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IEA - World Energy Outlook

IEA - World Energy Outlook
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Accueil Manicore English version Documentation Environnement site de l'auteur : www.manicore.com - contacter l'auteur : jean-marc@manicore.com Le réchauffement climatique : tout est là Pétrole, gaz et charbon : c'est par ici Nucléaire : nous y voici Autres énergie, transports et divers : quelques calculs de coin de table, tentatives de prospective, et réflexions qui en découlent Articles et ouvrages Conférences programmées Un index des sites qui donnent des chiffres sur l'environnement Retour vers le haut de la page Conférence ASPO 2012 (2ème partie): perspectives énergétiques Dans cette seconde partie, je vais entrer dans le détail des perspectives, à la fois pour le "non conventionnel", les gaz de schiste, les scénarios renouvelables et la géopolitique. Hydrocarbures non-conventionnels Puisque nous avons officiellement passé le pic de production du pétrole conventionnel en 2008, tous les regards se tournent vers ces autres hydrocarbures afin de savoir quel sera leur capacité à compenser un déclin déjà amorcé. Pour rappel, sont généralement appelés « non conventionnels » les hydrocarbures qui ne peuvent pas être exploités par des méthodes classiques (simple forage). Steve Mohr a développé un logiciel (GeRS-DeMo) permettant d’estimer l’évolution de la demande, de la production et du recyclage pour n’importe quelle ressource géologique. Dans le cadre de la conférence, il a présenté ses résultats pour l’avenir des hydrocarbures non-conventionnels au niveau mondial. Graphique personnel, données EIA et AIE Coal to Liquid (CTL) et Gas to liquid (GTL) Gaz de schiste

Europétrole, le portail de l'industrie du pétrole, du gaz et de l'énergie L'actualité du pétrole Les news d’Europétrole couvrent toutes les régions du monde et toute la chaîne des hydrocarbures, liquides et gaz, depuis la prospection jusqu’à la distribution. Les articles diffusés émanent de plus de 500 sources et sont collectés directement auprès des entreprises du secteur. Tous les articles depuis 2004 sont archivés et donc disponibles dans la base de donnée en utilisant les outils de recherche ci-contre. Il y a actuellement 8891 billets d'actualité sur le site Europétrole. Total lance le developpement de Kaombo, un projet offshore ultra profond en Angola paru le 14/04/2014 Total et ses partenaires ont pris la décision finale d’investissement du projet Kaombo dans l’offshore ultra profond en Angola. >> Lire la suite >> Toute l'actualité française Statoil: Gas and oil discovery in the Valemon area paru le 11/04/2014 Operator Statoil has together with the Valemon Unit partners made a gas and oil discovery in the Valemon Nord prospect in the North Sea.

5 Things That Actually Determine the Price of Gasoline - Part 5 Written by Brian Merchant The price of gasoline is one of the most important variables in daily American life. The vast majority of Americans own cars—there are some 240 million of them on the road—and rely on them to commute to work and for general transportation. Exhibit A: Drill, baby, drill. Republicans take advantage of the gas anxiety to claim that a lack of domestic drilling and too-tough regulations that are causing prices to spike. 1. This is the biggie. Japan, for example, is replacing some of its nuclear energy with oil. Top photo from taylor.a via flickr; second photo from paul_appleyard via flickr

Do You Know Where Your Oil Comes From? If you drive a car that runs on gas or diesel, you’ve probably thought about where the crude oil that made your fuel came from, especially when you’re standing at the fueling station watching the numbers whirl by and cringing at the thought of your next credit card bill. According to the news and speeches made by politicians, the Middle East is the major source of US oil imports, right? That’s why energy independence is so important, and why the Middle East is such a critical asset, because instability in the region could threaten oil prices and cause shortages. However, our primary source of oil imports is actually found closer to home. If you live in the Midwest or Mountain West, your vehicles run on Canadian oil; this makes sense, given how easy it is to move oil and other petroleum products across the border. What it shouldn’t change, though, is your perspective on fossil fuels, which still contribute to pollution, global warming and other problems. Related articles:

cyberaction Audition de l'OPECST sur les Hydrocarbures non conventionnels : Petits débats entre amis.. Cette cyberaction est maintenant terminée Mise en ligne du 15/04/2013 au 28/03/2014 Nos députés et sénateurs, emboîtant le pas à MM. Bilan de la cyberaction : Présentation de la cyberaction : Ouvert à la presse, mais pas aux associations et encore moins aux collectifs citoyens, cet exercice exclut surtout les scientifiques qui pourraient donner un utile contrepoint à une réflexion tronquée et volontairement orientée. C’EST POURQUOI NOUS DENONCONS CETTE « AUDITION » dont les résultats prévisibles confèreront à ses participants une lourde responsabilité face aux risques majeurs et avérés liés à l’éventuelle Exploration et Exploitation des HNC1. Est-ce délibérément que nos parlementaires ignorent un corpus d’informations pourtant peu susceptible de subjectivité, puisqu’émanant en grande partie de l’Agence pour la diffusion de l’information technologique2 et notamment des Bulletins électroniques3 du Ministère des Affaires Etrangères et Européennes ? Garrigue-Vaunage-30, Basta ! M. credible

BP, Shell, Statoil accused of fixing oil prices The good folks at BP, Shell, and Statoil would never break the law and screw over their customers in a quest for inflated profits, surely. Yet that is the very accusation coming out of Europe, where the industry giants are suspected of colluding to fix prices for crude, biofuel, and refined oil products at artificially high levels, allowing them to reap greater profits than the laws of supply and demand would dictate in a truly competitive economy. Offices of the companies were raided last week by European Commission officials, and the Justice Department is being urged to investigate whether the alleged price fixing spilled over onto American shores. From The Hill: The Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee Chairman aired his concerns about the recent probe by EU officials into potential oil price manipulation in a Friday letter to Attorney General Eric Holder. The Economist puts the scale of the growing scandal in some perspective: Ed Davey, the [U.K.]

Oil Spills: U.S. well sites in 2012 discharged more than Valdez -- Monday, July 8, 2013 Advertisement It went up orange, a gas-propelled geyser that rose 100 feet over the North Dakota prairie. But it was oil, so it came down brown. So much oil that when they got the well under control two days later, crude dripped off the roof of a house a half-mile away. "It had a pretty good reach," said Dave Drovdal, who owns the land where the Bakken Shale oil well, owned by Newfield Exploration Co., blew out in December near Watford City, N.D. It was one of the more than 6,000 spills and other mishaps reported at onshore oil and gas sites in 2012, compiled in a months-long review of state and federal data by EnergyWire. That's an average of more than 16 spills a day. Drilling activity in those states, though, rose 40 percent during that time. More common than the Newfield blowout are 100-gallon leaks that are contained to the well site and get cleaned up the same day. Companies reported that at least one-third of the spill volume from well sites was recovered. Different types of spills

Why the Peak Oilers are still right The piece is excerpted from the new book Snake Oil: How Fracking’s False Promise of Plenty Imperils Our Future. For the past decade I’ve been a participant in a high-stakes energy policy debate — writing books, giving lectures, and appearing on radio and television to point out how downright dumb it is for America to continue relying on fossil fuels. Oil, coal, and natural gas are finite and depleting, and burning them changes Earth’s climate and compromises our future. In the past two or three years this debate has reached a significant turning point. This is an insidious and misleading tactic. Permit me to use a metaphor to frame this discussion about fossil fuel abundance or scarcity. First, who are the teams? The other team consists of an informal association of retired and independent petroleum geologists and energy analysts. These two teams have very different views of the energy world. Well, what has actually happened? The “peak” issue was not limited to oil. No.

2013 in review: the year fracking shook the world | Environment The pumping of water, sand and chemicals underground at pressure to crack rocks and release gas dominated headlines in 2013. Fracking for shale gas, even if the process has not actually been producing much energy beyond its homeland in the US, has barely been out of the public consciousness. In the UK, drilling for oil by fracking explorers Cuadrilla in Sussex roused one of the biggest environmental protests in years, as thousands marched outside the village of Balcombe and Green party MP Caroline Lucas was arrested. A similar series of protests was mirrored in Manchester, later in the year. Public figures and industry bodies lined up to say the technology should go ahead in the UK, from David Cameron down to geologists, water companies and some environmentalists, and the government laid out sweeteners of £100,000 for communities who live near any shale gas wells that are fracked. Nuclear power had a good year in the UK, but a bad one pretty much everywhere else.

Rebel smell: In the Deep South, dirty energy and disenfranchisement go hand in hand The southeastern U.S. is pre-1990s South Africa, and the brand of apartheid practiced here is of the energy variety. This is how environmental justice scholar Robert Bullard called it two years ago, and a report released yesterday from the NAACP pretty much confirms it. Clocking in at over 500 pages, the civil rights organization’s new report, “Just Energy Policies: Reducing Pollution and Creating Jobs,” reads like an update of Van Jones’s 2008 book, The Green Collar Economy, showing how far the nation has come, and not come, in advancing clean energy. The NAACP’s report hinges on the idea that the more that states invest in clean energy and implement diverse and localized hiring practices, the more people of color will benefit in terms of income, employment, and health. Clean energy, in other words, can help create a more just society. You’re not tracking? The disparity is particularly acute in the Deep South. Can investing in clean energy really help solve this? Patterson thinks so.

Grainspotting: Farmers get desperate as coal and oil take over the rails The U.S. agriculture and energy sectors might be facing a Jets and Sharks situation: Our railroad system just ain’t big enough for the two of them! Unfortunately, this scenario is unlikely to involve a highly choreographed mambo dance-off, not that we wouldn’t love to see Rex Tillerson’s moves. He’d make a great Bernardo. American farmers are becoming concerned that coal and oil companies’ increased use of railroad shipping will crowd out grain trains. The Western Organization of Resource Councils warns in a recent report that railway congestion will only increase in coming years, especially as coal export facilities are built up in the Pacific Northwest. The report largely focuses on traffic between the coal-rich Powder River Basin region of southeastern Montana and northeastern Wyoming, and port cities such as Seattle, Portland, and Vancouver, Wash. Compounding the coal issue, oil transport by train has exponentially increased in recent years. From the WORC report:

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