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A Day Made of Bits. 4see, a framework to explore the future using past data. Ca_en_TMT_Canadian_Predictions_2011_011811.pdf (application/pdf Object) eVolo / Cities of Tomorrow. ¿Cómo imaginamos las ciudades del mañana? Con esta pregunta inicia la editorial del número 03 de la Revista eVob. Tomando en cuenta que esta es una de las preguntas más difíciles que arquitectos, diseñadores y urbanistas necesitan responder en un tiempo en que más de la mitad de la población mundial vive en asentamientos urbanos, y que el crecimiento de la población es exponencial, mientras que existe un escacez de recursos naturales y destrucción del medio ambiente, esta edición trae una compilación de noticias, ensayos y proyectos que abordan este tema.

Reconociendo uno de los mayores problemas de nuestros tiempos es el primer paso para investigar el futuro de nuestras ciudades ya existentes, y la posible concepción de ciudades nuevas. Luego se muestran otros ensayos que exploran el futuro del urbanismo, la influencia del placer y otros sentidos principales en el resultado de producciones arquitectónicas y la entrega de ciudades digitales fusionadas a otras reales. Indice Carta del Editor. FUTURESTATES. Archinect Sessions pt. 1. What Futurists Actually Do - Technology. An introduction to GOOD's new series from the Institute for the Future Never Google the word "futurist. " Besides the conflation with Futurism, the early 20th century fascist-leaning art movement, the world’s gateways to knowledge are far from instructive on the subject.

Clichés and caricatures abound, with media coverage dominated by allusions to crystal balls and prophesy and the messianic predictions of techno-utopians. The general public's sense of what futurists are is not entirely flattering, and rarely accurate. This is a shame, because during the second half of the 20th century and continuing through the past decade, professional thinking about the future has grown from a niche field dominated by military strategists and predictioneers into a diverse global practice. The rise of the professional futurist is important. I work at the Institute for the Future, a 42-year-old nonprofit research group. At IFTF, we call what we do “futures work.” Moreover, the future is not an end state. The Web Is Dead. Long Live the Internet | Magazine. Two decades after its birth, the World Wide Web is in decline, as simpler, sleeker services — think apps — are less about the searching and more about the getting.

Chris Anderson explains how this new paradigm reflects the inevitable course of capitalism. And Michael Wolff explains why the new breed of media titan is forsaking the Web for more promising (and profitable) pastures. Who’s to Blame: Us As much as we love the open, unfettered Web, we’re abandoning it for simpler, sleeker services that just work. by Chris Anderson You wake up and check your email on your bedside iPad — that’s one app.

You’ve spent the day on the Internet — but not on the Web. This is not a trivial distinction. A decade ago, the ascent of the Web browser as the center of the computing world appeared inevitable. But there has always been an alternative path, one that saw the Web as a worthy tool but not the whole toolkit. “Sure, we’ll always have Web pages. Who’s to Blame: Them Chaos isn’t a business model. Beyond City Limits - By Parag Khanna. View a photo essay of the world's top global cities The 21st century will not be dominated by America or China, Brazil or India, but by the city. In an age that appears increasingly unmanageable, cities rather than states are becoming the islands of governance on which the future world order will be built.

This new world is not -- and will not be -- one global village, so much as a network of different ones. Time, technology, and population growth have massively accelerated the advent of this new urbanized era. Already, more than half the world lives in cities, and the percentage is growing rapidly. At the same time, a new category of megacities is emerging around the world, dwarfing anything that has come before.

Many will pose challenges to the countries that give birth to them. Neither 19th-century balance-of-power politics nor 20th-century power blocs are useful in understanding this new world. For these emerging global hubs, modernization does not equal Westernization. The New Now: How Real Time Redefines the Now. This past week, Nova Spivack, founder of Twine, a web service that dealt with information overload, stopped by in our offices to discuss the future of the web. I first met Nova when he started Earthweb (now called Dice.com), and over the years, I’ve kept in touch with him.

I followed the birth and fall of Radar Networks, the company behind Twine. He is now the co-founder of LiveMatrix, a directory of live events on the web. Lately, I’ve been exploring the idea of where the web will go next, and as a result, have been talking to many folks. Spivack has been in the web’s trenches for a very long time, and has always had a fairly unique view of the Internet. He and I started talking about the future of the Internet and how it relates to society in general. The conversation that followed centered on Spivack’s core argument that 21st century will be about the Now.

The emergence of the real-time web is about the present, and the present impacts how we invent, Spivack argued. America 2050: What Will We Build? The future of our country’s landscape — how and we will accommodate demographic, economic and environmental changes in the coming decades — is a matter of concern for all Americans, regardless of preference for urban, suburban, exurban or rural conditions. In “ A Country of Cities ,” a provocative series of opinion pieces published on Urban Omnibus, Vishaan Chakrabarti takes the country to task for its wasteful attitude towards land use.

But his voice is one among a crowded field of urbanists and regionalists with diverse views on what the prevailing trends of where we live and what we build indicate about our future. Two other voices that currently command some attention at the national scale are those of Joel Kotkin, urban historian and author of , and Christopher Leinberger, land use strategist and visiting fellow at the Brookings Institute. Leinberger views ‘city’ and ‘suburb’ as obsolete terms that do not reflect structural changes that have occurred in the past 10-15 years.

Future of Video Map of Opportunities. IFTF Technology Horizons Program’s 2009 research, The Future of Video: Becoming People of the Screen, includes both a report and forecast map. This research provides a deep exploration into our research on the future of video as a new medium for entertainment, information, and communication. As video becomes increasingly ubiquitous, we will all soon become people of the screen. Outside the mainstream TV and film industries, video has not yet delivered on its predicted revolutionary potential—a revolution forecast for at least half a century. However, with the meteoric rise of YouTube and user-generated video on the Web, as well as the wide availability of mobile devices, it’s easy to see the power of the medium. As part of our Future of Video deliverables, we offer two versions of the Future of Video Map of Opportunities a static, PDF version and an online one. MediaBerkman » Blog Archive » Radio Berkman 154: A (Video) Day in the Life.

If a picture is worth a thousand words, and video moves at 30 frames per second, how many words could you get for 24 hours of footage? Today’s guest started a project that may have the answer to that question. The Global Lives Project picked ten subjects from around the world, followed each of them with a camera for 24 hours straight, and is now sharing the footage of their lives with the world, uncut, unaltered, in museum exhibits and online. It’s fascinating enough as an art project. But for David Evan Harris – a trained sociologist and a Research Affiliate at the Institute for the Future – the project also raises interesting questions about the role multimedia can play in the more traditional world of academic research. If you’re near San Francisco you can experience the Global Lives Project for yourself at the Yerba Buena Center for the Arts until June 20, 2010. Listen in here for a sneak preview. Listen: or download …also in Ogg!

CC Music this week: Neurowaxx – Carioca & Pop Circus. Op-Ed Columnist - Relax, We’ll Be Fine. Institute For The Future. EDGE. Futures Thinking: Scanning the World | Open The Future. In Futures Thinking: The Basics, I offered up an overview of how to engage in a foresight exercise. In Futures Thinking: Asking the Question, I explored in more detail the process of setting up a futures exercise, and how to figure out what you're trying to figure out. In this entry in the occasional series, we'll take a look at gathering useful data. Like the first step, Asking the Question, Scanning the World seems like it would be easier than it really is.

In my opinion, it may actually be the hardest step of all, because you have to navigate two seemingly contradictory demands: You need to expand the horizons of your exploration, because the factors shaping how the future of the dilemma in question will manifest go far beyond the narrow confines of that issue. You should recognize up front that the first few times you do this, you'll miss quite a few of the key drivers; even experienced futurists end up missing a some important aspects of a dilemma. Look Backwards Ask Around Images. Futures of arts and culture, Centre for Research in Futures & Innovation (CRI-FI), University of Glamorgan. CRI-FI will present the results of its 18 month long futures research exercise on the future of the arts and culture in Wales for Arts Council of Wales (ACW) at 2.30 pm 25 November 2009 at Chapter Arts Centre, Cardiff.

The project entitled The Futures of Arts and Culture in Wales within the global context in 2025,was intended to provide a longer term futures based planning approach to ACW‘s corporate planning and strategic development work over the coming two decades. The first phase of the project mapped current contextual global drivers and trends in the report “The Future of the arts and culture in Wales within a global context: Trends, Drivers of Change and New Paradigms”, which was published in Executive Summary form in November 2008. This was followed by an internal driver’s workshop examining in greater detail the implications and relevance of the drivers identified with the ACW management team. Downloads Copies of all these project outputs can be downloaded here: Paul Saffo: essays, future technologies, technology trends.

McKinsey: What Matters: Audio interview with Mark Helprin. Plan: Product Strategy. Welcome to Building Futures - Building Futures. Design, Environment & Culture - Filed under 'future scenarios' The Imagination Gap. As is often the case, things tend to come at me in ironic pairs. This week it was a video of Jeff Jarvis' introduction to the New Business Models for News conference at CUNY, followed a few hours later by a link to a December 2007 TED Talk by Kevin Kelly about the next 5,000 days (give or take 700) of the Web.

And as is so typically the case, I found myself angling away from what appears to be the most reasonable and likely future. For those of you not inclined to watch such videos, here's my short synopsis: Jarvis: The Knight Foundation funded this exploration of what might happen if a major metropolitan newspaper vacated its monopoly and was replaced by a new media ecosystem (an eventuality I've discussed here and here). Even shorter? Kelly is right, of course. But before we move on to talk about those types of flaws, let's talk about the most obvious (and so far as I've seen, not yet discussed) hole in the NBMFN projections: scale. The business problem? Restated? Institute For The Future. Download.asp (application/pdf Object) Special Report - 20 Forecasts for 2010-2025.

The Single Most Critical Skill for the 21st Century 7 Ways to Spot Tomorrow’s Trends Today How to Succeed in an Age of Hyper-Change How Foresight Built a Fortune Forecast #1: Electric cars powered by fuel cells earn extra cash for their owners—Your next car may help pay for itself by selling its excess electricity back to the power company. Researchers in the Netherlands have developed electric cars using fuel cells that convert biogas or hydrogen into electricity. Then, while the car is parked, it generates extra electricity that you can sell to the power company for extra cash. Forecast #2: Open-source robot blueprints cut the cost of robots by 90%—Robot development may soon dramatically accelerate thanks to new open-source hardware-sharing systems. Similar to open-source software for computers, this new robot-development platform allows participants to share their designs so that other developers can adapt or improve on them. 3-D Printing Revolutionizes Manufacturing Dear Reader,

sLab blog.