Long Bets - On the Record: Predictions. Evolution's Arrow. Our role in the future evolution of life John Stewart Member of the Evolution, Complexity and Cognition Research Group, The Free University of , John.Stewart@evolutionarymanifesto.com 6 June 2008 A completely new phase in the evolution of life on Earth has begun. In this new phase evolution will be driven intentionally, by humanity. At present humanity is lost. But this difficult period is coming to an end. At the heart of the evolutionary worldview is the fact that evolution has a trajectory—it heads in a particular direction. It is as if evolution is a developmental process. Across the planet at the beginning of the twenty first century, individuals are beginning to realize the importance of the transition to intentional evolution.
This role requires them to promote the new evolutionary worldview that will drive the transition. Evolutionary activists use the trajectory of evolution to identify what they need to do to advance evolution. Dreams of Autarky. By Robin Hanson Sept 2001, First version Sept 1999 Genie nanotech, space colonies, Turing-test A.I., a local singularity, crypto credentials, and private law are all dreams of a future where some parts of the world economy and society have an unusually low level of dependence on the rest of the world. But it is the worldwide division of labor that has made us humans rich, and I suspect we won't let it go for a long time to come. Introduction Many of us expect humanity to encounter enormous changes in the next century, changes that we would do well to consider seriously now. How can we come to terms with this disagreement? One favorite response to this predicament is to invoke common biases in human reasoning.
Since we are human, we must acknowledge that we too suffer from any common human biases. Which brings me to the topic of this paper. Expecting Autarky The cells in our bodies are largely-autonomous devices and manufacturing plants, producing most of what they need internally. 14 Wild Ideas. Many Worlds , Medicine Useless , A.I. via Common Sense , Cryonics , Uploads , I'm in Sim , Fast Growth , Growth Stops , Colonize Galaxy , No Aliens , Aliens Came & Left , Private Law , Futarchy , No One Honest . by Robin Hanson , Oct. 18, 2001 A wild idea is one that many people think is obviously quite unlikely. I'd say at least a third of these wild ideas are likely true.
(Parenthetic links are to more of my writings .) Many times each day, your mind permanently splits into different versions that live in different worlds. The startling prediction of the "many worlds" interpretation of quantum mechanics is that when systems like your mind interact with small quantum systems, every possible quantum outcome actually happens in a different "world. "
2008/artilectwar.pdf.