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Army CoCreate. You Choose - Offline. Scientific papers. Regret. Using Chaos Theory to Predict and Prevent Catastrophic "Dragon King" Events - Wired Science. A strange attractor plotting the behavior of a chaotic system. New research suggests that some chaotic systems could contain particular variables that can predict and stop extreme events from occurring.
Image: Nicolas Desprez/Wikimedia Stop a stock trade and avoid a catastrophic global financial crash. Seal a microscopic crack and prevent a rocket explosion. Though such situations are mostly fantasies, a new analysis suggests that certain types of extreme events occurring in complex systems – known as dragon king events – can be predicted and prevented. “A chaotic system may be in flux, and look like random behavior,” said physicist Daniel Gauthier of Duke University, co-author of a paper appearing Oct. 30 in Physical Review Letters. By looking at a simple experimental chaotic system, Gauthier and his co-authors have been able to detect telltale signs that a dragon king event was approaching and, most importantly, stop it from happening. Chaotic systems are often very simple.