Aurora Forecast. Hourly Forecast Using real-time solar wind data from Nasa’s ACE spacecraft, matched with data obtained from a network of magnetometers located worldwide, we are able to forecast, with reasonable accuracy, how the Northern Lights will behave up to one hour in advance.
The image shows estimated aurora activity now. Image should be used as a guide only, it is based on predicted geomagnetic activity. Northern Lights may or may not be visible. Click here for Non Flash version Right now, the aurora is predicted to be: Kp 0.00 In 0 hour and 34 minutes, the aurora is predicted to be kp 0.00 In 0 hour and 50 minutes, the aurora is predicted to be kp 0.00 In 1 hour and 4 minutes, the aurora is predicted to be kp 0.00 What do Kp numbers mean? System status: All good. Daily Forecast While all the other forecasts are using satellite and scientific data. Summer BreakManual forecasts are down for summer. 3 Day ForecastCourtesy of NOAA.
Why do we use UTC? Solar Wind Gauges. What is EISCAT — EISCAT. EISCAT, the European Incoherent Scatter Scientific Association, is established to conduct research on the lower, middle and upper atmosphere and ionosphere using the incoherent scatter radar technique.
This technique is the most powerful ground-based tool for these research applications. EISCAT is also being used as a coherent scatter radar for studying instabilities in the ionosphere, as well as for investigating the structure and dynamics of the middle atmosphere and as a diagnostic instrument in ionospheric modification experiments with the Heating facility. Prediction of Weather. Please note, as with all Earth based weather forecasts, solar weather also changes on a daily and hourly basis.
As such, understand that the following predictions are subject to change at any moment and therefore why the FlareAware alert system is an important tool in your arsenal for following solar weather: This week space weather activity is expected to be elevated with a 40% probability of M class flares and 5% chance of X class flares. Raised levels of flaring will exist until the most active regions, AR 2149 and AR 2146, move off the visible disk next week.
Geomagnetic disturbances, and even a chance for minor G1 geomagnetic storming, will exist over the 27th - 28th of August due to the possibility of a slight CME glancing blow in combination with a coronal hole high speed wind stream. Beyond this week, disturbances are expected September 1st – 2nd and 7th – 8th due again to coronal hole high speed winds stream passages. Back-to-Back Sun Storms May Supercharge Earth's Northern Lights. Powerful solar flares from the sun this week may amplify the northern lights displays over parts of the northern United States through the weekend, space weather scientists say.
The forecast for potentially supercharged auroras comes after powerful solar storms fired off eruptions of solar material, first on Monday (Sept. 8), then again on Wednesday (Sept. 10). During Wednesday's solar flare, the sun unleashed a major X1.6-class flare directly at Earth. Northern Lights May Ignite in Northeast, Central US Skies: Where to See Rare Show. Northern Lights May Ignite in Northeast, Central US Skies: Where to See Rare Show By Samantha-Rae Tuthill, AccuWeather.com Staff Writer September 12, 2014; 10:17 AM ET Stargazers could be in for a rare display Friday night as an Earth-directed solar flare ignites the northern lights, also known as the aurora borealis, in the United States.
As a result of the flare's direction and strength, the dazzling light display could reach as far south as Maryland in the East and down over Nebraska farther west. According to AccuWeather.com Astronomer Hunter Outten, the flare is ranked as an X-class, or the highest class for a solar flare. A coronal mass ejection (CME), or a cloud of charged particles released from solar activity, is expected to induce a geomagnetic storm in Earth's atmosphere, around midday Friday. The Aurora Borealis (The Northern Lights) – Everything you need to know. Hey fellow Aurora fans!
After several years of research, kilometers travelled, multiple destinations visited, dark drives down foreign icy roads, snow storms, disappointment, exhilaration, several failures but more successes, here is my two cents on everything Aurora Borealis First off, before I start I wanted to elaborate a little on the above. I’ve always held a certain fascination for the Northern Lights.
My earliest memory was a documentary on the Discovery channel on Antartica when I was around 12 years old. I found them ethereal and magical and straight away wanted to know more about them and see them. STEREO - Science Center - Latest Images. Shown here are the latest SECCHI beacon images.
The STEREO space weather beacon telemetry mode is a very low rate, highly compressed data stream broadcast by the spacecraft 24 hours per day. These data are used for space weather forecasting. Because of the large compression factors used, these beacon images are of much lower quality than the actual science data. Aurora Borealis Forecast. Everything You Need to know. By JIM THOMAS -- Soft Serve News Auroras are difficult to predict with precision.
They have stops and starts (known as sub-storms). Eurasia.