WorldCat.org: The World's Largest Library Catalog. All models are wrong. "All models are wrong" is a common aphorism in statistics.
It is generally attributed to the statistician George Box. Quotations of George Box The first record of Box saying "all models are wrong" is in a 1976 paper published in the Journal of the American Statistical Association. The paragraph containing the aphorism is below. Since all models are wrong the scientist cannot obtain a "correct" one by excessive elaboration. On the contrary following William of Occam he should seek an economical description of natural phenomena. Box repeated the aphorism in a paper that was published in the proceedings of a 1978 statistics workshop. The paper contains a section entitled "All models are wrong but some are useful". Now it would be very remarkable if any system existing in the real world could be exactly represented by any simple model.
Comments and discussions ... it does not seem helpful just to say that all models are wrong. About Us - Be Challenged. High performance coaching & events. Management Consulting Firm - Strategy. Strategy Workshop Facilitation. ILP Worldwide – Institute of Learning Professionals. About Professional Facilitators Australia - Professional Facilitators Australia.
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