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The Evolution of Banking and Financial Intermediation
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Understanding modern banking & finance
Last quarter, upon the release of the Q4 2011 Z.1 (Flow of Funds) report, we penned " The US Deleveraging Is Now Over ", because, well, it was: all the categories tracked by the Fed's Credit Market Debt Outstanding series posted a sequential increase over Q3. Most importantly, there was an increase in the net debt held by the US Household Sector: this was only the first time after 14 quarters of declines, that US consumers had levered up. Sure enough, many took this as an indication that the economy was now fixed, and that with everyone levering up, inflation was sure to follow, and the virtuous cycle was back (also leading to the scare when the yield on the 10 year spiked, however briefly, to the mid 2% range).
Forecasting. Doesnt. Work.
By Peter I just got back from Chicago, where, along with attending the American Historical Association, I participated in a series of protests held by Occupy Chicago, along with CACHE (Coalition Against Corporatization of Higher Education) that targeted the American Economics Association (AEA). Its not everyday that the worlds of street protests and academic conferences blend so well. But then again, part of the point was to “puncture the bubble,” that academic economists live in.
Six months ago the accounting firm PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP said MF Global Holdings Ltd. and its units “maintained, in all material respects, effective internal control over financial reporting as of March 31, 2011.” A lot of people who relied on that opinion lost a ton of money. MF Global filed for bankruptcy on Oct. 31.
Istvan Bara / Getty Images Note: This is the second of two related posts.
During the second half of the 19th century, the world's biggest economies endured a series of brutal recessions.
Snow-capped peaks; nightcaps with Larry Summers; discussions of complexity theory over breakfast; Tennyson quotations from Gordon Brown at lunch.
In a recent highly publicized game of Jeopardy, two of the game’s greatest past champions were beat by Watson, an IBM computer whose intelligence was based on algorithms. It was hailed as the latest example of how software could outperform human beings. In the latest INET interview, Amar Bhidé, the author of the new book A Call for Judgment , counters that argument with a strong defense of the primacy of human judgment – at least when it comes to overseeing the economy and navigating the world of finance.
by Umair Haque | 2:36 PM July 28, 2011 The monsters, they say, come out at night.
cgasmediatvdrama.blogspot.com This is a lengthy, highly provovative article illustrating in explicit detail my thoughts on how America's inferior education system made the Great Recession not only a foregone conclusion of indoctrinated GroupThink, but prevents a true recovery from recovery due to the abject fear of price clearing.