The Afghan Problem in the Regional Cont. After 2001, when the Taliban suffered a military defeat, lost its grip on power and retreated to defensive positions, the international coalition failed to achieve any noticeable success in Afghanistan. On the contrary, the Taliban has been consolidating its positions militarily and politically all the recent years. The development of the situation can hardly be predicted due to the influence of a variety of different-directed factors, such as the interests of forces acting in the country, the conduct of neighboring states, and the policy of outside players. The United States and its main allies are likely to change their policy and switch from efforts to suppress the Taliban by force to a tactic of reconciliation with some of the Talibs.
The Barack Obama administration has several scenarios, but each requires cooperation with Afghanistan’s neighbors. Meanwhile, the neighboring countries can no longer rely solely on the United States. Moscow found itself in a difficult situation. First. Russia has Chechnya ploy for Afghanista. Russia has 'Chechnya' ploy for Afghanistan By Dmitry Shlapentokh With the administration of United States President Barack Obama treating the deteriorating situation in Afghanistan as a priority, given the resurgence of the Taliban, Russia has become an important player in the region. Moscow has indicated its apparent support for the US by allowing the transit of supplies for Afghanistan through its territory.
On the other hand, the decision by the government in Kyrgyzstan to close the US base at Manas is attributed to Russian pressure. There therefore remains a widespread perception in the West that Russia is enjoying the US's struggles in Afghanistan, given the history of the Soviet Union's quagmire in that country during the 1980s. There might be some truth in this, but Russia has a compelling reason to be involved in Afghanistan. A considerable segment of the Russian elite is not anti-American, and even less so anti-European. Such a military force is problematic, though. Beyond the Afghan Trauma: Russia's Return to Afghanistan - The J. Russia’s Perspectives toward Afghanistan | Center for Strategic. At a meeting hosted by the Russian & Eurasia Program at CSIS on February 4, 2010, Marlene Laruelle—a Senior Research Fellow with the Central Asia- Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program—presented her insights into Russia’s foreign policy stance on Afghanistan.
Laruelle’s comments addressed Russia’s involvement in Afghanistan as characterized by a certain ambivalence due to competing strategic interests. The meeting provoked parallel discourse on Russia’s ability to manage its affairs in Afghanistan and greater Central Asia, and the implications this has for U.S. foreign policy. Ultimately, Russia cannot be side-stepped in a regional approach to stabilize Afghanistan. Afghanistan: A View from Moscow. Understanding Russia’s Approach on Afghanistan, Pakistan | Euras. Afghanistan : quelle sortie?