Espace pour la vie | Calendrier Au Japon, pendant l'ère Heian (794-1185), les aristocrates organisaient des fêtes au pied des cerisiers en fleurs. Ainsi commençait la tradition du o-hanami : contempler (mi) les fleurs (hana). Au fil des siècles, cette coutume s'est répandue au sein de toutes les classes sociales. Peu rustique, le cerisier japonais fleurit difficilement sous notre climat mais nos nombreux pommetiers aux jolies fleurs créeront une ambiance tout aussi paisible et romantique… Des activités sont aussi prévues pour agrémenter la journée. Les places sont limitées. Seules les personnes ayant réservé une boîte à lunch pourront participer au pique-nique. Période d'inscription : du 17 avril au 15 mai 2017 Formulaire d'inscription à venir. Paiement par chèque seulement.
Eine Geschichte der Gewalt | hpd Wir leben heute in der friedlichsten Zeit, seit es Menschen gibt. Steven Pinker fragt: Warum? EinleitungIn diesem Artikel geht der Psychologe, Sprachwissenschaftler und Bright Steven Pinker der Frage nach, warum die Gewalt weltweit immer mehr abnimmt. Steven Pinker ist Johnstone Family Professor in der psychologischen Fakultät der Harvard University. Sein neuestes Buch ist "Das unbeschriebene Blatt. Die moderne Leugnung der menschlichen Natur". Eine Geschichte der Gewaltvon Steven Pinker Im Paris des 16. Im Zeitalter von Darfur und Irak und kurz nach dem Jahrhundert von Stalin, Hitler und Mao scheint die Behauptung, dass die Gewalt immer mehr abgenommen hat, irgendwo zwischen halluzinatorisch und obszön zu liegen. Ein Teil der Belege lag die ganze Zeit vor unserer Nase. Einstmals wurden diese Fakten weithin anerkannt. Um eines klar zu stellen: Jeder Versuch, die Veränderungen in der Gewaltanwendung zu dokumentieren, muss von Unsicherheit durchdrungen sein. Übersetzung: Andreas Müller
Birthday problem In probability theory, the birthday problem or birthday paradox[1] concerns the probability that, in a set of n randomly chosen people, some pair of them will have the same birthday. By the pigeonhole principle, the probability reaches 100% when the number of people reaches 367 (since there are 366 possible birthdays, including February 29). However, 99.9% probability is reached with just 70 people, and 50% probability with 23 people. These conclusions include the assumption that each day of the year (except February 29) is equally probable for a birthday. The history of the problem is obscure, but W. W. The mathematics behind this problem led to a well-known cryptographic attack called the birthday attack, which uses this probabilistic model to reduce the complexity of cracking a hash function. A graph showing the computed probability of at least two people sharing a birthday amongst a certain number of people. Understanding the problem[edit] distinct possible combinations of pairing. and
Medhue Weighted Bodysuits for Avastar | Medhue Animations Included in this package is a Blend file which has 4 mesh weighted bodysuits, and 2 mesh skirts, generated from the default Secondlife avatar, with a higher poly count for better weight transfers to your clothing items. 2 bodysuits(male & female) are weighted for classic rigging, and the other 2 are weighted for Fitted Mesh rigging. This product works best when used with the Avastar add on, for Blender. The propose of these suits is to make it easier for you to rig your Secondlife clothing items. This is not meant to be a final solution, or a few button clicks and you're done. A number of people have asked if they can pay for this in lindens. We are offering a service to rig Secondlife creator's clothing and avatars for them. Update 11/29/2014 version 2 = Now includes a Male wetsuit with classic and fitted mesh weights! Updated 1/9/2015 version 3 = Now includes mesh skirts with both classic weights and fitted mesh weights. Included in this package:
Turnabout is fair play : Pharyngula Phil Senter has published the most deviously underhanded, sneaky, subtle undermining of the creationist position I’ve ever seen, and I applaud him for it. What he did was to take them seriously, something I could never do, and treat their various publications that ape the form of the scientific literature as if they actually were real science papers, and apply their methods consistently to an analysis of taxonomy. So on the one hand, it’s bizarre and disturbing to see the like of Ken Ham, Jerry Bergman, and Henry Morris get actual scientific citations, but on the other hand, seeing their claims refuted using their own touted methods is peculiarly satisfying. Senter has published a paper in the Journal of Evolutionary Biology that takes their claims at face value and analyzes dinosaur morphology using their own methods. The problem for them is that Senter found that it works far too well. Using creationist techniques, all of the Dinosauria reduce to…eight kinds. Awww. The final word:
Monty Hall problem In search of a new car, the player picks a door, say 1. The game host then opens one of the other doors, say 3, to reveal a goat and offers to let the player pick door 2 instead of door 1. Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say No. 1, and the host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door, say No. 3, which has a goat. He then says to you, "Do you want to pick door No. 2?" Vos Savant's response was that the contestant should switch to the other door (vos Savant 1990a). Many readers of vos Savant's column refused to believe switching is beneficial despite her explanation. The problem is a paradox of the veridical type, because the correct result (you should switch doors) is so counterintuitive it can seem absurd, but is nevertheless demonstrably true. The paradox[edit] Standard assumptions[edit] The behavior of the host is key to the 2/3 solution. Simple solutions[edit]
How to Use Facebook Video to Promote Your Jewelry Business - Interweave Net Profits If you’re comfortable on camera and like to teach, consider streaming a demonstration on Facebook. If you spend any time on everybody’s favorite social platform, you’ve probably seen announcements in your feed that so-and-so is “now live.” How effective is Facebook video as a promotional tool? “I think it’s incredibly effective for some people,” says Sarah Benoit, co-founder of the internet marketing firm JB Media Group. “Facebook video is not right for every audience,” Sarah says. If you’re interested in social broadcasting, figure out first whether it’s right for your message and audience. “Maybe this is an easy way for them to listen to you while they do something else. Plan Ahead With any video you put out there, decide beforehand what you’re trying to accomplish and then let people know what you’ll be talking about and when. You don’t have to spend a fortune to produce video good enough for a live broadcast, but a decent tripod and mic will go a long way.
Believer defends non-literal reading of the Bible “Sophisticated” theologians who urge a non-literal reading of the Bible always put themselves in a bind. And it is this: if the Bible is not to be read as a literal account of the truth, then how do we know which parts really are true, and which parts are fiction or metaphor? Nobody has ever found a convincing way to winnow the true from the metaphorical, and so it becomes an exercise in cherry-picking. I almost prefer the fundamentalist literalists (granted, nobody takes every Biblical word as literal truth) to those religious people who think, for no good reason, that they can discern the stories that are true (which always, of course, include Jesus’s divinity and resurrection) from those that are simply meant to impart “timeless truths.” Over at HuffPo, David Lose, Director of the Center for Biblical Preaching at Luther Seminary, gives his rationale for Biblical cherry-picking in a piece called “Four good reasons not to read the Bible literally.” Finally, Lose’s last point: Like this:
Bad Science » The end of homeopathy? Time after time, properly conducted scientific studies have proved that homeopathic remedies work no better than simple placebos. So why do so many sensible people swear by them? And why do homeopaths believe they are victims of a smear campaign? Ben GoldacreThe Guardian Friday November 16 2007 There are some aspects of quackery that are harmless – childish even – and there are some that are very serious indeed. The article does not say that, and I should know, because I wrote it. And there is the rub. Enough is enough. So let’s imagine that we are talking to a fan of homeopathy, one who is both intelligent and reflective. But perhaps it’s the placebo effect? The placebo response is about far more than the pills – it is about the cultural meaning of a treatment, our expectation, and more. A baby will respond to its parents’ expectations and behaviour, and the placebo effect is still perfectly valid for children and pets. Ah, now, but could that be because of “regression to the mean“?
There's an easy way to be funnier and more genuine without turning into a jerk — Quartz The gig economy is supposed to be a tradeoff: In exchange for foregoing the stability of a steady income and health benefits, workers get more freedom and flexibility. But it’s becoming increasingly clear that, in some cases, workers are giving up a lot more than they get in return. A recent article in the New York Times explains that the ride-sharing service Uber has been using design based on behavioral science to encourage its workers to work longer hours—for less money than they think. On one hand, organizations since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution have tried to incentivize employees to behave in ways that are advantageous to the bottom line. But federal law also affords employees certain protections—mandatory lunch breaks and paid overtime for certain categories of workers, for example—meant to protect workers from abuse. As contract workers, Uber drivers do not have those protections. 1) Uber is experimenting on drivers without the drivers’ knowledge The upshot
Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal July 04, 2011 KERPOW. Don't forget to come see me in Davis Wednesday at 5pm at Bizarro World. I'll be signing books and giving out free high fives. Discuss this comic in the forum July 03, 2011 How NoCal people, don't forget to come see me for a book signing at Bizarro World in Davis on July 6 at 5pm! July 02, 2011 Wooh! July 01, 2011 In case you missed it... June 30, 2011 BIG NEWS! "For the past two years we've run a weekly web-only sketch show, and we've had an incredible time doing it. See, we COULD have asked for your money two years ago when we started all of this, but we wouldn't have known what to do with it. That's right superpals, SMBC Theater is making the first of 3 (3!!)