Blog Investissement et immobilier: Le RSA: la belle planque ? Je suis tombé hier sur facebook sur ce tableau, qui était partagé plus de 67 000 fois et avait reçu plus de 12000 commentaires. L'objectif de ce tableau était je pense de démontrer que les familles dont un ou plusieurs membres travaillent et ayant de faibles revenus étaient désavantagées par rapport à celle touchant le RSA. Ce que l'auteur veut aussi dire, j'imagine, c'est que certains sont incités à ne pas travailler suite aux allocation RSA, et même que le RSA est donné à des "profiteurs".
Il exprime la frustration d'une partie de la France qui vit avec de faibles revenus, et qui reproche à l'état de créer des assistés permanents. Ce débat est certainement intéressant, et ne doit pas être occulté, mais encore faut-ils que les chiffres soit corrects et représentatifs ! Fondamentalement, ce tableau souffre de 3 failles méthodologique rédhibitoires: Erreur 1: La cantine des enfants Les enfants salariés ont aussi droit à des vacances !
Erreur 2: Le calcul du RSA En résumé. « Debtocracy » ou le procès de la crise grecque. Liberty, Equality, Austerity. Faceoff at 55 Wall St. Closing Dexia Long CDS With $3.6MM Profit On Imminent Nationalization Concerns. Back on May 25, somewhere close to the irrelevant equity market's highs, when once again a little ahead of the market curve we suggested that Dexia would be the bank most impacted by the next round of Greek-induced risk flaring, we were banging the table on a long Dexia CDS SUB position. 5 Year subs were trading at 568 bps then. They are now 31/39 points upfront and every day for Dexia could be its last. Which is precisely why we are closing the trade: should Dexia go under it will drag all of Europe with it. We expect a partial or complete nationalization to be announced imminently, which in addition to all other side effects, would lead in a Bear Stearnsing of all accrued profit.
With a 20% recovery rate on the CDS, the P&L on the trade is $3.6MM on $10MM notional. Not bad for a 4 month holding period. Spread: Source: Bloomberg. Goldman Raises US Recession Odds To 40%; Sees More Fed Easing, Expects Recession In Germany And France. We won't comment on the supreme imbecility of being able to predict something as amorphous as a recession in decile increments, but for what it's worth, here it is.
Just out from the crack Goldman tag team of Hatzius and Dominic Wilson, who usually don't work together unless they have to make some big statement: "We now see the risk of a renewed US recession as around 40%. " (this was 30% before - expect every other Wall Street idiot to follow suit with an identical prediction). Also, those wondering if Goldman is content with getting shut out on its IOER cut demand, we have the answer: no. To wit: "We expect additional easing of monetary policy beyond the ‘operation twist’ announced recently, although this may not come until sometime in the first half of 2012. Full note: World Growth Slows as Europe Stagnates The further deterioration in the economic and financial situation in the Euro area has led us to downgrade our global GDP forecast significantly, from 4.3% to 3.5% in 2012.
CDAC 2010: la loi LME avantagerait-elle LECLERC? - le blog decigeo. La fraude sociale est d'abord le fait... des entreprises.