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POTUS 2016

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Clinton’s Ground Game Didn’t Cost Her The Election. If the election turned into an Electoral College showdown, Hillary Clinton had an ace in the hole — or so it was assumed. In the event of a close election, her field operation could ensure a high turnout from her base and give her a “big advantage” in the swing states, The New York Times reported on Nov. 3, in an article that contrasted Clinton’s supposedly more data-driven strategy against what it portrayed as an erratic and imprecise approach by Donald Trump: Mrs.

Clinton’s efforts are most intense in a few large swing states where balloting is underway. Guided by data on millions of voters around the country, the Clinton campaign has deployed her top surrogates to areas where she needs a boost: Mr. Needless to say, the election didn’t work out quite as Clinton hoped. So what went wrong with Clinton’s vaunted ground game? Here’s the thing, though: The evidence suggests those decisions didn’t matter very much. So did reporters go wrong in putting so much focus on the ground game? US election results: State-by-state maps and predictions as Donald Trump is most likely winner. M.motherjones. But moments later, his resolve had collapsed. He allowed the same reporter onto his plane for a flight from Miami to Jacksonville, Fla.

In the final days of the presidential campaign, Mr. Trump’s candidacy is a jarring split screen: the choreographed show of calm and confidence orchestrated by his staff, and the neediness and vulnerability of a once-boastful candidate now uncertain of victory. On the surface, there is the semblance of stability that is robbing Hillary Clinton of her most potent weapon: Mr. Trump’s self-sabotaging eruptions, which have repeatedly undermined his candidacy. Underneath that veneer, turbulence still reigns, making it difficult for him to overcome all of the obstacles blocking his path to the White House.

The contrasts pervade his campaign. Photo His polished older daughter, Ivanka, sat for a commercial intended to appeal to suburban women who have recoiled from her father’s incendiary language. Mr. The result is chaotic. Hope Hicks, Mr. Ms. Mr. But Mr. Mr. Mr. Trump, Clinton and the Battle for the Soul of America. By Todd Landman, Professor of Political Science and Pro Vice Chancellor of the Faculty of Social Sciences I grew up near Harrisburg in Pennsylvania and have lived in Philadelphia, Washington DC and Boulder, before moving to the UK in 1993. I came to The University of Nottingham just over a year ago as the first Pro Vice Chancellor in the Faculty of Social Sciences. As a political scientist I’ve naturally followed US politics – and this year’s campaign for the US Presidency has captivated the world’s attention as Hillary Clinton seeks to be the first female president of the United States and has been campaigning against billionaire Donald Trump, who for many has confounded the odds as an outsider to become the Republican candidate.

Understanding the popular and Electoral College votes Since the 1950s and the Eisenhower elections, the American presidential electoral map has seen, for a large number of years, states that have been ‘red’ for the Republican support they’ve expressed. Clinton's embrace of Republicans will harm her own party's future | Trevor Timm | Opinion. The Clinton campaign has now spent months trying to convince relatively obscure former Republican officials to endorse her campaign while also adopting many Republican slogans and arguments in her quest for the presidency.

One has to wonder how much long term damage she is doing to progressive policies by deploying this strategy, even if she beats Donald Trump along the way. Clinton gave a speech in Ohio on Wednesday with yet another former Bush official, James Clad. The speech was billed as touting “American exceptionalism”, one of the more repellent nationalistic concepts that Republicans have used to shame progressives in the past.

She spoke mostly about foreign policy, a subject in which Clinton – with her penchant for supporting foreign wars and beefed up US military presence everywhere – seemingly has more in common with mainstream Republicans than the Obama administration. But it’s not just the outreach and compliments to normally detestable Republicans that are the problem. How American Politics Became So Ineffective. It’s 2020, four years from now. The campaign is under way to succeed the president, who is retiring after a single wretched term. Voters are angrier than ever—at politicians, at compromisers, at the establishment.

Congress and the White House seem incapable of working together on anything, even when their interests align. With lawmaking at a standstill, the president’s use of executive orders and regulatory discretion has reached a level that Congress views as dictatorial—not that Congress can do anything about it, except file lawsuits that the divided Supreme Court, its three vacancies unfilled, has been unable to resolve. On Capitol Hill, Speaker Paul Ryan resigned after proving unable to pass a budget, or much else. As the presidential primaries unfold, Kanye West is leading a fractured field of Democrats. I could continue, but you get the gist. Political disintegration plagues Congress, too. And here is the still bigger point: The very term party leaders has become an anachronism.

What if Trump won't accept defeat? Donald Trump is on track to lose in November and to refuse to accept the legitimacy of that Election Day result. That’s a problem not just for Hillary Clinton but for both political parties and the country. For everyone, really, other than Donald Trump. By hiring Breitbart News’ Steve Bannon, a media provocateur in his own image, and accepting the resignation of the man who was supposed to professionalize him, Trump is signaling the final 78 days of his presidential campaign will be guided by a staff that indulges his deeply held conspiracy theories and validates his hermetically sealed worldview. Story Continued Below That includes his insistence that the only way he loses is in a “rigged” election.

According to two long-time Trump associates, the notion of a fixed election isn’t just viewed as smart politics inside Trump Tower; it’s something the GOP nominee believes. “If he loses, [he’ll say] ‘It’s a rigged election.’ Trump’s words are having an effect. "The Most Hated Campaign Operative in America" Just Joined the Trump Team. AP Photo/The Star Tribune, Glen Stubbe In 2011, at the ripe old age of 28, GOP political consultant Nick Ayers was ready to hang up his spurs and retire to a genteel life outside politics, but God brought him back.

God wanted Ayers to use his significant talents to help restore America's prosperity and liberty. Ayers announced all of this in a blast email he sent that year to friends, informing them that he would forgo private-sector riches and use his talents to take Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty to the White House. It rubbed people the wrong way. And then it became a punch line when Pawlenty's campaign, which Ayers managed, crashed and burned in a blur of wasted money, long before the 2012 Republican primary ever really got going. Now Ayers is back on the national stage. Ayers started working this year as a top political adviser to Indiana Gov. There's also something Trumpian about the way Ayers comports himself. As He often does in walks of faith, He has called me to a higher purpose. Thomas Piketty on the rise of Bernie Sanders: the US enters a new political era | US news. How can we interpret the incredible success of the “socialist” candidate Bernie Sanders in the US primaries?

The Vermont senator is now ahead of Hillary Clinton among Democratic-leaning voters below the age of 50, and it’s only thanks to the older generation that Clinton has managed to stay ahead in the polls. Because he is facing the Clinton machine, as well as the conservatism of mainstream media, Sanders might not win the race. But it has now been demonstrated that another Sanders – possibly younger and less white – could one day soon win the US presidential elections and change the face of the country. In many respects, we are witnessing the end of the politico-ideological cycle opened by the victory of Ronald Reagan at the 1980 elections. Let’s glance back for an instant. This policy in no way affected the strong growth of the post-war American economy, doubtless because there is not much point in paying super-managers $10m when $1m will do. A mythical capitalism A progressive agenda. Delegate Count Leaving Bernie Sanders With Steep Climb. As Jeb! Bush suspends his presidential bid, here are nine campaign moments he probably hopes we'd forget.

In news that should worry the entire world, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump won the South Carolina primary on Saturday, cementing his position at the lead of the pack of GOP hopefuls. The result led Jeb! Bush, younger brother of Dubya and son of George Sr, to bow out of the race, after a disappointing finish of just 7.8 per cent of the vote. Jeb! , as the ex governor of Florida and member of an established political dynasty, was seen as a shoo-in for the Republican nomination when he entered the race in July - but his "low energy" campaign has been decidedly lacklustre, overshadowed by outsiders Trump and Ben Carson and his political juniors Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz. To be honest, his plummeting polling figures were not helped along the way by a series of oddball comments, contradictions and classic political f--kups, nine of which we are delighted to remind you of below: 1. 2.

Hell yeah I would! Even if baby Hitler was really cute? You gotta step up, man. 3. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. What we learned from the South Carolina primary and Nevada caucus | US news. Three time zones apart, the eight presidential candidates from two parties vied for the hearts, minds and votes of South Carolina and Nevada. And if Saturday night’s results were any indication, many Americans are starting to really see the 2016 campaign as an opportunity for revolution. Here are a few quick takeaways from the third round of a gauntlet toward the White House: Bush family values only get you so far Nearly every Republican presidential candidate applauded the campaign run by Jeb Bush, who dropped out after a bitterly disappointing fourth-place finish in South Carolina, a state that helped make the Bush dynasty. Ted Cruz called him “a man who ran a campaign based on ideas, based on policy, based on substance – a man who didn’t go to the gutter and engage in insults and attacks”, a clear reference to Donald Trump.

And yet ... Clinton has cooled the Bern – for now A few months ago, Hillary Clinton was expecting to take the Nevada caucuses at a walk. Yes, you read that right. The 'good billionaire': Silicon Valley roots for Bloomberg for president | Technology. Michael Bloomberg may feel that his recent hints at a 2016 run for the White House have barely registered in a presidential year dominated by big characters and unexpected twists. After the initial stir caused by news the former New York mayor was considering entering the 2016 race as a centrist, independent candidate, he has quickly receded to the shadows, barely discussed by either Democratic or Republican candidates.

Yet there is one corner of the US still holding out for a Bloomberg candidacy: Silicon Valley. The tech industry sees the billionaire entrepreneur, who is fiscally conservative and socially liberal, as one of its own. “Bloomberg is good billionaire to Trump’s bad billionaire,” former Google executive and current startup founder Mike Dudas said. Or as Twitter’s chief financial officer Anthony Noto recently put it: “Wow!!

Please Please @MikeBloomberg”. “In Silicon Valley, everybody loves somebody who’s an operator,” Calacanis added. He added: “The question is, so what? The Ebb and Flow of the Road to the Nomination. Donald Trump Scraps the Usual Campaign Playbook, Including TV Ads. 95,000 Words, Many of Them Ominous, From Donald Trump’s Tongue. Hillary Clinton 2016: How Does She Lose? “If a candidate has ever been inevitable—for the nomination—it is Mrs. Clinton today,” the New York Times’ Nate Cohn declared early this year. “Hillary is probable, but no longer inevitable,” the Los Angeles Times’ David Horsey inferred months later. Polling guru Nate Silver nodded along with that assessment, giving Clinton an 85 percent chance of winning the Democratic nomination.

“The general election is a whole different story,” he cautioned. PredictWise, which synthesizes data from pollsters and various betting markets, currently gives Clinton a 69 percent chance of winning the Democratic nomination and a 42 percent chance of becoming president. Story Continued Below As the Democrats prepare to debate in Las Vegas—the first real test of the candidates’ mettle—Politico Magazine put that question to the experts.

‘She loses if enough Democrats conclude she can’t win.’By Jeff Greenfield, five-time Emmy-winning network television analyst and author. Could she lose in November? 1. 2. 3. 4. A Point of View: The rude, vulgar US presidential election - BBC News. The race for the White House can appear a ridiculous spectacle to the casual observer. But look closer and it's far worse than that, says PJ O'Rourke. To outsiders, the US presidential election contest must look rude, vulgar, overcrowded, angry, stupid, and dangerous - a busload of football hooligans. That is not how it looks to an American. In American Football the hooligans are on the field, being paid to play. We have busloads of presidential candidates instead. And when those busloads of presidential candidates roll into our towns, we Americans would, if we legally could - first amendment, free speech rights and all that - jam the bus doors shut and send the candidates down the road to the next town, or to someplace much warmer.

Who are all these jacklegs, high-binders, wire-pullers, mountebanks, swellheads, buncombe spigots, boodle artists, four-flushers and animated spittoons offering themselves as worthy of our nation's highest office? Do they take us voters for fools? Oh. 'Yes we can' 2.0? Why Joe Biden is running for president – and why he's not |... The prospect that a sitting vice-president would refuse to run for president of the United States defies most brands of modern political logic. It defies the logic of personal duty that causes someone to spend 40 years of his life in elected office, in an effort to fulfill a public charge. It defies the logic of personal ambition that grows stronger with proximity to the biggest job in the world. It defies what little logic there is left to prognostication, given that one in four voters want the current vice-president to stay in the White House – and that he nips at every runaway lead Hillary Clinton has ever had, whenever his name comes up in a poll.

And the prospect of an election without the US’s beloved No2 certainly defies the logic of any media revenue model, which contemplates in this case a fight to the political death between two Washington friends, and sees a bonanza. How can Joe Biden not join the 2016 race for the presidency? ’88, ’08 and right now The case against Biden. Joe Biden Supporters Ramp Up a Campaign-in-Waiting. Vice President Joe Biden’s aides and supporters have intensified efforts in recent days to create a campaign-in-waiting, developing more detailed plans for staffing, fundraising and organizing as they prepare for a possible 2016 presidential bid. Democratic fundraisers are working to recruit donors and lock down financial commitments. Mr. Biden’s aides are sketching out plans for potential hires in key primary states and considering which of the vice president’s longtime allies would work for a campaign and which would oversee a Biden super PAC.

The vice president has said he may not be ready to mount a bid for the White House, and people close to him say they are trying to give him the time and space to make a decision. But in private, Mr. Biden’s advisers and supporters are proceeding as if he soon could be running, underscoring a growing belief that a campaign launch remains a real possibility. “We’re doing everything we can here to make it an easy ‘yes’ ” for the vice president, Mr. What Will Obama's Unpopularity Mean for 2016? Perry suspends campaign after hopes for a ‘second chance’ were dashed. How Bernie Sanders is plotting his path to the Democratic nomination.

Candidates on the Issues. Bernie Sanders’s Long Run. Who Is Running for President?