iNtegrated Space Weather Analysis System ( iSWA ) : iswax : Version 1.10.0 [DonkeyCone] My Solar Alerts. Solar Stormwatch. More Signs Of The Sun Slowing Down. In my post from yesterday, I highlighted a paragraph from a NASA press release which touched on one of the final findings of the soon to be ended Ulysses spacecraft mission to study the sun: “Ulysses ends its career after revealing that the magnetic field emanating from the sun’s poles is much weaker than previously observed. This could mean the upcoming solar maximum period will be less intense than in recent history. “ A few months ago, I had plotted the Average Geomagnetic Planetary Index (Ap) which is a measure of the solar magnetic field strength but also daily index determined from running averages of eight Ap index values. Call it a common yardstick (or meterstick) for solar magnetic activity. Click for a larger image I had noted that there was a curious step function in 2005, almost as if something had “switched off”.
Today, since it is fathers day, and I get to do whatever I want, I chose to revisit this graph. I also plotted my own 24 month smoothing window plot, shown in magenta. Strange emissions by sun are mutating matter. ~UPDATED 12/01/11 Check links please…This is not a scientific paper…link at bottom for source…Thank you ~jude The angry sun For months mounting fear has driven researchers to wring their hands over the approaching solar storms. Some have predicted devastating solar tsunamis that could wipe away our advanced technology, others voiced dire warnings that violent explosions on the surface of the sun could reach out to Earth, breach our magnetic field, and expose billions to high intensity X-rays and other deadly forms of cancer-causing radiation. Now evidence has surfaced that something potentially more dangerous is happening deep within the hidden core of our life-giving star: never-before-seen particles—or some mysterious force—is being shot out from the sun and it’s hitting Earth.
Whatever it is, the evidence suggests it’s affecting all matter. Strange and unknown Alarmed physicists first became aware of this threat over the past several years. Something impossible has happened. Sources. Solar Influences Data Center. Solar Influences Data Center. Solar Influences Data Analysis Center - Homepage. 3-day-forecast of solar and geomagnetic activity.
Archive Latest issue :Issued: 2014 Apr 14 1244 UTC :Product: documentation at #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 40414 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 14 Apr 2014, 1204UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 14 Apr 2014 until 16 Apr 2014) SOLAR FLARES : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Apr 2014 10CM FLUX: 140 / AP: 006 PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Apr 2014 10CM FLUX: 145 / AP: 005 PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Apr 2014 10CM FLUX: 150 / AP: 004 COMMENT: Six sunspot groups are reported by NOAA today. The most active of them is NOAA AR 2036 (no Catania number yet) that produced five low C-class flares today. Details.
2012: Magnetic Pole Reversal Happens All The (Geologic) Time. 2012: Magnetic Pole Reversal Happens All The (Geologic) Time Schematic illustration of Earth's magnetic field. Credit/Copyright: Peter Reid, The University of Edinburgh› View larger Scientists understand that Earth's magnetic field has flipped its polarity many times over the millennia. In other words, if you were alive about 800,000 years ago, and facing what we call north with a magnetic compass in your hand, the needle would point to 'south.' This is because a magnetic compass is calibrated based on Earth's poles. Reversals are the rule, not the exception. Sediment cores taken from deep ocean floors can tell scientists about magnetic polarity shifts, providing a direct link between magnetic field activity and the fossil record. Earth's polarity is not a constant. Another doomsday hypothesis about a geomagnetic flip plays up fears about incoming solar activity.
Related Link: › Earth's Inconstant Magnetic Field Patrick Lynch NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center. Another LDE M Flare and 2 CME's - Jan 23 2012. Update @ 22:18 UTC Jan 23, 2012: Event Summery: -The CME's are Earth directed. -CME speed is 2200 km/s -Will arrive on Jan 24, 2012 - 1 day after ejection -There was a R2 radio Blackout with this M flare -There was Proton event associated this this event-Strongest Proton event since 2003-S3 Solar Radiation Storm is now in progress Read full report for all details! *A strong S3 Level radiation storm is still in progress. This is the strongest proton event since 2003! NOAA Correction and New Data Update:Issued 16:30 UTC Jan 24, 2012 Here we see a plot of the Protons and it shows the secondary increase of 10 MeV protons as the CME arrived.
Earlier, it was stated that the current Solar Radiation Storm was the largest since May 2005, when the 10 MeV protons exceeded over 3000 PFU. *What is a Solar Radiation Storm? Read the answer here: Issue Time: 2012 Jan 23 1426 UTC Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected Extension to Serial Number: 336 Valid From: 2012 Jan 23 0500 UTC. Radiowave Propagation Center: forecast + current sunspot cycle activity, space weather, geomagnetic conditions. M 3.2 Flare + FULL HALO CME / Solar Watch Jan 20, 2012. M3.2 solar blast from Sunspot 1402 produced Earth-directed CME. The long-duration blast at active region 1402 produced M3.2 solar flare and CME which is heading toward Earth. This was two-wave flare and first CME wave was overtaken by the 2nd wave due to its higher speed velocity.The major bulk of the plasma cloud appears to be directed north. A minor R1 Level Radio Blackout resulted.
Active Regions 1401 and 1402, positioned near the center of the disk, dominate the x-ray imagery today. Expect additional R1 (Minor) Radio Blackouts from flares, and given their location, an eruption of a CME in the near future would certainly have an impact on the earth's magnetic field. There are currrently 13 active regions facing Earth. NASA's twin STEREO spacecraft recorded an impressive CME emerging from the blast site and here you can watch movie #1 & movie #2. Earth-directed CME Confirmation of earth-directed CME came from analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab with forecasts of strong geomagnetic storms this weekend. WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction. THE SUN TODAY: 18 JANUARY 2012 - Easy Come, Easy Go! THE SUN TODAY: 26 October 2011 - Anatomy of a Storm. THE SUN TODAY: 28 October 0211 - The Farside. THE SUN TODAY: 7 November 2011 - Lots of Naked-Eye Spots.
THE SUN TODAY: 10 November 2011 - M Flare Produces Huge CME. Broadcast Yourself. THE SUN TODAY: 9 November 2011 - Two Ribbon Flares. Reconnection. THE SUN TODAY: 10 October 2011 - Flares at last! Solar cycle and effects. THE SUN TODAY: 6 November 2011 - Homologous Flares. THE SUN TODAY: 8 November 2011 - Double Doom Day. THE SUN TODAY: 11 November 2011 - TWINS.
THE SUN TODAY: 12 November 2011 - Sunspots That Could Swallow the Earth. THE SUN TODAY: 13 November 2011 - Scarface! BREAKING NEWS: Huge Filament Erupts - Not Earth Bound. THE SUN TODAY: 15 November 2011 - M Flares! THE SUN TODAY: 21 November 2011 - Earthbound Solar Storm. THE SUN TODAY: 5 November 2011 - ASTEROID THREAT. THE SUN TODAY: 22 November 2011 - GOING ... GOING ... GONE! THE SUN TODAY: 12 September 2011 - OUTBREAK. THE SUN TODAY: 27 August 2011 - Goodnight Irene. THE SUN TODAY: 26 August 2011 - Where's the Sun? THE SUN TODAY: 4-5 October 2011 - Spectacular CME off NE Limb. THE SUN TODAY: 11 September 2011 - The Quiet After the Storm? CME Impact / Solar Watch Nov 23, 2011. THE SUN TODAY: 14 November 2011 - Eruptions, or Not? BREAKING NEWS: M Flare Out of Nowhere! 9 November 2011. As Sun Storms Ramp Up, Electric Grid Braces for Impact. The electrical power grid is particularly vulnerable to these extra currents, which can infiltrate high-voltage transmission lines, causing transformers to overheat and possibly burn out.
"The concern is if the electric grid lost a number of transformers during a single storm, replacing them would be difficult and time-consuming," said Rich Lordan, senior technical executive for power delivery and utilization at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). "These power transformers are very big devices, and the lead time to get a replacement can be two months— there's a spare one stored nearby. If a utility has to order a new one from the manufacturer, it could take six months to up to two years to deliver. " The danger is becoming more critical, as the sun is approaching what's known as solar maximum—the high point in our star's roughly 11-year cycle of activity.
Scientists anticipate stronger storms around solar max, in 2013. "The sun doesn't give a hoot about us," Kunches said. THE SUN TODAY: 23 November 2011 - BOOM! THE SUN TODAY: 9 September 2011 - Quarter Million! THE SUN TODAY: 20 November 2011 - When Will They Blow? G1 Geomagnetic Storm / Solar Watch Sep 13, 2011. THE SUN TODAY: 7 October 2011 - Dragon Fire! THE SUN TODAY: 13 September 2011 - An Almost M Flare. BREAKING NEWS: GEOMAGNETIC STORM UNDERWAY. THE SUN TODAY: 19 November 2011 - 50 FLARES! THE SUN TODAY: 16 November 2011 - MORE M FLARES. Sun-Diving Comet Sep 13, 2011. THE SUN TODAY: 18 November 2011 - THE SOUTH RULES. THE SUN TODAY: 17 November 2011 - INTERACTIONS. THE SUN TODAY: 15 September 2011 - Spotfest. # 738 Are You Ready for an EMP Event?
X1.8 Class Solar Flare Sep 7, 2011.