoral votes to Clinton's 232, with Michigan undecided, but Clinton is on pace to win the popular vote by at least 1 million ballots. "As a Christian, I came to the conclusion that Mr. P. If "Did Not Vote" Had Been A Candidate In The 2016 US Presidential Election, It Would Have Won By a Landslide. Trump: a preposterous answer to a serious grievance.

By grappling with class, however crudely, the President-elect has smashed a smug consensus by Thomas Frank / November 14, 2016 / Leave a commentPublished in December 2016 issue of Prospect Magazine Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally in Grand Rapids, Mich., 8th November, 2016. ©Paul Sancya/AP/Press Association Images And so the United States has embraced the demagogue, a man who ran for the presidency as a kind of lone entrepreneur, without benefit of funding or even a political party, really. Every poll had him losing, some of them had him losing massively.

And he won, thanks to the votes of millions of working-class whites which he did not really have any business winning. How did it happen? The great promise of centrism was that it delivered political victories. Her party suppressed the Bernie Sanders challenge and lapsed immediately back into its usual complacency. I truly fear the Trump presidency. 2016 US presidential election reading list. Following the recent US Presidential election, we have curated a reading list with resources that provide insight into the politics behind the 2016 election, and look at the key topics that stimulated some of the major debates from the election season. We have selected books and other resources that detail American politics in the context of this election and investigate the issues that influenced the campaigns.

Elections and Electoral Politics We explore content that relates to American political parties, voting history in the US, and election trends: American Political Parties and Elections, by L. Labor, Activism and Organizing These titles grapple with topics including issues with democracy, activist groups, and organized political movements: News Media and Social Media Digital media has a powerful influence on elections and campaigns. American Politics Voter Behavior and Public Opinion Are voters generally uninformed? Voter Demographics What are voting trends and how are they formed? Trump Against the Machine: How Political Elites Failed. Slavoj Žižek: I know that even in the United States when you have someone like Donald Trump, I know that there is a lot of elitist liberal reaction. Like here we see the limit of democracy but in the wrong sense, in the sense that you see stupid ordinary people are seduced and so on and so on.

Well, although Noam Chomsky doesn't like me very much, I admire him sincerely and I must admit that I like his term. I think it's not just a journalistic term, it's a concept, which he took over from American tradition even mainstream right wing liberal of manufacturing consent. You know, Democracy is not only formal rules of elections, democracy is an entire thick network of how political consensus is built; a lot of unwritten rules. And now I think the United States are at a very important moment, at the moment when this machine to build consensus has broken down.

Now these are moments which can be catastrophic. My second point is that I never trusted this absolute obsession with Trump. Kurt Andersen on President-Elect Donald J. Trump. Editor's Note: The SPY pop-up blog ends today, following the election of the magazine's original antagonist, Donald Trump. To properly conclude our coverage, we asked SPY's original co-editor Kurt Andersen for his thoughts on Trump's improbable victory.

From the beginning his candidacy seemed unreal, like a movie: Batman crossed with Who Framed Roger Rabbit, or Bulworth remade as a prequel to Idiocracy. Advertisement - Continue Reading Below He was a joke! More recently it came to seem like a horror movie, but still some kind of horror comedy, where just before the credits the blond vampire with the gilded stake in his heart winks, or the mob of villagers with pitchforks turn out to be led by Frankenstein's monster. I've been professionally appalled and amused by Donald Trump for half my life. He was a joke. A year later, in the magazine's monthly introductory essay, I reveled in Trump's talk of entering politics. We were joking, because he was a complete joke. He was still a joke. Why Do Many Around the World See Trump as a Peacenik?

Moments after world media announced the unexpected victory of Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton, a friend at the Bulgarian armed forces sent me a euphoric text message. “Hooray for Trump,” it read. “This means I won’t have to die fighting my Russian brothers because some idiot yankee wants to show the world how masculine she is!” Others agreed — at least with his main point. “Trump’s election today reduced by several times the danger of a … nuclear war,” wrote Kuzman Iliev, an analyst for Bloomberg TV Bulgaria. Trump the Peacenik? Even many Trump supporters in the US are likely to be surprised by this description of the president-elect as moderate and well-mannered — let alone somebody who would save the world from nuclear catastrophe. As for his opponents: one of the main rallying cries of the progressive left, which has traditionally spearheaded the peace movement in North America, has been that Trump must not be given access to the nuclear codes.

Granted, they may not be a majority. Why did Americans vote for Trump? | The Wise Sloth. Final Election Update: There’s A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most Of Them Come Up Clinton. President Trump: How America Got It So Wrong - Rolling Stone. How the Media Manufactured Hatred of Hillary Clinton - 10 Shocking 2016 Election Facts: Old Political Assumptions Are out the Window. Clinton Couldn’t Win Over White Women. Theconversation. US election 2016: Trump victory in maps. Michael Moore: Morning-After To-Do List. Inside the Loss Clinton Saw Coming. Donald Trump's Winning Coalition. Theconversation. Michael Moore: People will vote for Donald Trump as a giant “F**k you” — and he’ll win. Election Update: Why Our Model Is More Bullish Than Others On Trump.

Trump campaign releases their electoral map prediction. Elevating Trump. Five reasons Donald Trump is a more effective orator than you think. The Presidential Race: Checkmate? | 2016. The Quiet Tragedy of Melania Trump. The Critics Trump Can’t Beat? Immigrants. The Fury and Failure of Donald Trump - Rolling Stone. The Second Debate Probably Didn’t Help Trump, And He Needed Help. Projects.fivethirtyeight. Hillary or Trump? Pick your poison | Politics | US Election 2016 | USA. ‘Basket of inexplicables’: Bill Maher shreds the ‘charlatans’ who make up Trump’s cable TV advocates. 5 reasons Trump might fall in autumn. Why Is Trump Gaining On Clinton? Nigel Farage and Donald Trump: Heralds of dignified post-imperialism. A Voters Guide: What Is This Trump Campaign, And Where Is It Pivoting? I love Donald Trump’s post-fact world. Trump was very smart to go to Louisiana. (But he still can’t quite help himself.)

Republicans Set To Lose Senate Control. Here's what Donald Trump said in his foreign policy speech. Evan McMullin’s presidential run could potentially blow up the Republican Party. Why Is Hillary Clinton the Favorite? Because of These Trends in American Turnout. Maybe Donald Trump has really lost his mind: What if the GOP frontrunner isn’t crazy, but simply not well? United Together (or) Everything You Need to Know About Campaign 2016 Can Be Learned from THE PRISONER.

Why You’re Going to Vote for Trump and How You Can Win a Free Ticket to Mexico | The Public Professor. Shock poll: Nate Silver’s election forecast now has Trump winning. Republican convention and Donald Trump's party victory. Will Donald Trump win the US presidential election? Donald Trump Has A 20 Percent Chance Of Becoming President. If Trump Were a Clinton Plant, What Would He Do Differently? Abby Martin and Paul Jay - What Should Sanders Do Next? R.I.P., GOP: How Trump Is Killing the Republican Party. How I Acted Like A Pundit And Screwed Up On Donald Trump. Polls show Clinton, Trump tied in likely November matchup, record un-favorability. Untitled. Is It Paul Ryan’s Party Or Donald Trump’s Party? It’s not about sexism: Camille Paglia on Trump, Hillary’s “restless bitterness” and the end of the elites. Camille Paglia: Feminists have abortion wrong, Trump and Hillary miscues highlight a frozen national debate. Chaos spreads inside Trump’s campaign: After Wisconsin loss, his second-rate, overmatched staff might not be able to right the ship.

Donald Trump’s “days of rage”: As the GOP primary reaches its tipping point, Trump prepares for all-out war. How Donald Trump lost Wisconsin. Electoral Map Is a Reality Check to Donald Trump’s Bid. How in the World is Donald Trump Winning the Republican Nomination? Why Baby Boomers Don’t Get Bernie Sanders. Theconversation. Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan. What Happens If Bernie Sanders Wins Iowa. Donald Trump Is Sarah Palin 2.0. Donald Trump Is Really Unpopular With General Election Voters. There’s One Thing Worse For The GOP Than A Trump Nomination. Republican Debate Recap - Trump Bullies Cruz in Charleston. Projects.fivethirtyeight. Three Theories Of Donald Trump’s Rise. The GOP’s chaotic last resort: Inside the calls for a brokered convention — and why it will never, ever happen.

Big Phony And Loser Nate Silver Can’t Even See Donald Trump Is A Winner! What A Joke! The Future Of Polling May Depend On Donald Trump’s Fate. Who Really Won The Democratic Debate? It’s Complicated (Duh) The Media Underestimated Hillary Clinton, But Overestimated Her Debate. Savvy observers think the GOP race is down to Bush and Rubio. Here's why I don't agree. Donald Trump and the Ghosts of Totalitarianism. The Republicans Are Now Officially the Party of White Paranoia. Donald Trump 2016, setting the GOP agenda. Anti-Hillary: Across the Spectrum. What Donald Trump gets about the electorate. Republican Assault on Trump May Only Make Him Stronger | Rolling Stone. Pat Buchanan is bullish on The Donald: Right-wing pundit predicts Trump will go the distance.