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[ RADAR ] 2016 jan

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What kind of power will China become? These are grim times for the Chinese economy.

What kind of power will China become?

In the two years since property markets peaked and subsequently began to slow in most cities across China, it has become abundantly clear that the approach to economic management that sustained double-digit annual growth for two decades has exhausted itself. The unprecedented stock market volatility of the past year, along with signs of spreading unemployment and labour unrest in many regions, are important reminders that the transition to new foundations of national economic growth will in all likelihood be bitter, slow and unnervingly uncertain. In times like these, it is tempting to embrace visions of irreversible decline — just as it was easy, in the expansive years of consistently high growth, to view China’s rise as straightforward and inevitable. China’s slowing economic growth The question is what kind of great power China will be. Such assertions of military and political might are by no means unique to the Ming. What kind of power will China become? What kind of power will China become?

The zombie slayer sent to square China's SOE circle. It’s almost eight years to the day since Ken Henry took a call from Xiao Yaqing late one Friday afternoon in Canberra.

The zombie slayer sent to square China's SOE circle

Xiao, the then head of the Aluminium Company of China (Chinalco), was calling to inform the Australian government that the state-owned firm had just completed (in partnership with Alcoa) a lightning raid on Rio Tinto’s London-listed stock and that it now held a 9 per cent stake in the dual-listed company. Boom! China had arrived on the global corporate stage, but it seemed it wasn’t playing by the established rules. The fact that soon after moving in for a second bite at Rio, Xiao Yaqing was parachuted into a senior political role was taken by some as proof that this wasn’t a commercially inspired play — and that the Chinese state had been pulling the strings all along.

One Founder’s Follow-Up to Airbnb’s 7 Rejections: 8 Rejections — on startups. One Founder’s Follow-Up to Airbnb’s 7 Rejections: 8 Rejections The “7 Rejections” post by Airbnb co-founder and CEO Brian Chesky is probably the single most inspirational and motivational thing I’ve read in the three years since I’ve served as the co-founder and CEO of Localeur.

One Founder’s Follow-Up to Airbnb’s 7 Rejections: 8 Rejections — on startups

It’s one of those rare posts that has helped me push through the plethora of rejection I’ve received from investors and eventually create our own unique story of growth and tenacity, which I’ve chronicled here and here. Fred Wilson recently wrote about tenacity, one of his best blog posts of late, and I found a ton of value in reading it. However, the main comment I have is that stories like Airbnb’s prove that you don’t have to be a founder in year 5 or later, having reached product-market fit long ago, having raised tens of millions of dollars and having generated millions in revenue in order to demonstrate the kind of tenacity that makes these founders winners in the end. When Burn Rate Outweighs Enthusiasm. India is too democratic, but Modi is forcing things to be done: Nissim Nicholas Taleb - Times of India.

From running a hedge fund to analysing human behaviour , the 56-year-old Nassim Nicholas Taleb has lived a rich life.

India is too democratic, but Modi is forcing things to be done: Nissim Nicholas Taleb - Times of India

The author of many bestsellers -including 'Fooled by Randomness', 'The Black Swan' and 'Antifragile' --spoke at The Economic Times Global Business Summit last week on how key principles of running a business are the same that guide our lives. Excerpts from an exclusive interview with TOI's Surojit Gupta and SidharthaIs India a 'Black Swan robust' society (societies that can deal with sudden unexpected events)? It is more robust than other countries in the region because it has a history of turmoil and it has handled it rather well.

You are very democratic, rather too democratic. Now, Narendra Modi is forcing things to be done. Narendra Modi is an ascetic, he hasn’t disappointed: Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, scholar and risk analyst, sees the world through a different prism than most.

Narendra Modi is an ascetic, he hasn’t disappointed: Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The collapse of China's stock markets and crude prices may not be a bad thing after all, he told ET's MC Govardhana Rangan and Dinesh Narayanan in an interview. Edited excerpts: Last time when you were here, you said, 'If I were an Indian I would vote for Modi.' Winners & Losers in the Global App Economy. Today the global app economy is a good bellwether for the overall digital economy.

Winners & Losers in the Global App Economy

As a platform it’s enabled the rapid scaling of many services, and the ubiquity of the mobile phones that apps run on have lead to an enormous outpouring of creativity and coding. Caribou Digital Winners and Losers in the Global App Economy 2016. WhatsApp overtakes text messages. The company is now handling 30 billion messages every day, compared to the 20 billion SMS sent daily.

WhatsApp overtakes text messages

WhatsApp has its competitors but they tend to be popular in one geographic location. Facebook Messenger is widely used in the US, while Asia has provided more traction for services like WeChat. WhatsApp has seen growth around the globe. Voici comment les médias français voient le monde. Les médias nous donnent-ils une vision déformée du monde qui nous entoure ? Low Risk, High Reward: Why Venture Capital Thrives in the Digital World — Welcome to TheFamily.

William Janeway’s book, Doing Capitalism in the Innovation Economy, is the Bible when it comes to understanding the digital economy and how it is financed.

Low Risk, High Reward: Why Venture Capital Thrives in the Digital World — Welcome to TheFamily

Of particular interest is an idea about the risks investors are willing to take. Venture capital exists in the digital economy not because it is riskier, but because it is in fact less risky than other parts of the economy when it comes to research and development. Venture capitalists are willing to finance radically innovative companies not because they’ve suddenly embraced the idea of risking everything, but because some traditional risks were eliminated forever by various public and private investments, notably in the technological platform that is the Internet.

Derrière la colère des taxis, le système Rousselet. Vendredi 6 février, dans un restaurant près de la place de la Bourse, à Paris, Nicolas Rousselet, souriant mais méfiant, a apporté force graphiques et documents.

Derrière la colère des taxis, le système Rousselet

"De toute façon, quoi que je dise, il est devenu à la mode de descendre les taxis ! " Taxi Strike Redux: Is France Failing its Entrepreneurs? — Welcome to TheFamily. Urban transportation is a case in point.

Taxi Strike Redux: Is France Failing its Entrepreneurs? — Welcome to TheFamily

Next Tuesday (January 26, 2015), French taxi drivers will go on strike to protest the exponential development of private hire services powered by technology. As happened last June, they will paralyse the French capital and make life difficult for tourists. 11 Notes on Amazon (Part 2) — Welcome to TheFamily. Domesticated Investors 7/ There isn’t really a need to retell the amazing story of Amazon’s relationship with its investors. Justin Fox has done it in this remarkable piece published by the Harvard Business Review in which he reminds us that Jeff Bezos is “a hedge fund veteran who has always taken a skeptical view of Wall Street, treating it more as a loopy rich uncle than the efficient information processor of standard finance theory.”

11 Notes on Amazon (Part 1) — Welcome to TheFamily. The Architecture of Participation 3/ It takes several steps for an industry to go digital. The first step is when startups begin to multiply and try to test new ways of doing business. Coffee pod popularity prompts new business approach for growers, suppliers. Fernandez didn't learn of Nespresso until 2005 when the local miller he sells his coffee cherries to told him about the company and its sustainability initiative, the AAA Sustainable Quality Program. "We decided to start it in the farm because we know it is a good idea and it was according to our objectives," Fernandez says. "The program has the same idea as us – taking care of water sources and nature. " More than ever before, companies are expected to take responsibility for how they conduct business at every level of their supply chain. Consumers are demanding better transparency and are increasingly seeking products that have been certified as organic, sustainable or fair trade.

Economists have absolutely no idea what is going to happen to the global economy. Paradoxically our fundamental inability to predict the future has done nothing to dampen non-economists enthusiasm for our predictions. Photo: Michel Bunn An engineer, a scientist and economist are playing darts. The engineer throws a dart and hits the far left of the dart board. The scientist throws another and hits the far right. "The Level Of Alarm Is Extremely High" As Zika "Spreading Explosively" WHO Warns. Meet the new Ebola.

Well over a year since the global fears over the Ebola epidemic sent US stocks reeling in late 2014 ahead of an even sharper rebound, today the head of the World Health Organization delivered a very stern warning when she said that the Zika virus, a mosquito-borne pathogen that may cause birth defects when pregnant women are infected, has been “spreading explosively” in South and Central America. “The level of alarm is extremely high,” WHO director general Margaret Chan said Thursday in an e-mailed statement according to Bloomberg. Chan said she will convene an emergency meeting on Feb. 1 in Geneva to consider whether to declare the outbreak a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern,” which can coordinate government responses to direct money and resources at the virus. Et l’URSS envoya son premier homme sur Internet. Urban Mobility: walking the next big thing?

The Walc app is designed to help pedestrians find their way around town. The NYC-based company behind it is also campaigning for the development of more convenient street infrastructure to make it easier for people to get around on foot in the city of tomorrow. Google Cars: Reported ‘disengagements’ a focus for ongoing improvements. The Trump paradox: A rough guide for the Left - Left Flank. Racist … fascist … Islamophobe … a racist piece of shit … immigrant hater … a right-wing nativist populist … bigot … racist asshole … an ugly and dangerous force in American politics … full fascist—Recent descriptions of Donald Trump from various sections of the US liberal and socialist Left. Blythe Masters Firm Raises Cash, Wins Australian Contract. Digital Asset Holdings, the blockchain startup run by former JPMorgan Chase & Co. banker Blythe Masters, raised $52 million from investors and won a contract to radically speed up settlement in Australia’s stock market.

The deal with ASX Ltd., Australia’s main exchange operator, is the boldest attempt yet to prove the worth of a so-called distributed ledger system. Manuel Valls contre les intellectuels. Ce n’est pas si courant : samedi dernier, chez Laurent Ruquier, la sociologie a occupé la vedette. Documentaires : Le meilleur de 2015 - Les projections en festivals et la moisson des prix qui l’accompagne se terminent pour cette année. Dans cette course à l’échalote, qui sert d’étalon à la valeur des réalisateurs de télévision, beaucoup de candidats mais finalement peu d’élus. En épluchant les palmarès 2015 de cinq des principales compétitions annuelles, seule une poignée de films tirent leur épingle du jeu.

A Pessimist's Guide to the World in 2016. Here's Everything That Could Go Wrong in 2016. Can Australia truly be an innovative country? Tous aux abris face à la crise qui vient ? Pourquoi le "plus jamais ça" de l'après-désastre financier de 2008 s'est transformé en mini-réformes préventives.

Davos 2016 + Trends

David Chaum anonymity crypto PrivaTegrity. How Stories Drive the Stock Market. Oil Spikes As Citi Calls It "Trade Of The Year" Even As OPEC Oil Basket Price Near Lowest On Record. Analyse BRENT Et si c’était maintenant le point bas sur le pétrole !? - CRUDE OIL BRENT - IVT - Interactiv Trading. Market Did Work of Four Fed Rate Hikes, Morgan Stanley Says. Les enfants perdus de la Silicon Valley.

Gilles Kepel hanté par l'islamisation de la France. Pour en finir avec l'imposture Kerviel. Be careful with that viral statistic about the top 1% owning half the world’s wealth. Why #Davos Matters — Bad Words. View.bcg-email. Kerr Neilson: Welcome to the end of the Buffett era of investing. Non, monsieur Macron, la vie d'un entrepreneur n'est pas «plus dure» que celle d'un salarié. There’s more turbulence ahead for the global economy. Nantes: La D-vine, «machine Nespresso du vin», se lance sur le marché.

The serious economic consequences of power couples. Confiance%20politique%20vague%207%20 %20CAUTRES%20 Insatisfaction. Ungoverned-World Map of Refugees, Terrorists, & War. It's time to talk about the larger and more influential 'Gen-Z' Ce qu’on n’a jamais essayé contre le chômage. Why Equifax Is Spending $1.8 Billion to Acquire a Company Down Under. Oil dips below $30 a barrel for third day in a row – and is likely to go lower. 'Cloud tsunami' hits Sydney – in pictures. The Hottest Startup Sectors in 2016. Climate: El Nino will add to emerging economy woes. Turnbull government must be game to overhaul online gambling. Ken Henry says NAB has strong capital and is ready to embrace fintech future.

A third of foreign banks in Australia had no taxable income. ANZ boss Shayne Elliott draws up plan to fix toxic culture. SoundCloud strikes licensing deal with Universal Music. The Australian FinTech Ecosystem’s Growth is Breathtaking. Strategy Is Iterative Prototyping. Strategy and Execution Are the Same Thing. It’s crunch time for global markets. The 14 companies that illustrate Australia's fintech future. Terror, climate chaos, financial crisis are the costs of ‘doing business’ Strung out on lasers and slash back blazers Bowie mix by JD Twitch by JD_Twitch. David Bowie Allowed His Art to Deliver a Final Message. David Bowie - Lazarus. Public sector innovation across Asia Pacific.

Singapore announces S$19bn innovation budget. Devant l'Hyper Cacher, Valls évoque "l'angoisse immense" des juifs de France et "la douleur intense", un an après les attentats. Why Weren’t Alarm Bells Ringing? by Paul Krugman. Future Economists Will Probably Call This Decade the 'Longest Depression'  The Shifts and the Shocks: What we've learned - and have still to learn - from the financial crisis eBook: Martin Wolf: Kindle Store.

Future Economists Will Probably Call This Decade the 'Longest Depression'  An Anticapitalism That Can Win. Gramsci and Educational Thought. President Barack Obama - Just Tell Him You’re the President - Episode. 19 médias américains à suivre en 2016 pour se consoler de Grantland. Backchannel. Therapy wars: the revenge of Freud.

Pourquoi Orange va faire trembler les banques. Mon bureau au bistrot. The 14 companies that illustrate Australia's fintech future. Grâce à sa lettre de motivation géniale sur Twitter, il a décroché le stage de ses rêves. LinkedIn veut secouer les classements des universités. Hydrogen bombs versus atomic bombs, explained. Dick Smith receivership gets the drums beating on risk. Israël-Palestine en 2016. La fin? Tariq Ramadan, versant inoffensif. Clémentine Autain, Tariq Ramadan: ensemble contre la République? En Arabie saoudite, des exécutions de masse qui aggravent les tensions confessionnelles. La séparation des Eglises et de l'Etat (with images, tweets) · LarrereMathilde.

The Man Who Knew Too Much. Nassim Taleb (1) - La Ciudad de las Ideas 2009 [05] Le retour de la « job machine » américaine. Nocookies.