Revisiting timeliness for Strategic Foresight and Warning [Fully rewritten version v3] To exist, risk and foresight products as well as warnings must be delivered to those who must act upon them, the customers, clients or users. These anticipation analyses must also be actionable, which means that they need to include the right information necessary to see action taken. Yet, if you deliver your anticipation when there is no time anymore to do anything, then your work will be wasted. Yet, even if you deliver your impeccable strategic foresight or risk analysis, or your crucial actionable warning to your clients in time to see a response implemented, but at a moment when your customers, decision-makers or policy-makers cannot hear you, then your anticipation effort will again be wasted. Let me give you an example. Delivering an anticipation analysis or product must thus obey a critical rule: it must be done in a timely fashion. In this article, we shall look, first, at timeliness as a criterion that enables the coordination of response.
The Grove | Our Work We offer consulting services, design services, workshops and do-it-yourself tools that enable you to visualize and implement change. Based on more than 30 years experience in organizational consulting and visual facilitation, these services and tools provide an integrated, creative approach to the perennial challenges of engaging people and organizations around a vision. Services Consulting, design services and customized trainings for organizations and business leaders needing help with strategy, organizational transformation, team performance and other challenges. Learn more about our services › Workshops One- to five-day sessions where participants learn visual planning, facilitation and other Grove methodologies that can be employed in business or personal settings. Products Visual Planning Systems™, Team Performance System™ tools, facilitation guidebooks and other materials to help individuals and teams work more effectively.
Outils de publication automatique Comparateur collaboratif S'inscrire Se connecter Se connecter Déconnexion Mon Espace - Outils de publication automatique Internet > Communications > Curation J'aime 13 mars 2017 23:49:44 Comparatif des outils de publication automatique Outils permettant de sélectionner automatiquement des contenus en ligne, de les mettre en page et de les publier. Ce comparatif est associé à celui des plates-formes de curation, qui permettent la sélection manuelle de contenu et leur éditorialisation : Le tableau est librement modifiable, vous pouvez le mettre à jour vous-même et noter vos outils préférés. Inclure 2011-03-11 16:06:57 2017-03-13 23:49:44 Curation Compare Aggregate vs Curata vs Curators.com vs DayLife vs Fever vs Flipboard vs Genieo vs Paper.li vs Publitweet vs Pulse vs Qwiki vs Summify vs The Twitted Times vs Yahoo! Plus de comparatifs Commentaires a noté Paper.li: Note globale 1Not user friendly. Laisser un commentaire
Fault Tree Diagram Software, Create Fault Tree Diagrams Rapidly with Examples and Templates. Fault tree analysis is a graphical representation of the major faults or critical failures associated with a product, the causes for the faults, and potential countermeasures. The tool helps to identify areas of concern for new product design or for improvement of existing products. It also helps users identify corrective actions to correct or mitigate problems. Fault Tree Diagram Software Edraw Max is a vector-based diagramming software with rich examples and templates. Free Download Fault Tree Diagram Software and View All Examples Build-in Shapes for the Fault Tree Diagram Create Fault Tree diagrams to document business processes. Fault Tree Diagram Examples Suppose that we visit the courthouse in a certain town, and we observe people who stop at the office of the local justice of the peace to register their marriages. Fault Tree Template The following fault tree diagram was created and included in the Edraw example gallery. How to use Fault Tree Diagram Select a component for analysis.
“Delivery” of Strategic Foresight and Warning “products:” learning from the social and mobile web? A warning does not exist if it is not delivered. This is a key lesson highlighted by the famous expert in warning Cynthia Grabo, who worked as an intelligence analyst for the U.S. government from 1942 to 1980 (Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning, Editor’s Preface). Similarly, a foresight product such as scenarios, for example, has to be delivered or communicated. Furthermore, if strategic foresight and early warning are to be actionable, if they are to allow for true preparedness, then clients – the decision-makers and policy-makers to whom the product has been delivered and communicated – must pay heed to the foresight, or to the warning. Thus, from our point of view – i.e. the perspective of those who are in charge of doing early warning and foresight – decision-makers must receive the warning or foresight product, know they have received them and, as much as possible, consider them. Lessons learned Moving from classical customers to users? A short bibliography
10 Amazing Visualizations of Social Networks Social networks are dynamic and constantly evolving. While we can easily identify our friends and acquaintances within a network, it’s much harder for us to comprehend how members in a social network are connected and how those connections influence a particular network. Fortunately, there are now a number of people that have taken the time to create stunning visualizations of various social networks that give us a better understanding of how networks function. Fidg’t’ : Visualize The Fidg’t Visualizer allows you to play around with your network. ICCARUS: scouta.com Click here to watch the video. A 3D visualization of real-time data from scouta.com. looks del.icio.us The looks del.icio.us project is my first attempt to combine graphics design with programming. Myspace attitudes Two big (200cm x 90cm, 80 x 36 inch) posters show the variety and attitudes of members from an internet community like MySpace. IRC arcs Biblical Social Network
Tsunami simulations scare Japan STR/epa/Corbis Japan has been forced to review its tsunami defences in the wake of last year’s disaster. Japan’s government is heeding a key message from last year’s Tohoku earthquake and tsunami: the underwater faults that encircle the country can unleash much greater devastation than previously anticipated. Last week, the cabinet’s disaster-management division briefed local officials on simulations that raise the spectre of waves even larger and more destructive than those last March, sending the officials scrambling to rethink their tsunami defence plans. The estimates come from a government-appointed team of scientists led by Katsuyuki Abe, a tsunami expert and emeritus professor of the University of Tokyo. Ninety cities and towns must consider how to withstand a tsunami wave of higher than 10 metres, whereas just ten locales were expecting this from the older simulations. “We need to know how high the water will come at different points.
Social network analysis software Social network analysis software (SNA software) is software which facilitates quantitative or qualitative analysis of social networks, by describing features of a network either through numerical or visual representation. Overview[edit] Some SNA software can perform predictive analysis.[5] This includes using network phenomena such as a tie to predict individual level outcomes (often called peer influence or contagion modeling), using individual-level phenomena to predict network outcomes such as the formation of a tie/edge (often called homophily models[6]) or particular type of triad, or using network phenomena to predict other network phenomena, such as using a triad formation at time 0 to predict tie formation at time 1. Network analysis software generally consists of either packages based on graphical user interfaces (GUIs), or packages built for scripting/programming languages. GUI packages are easier to learn, while scripting tools are more powerful and extensible. See also[edit]
Hélène Lavoix: Using the Internet to Prevent Conflict Many businesses and organisations try to identify trends and threats. For independent political scientist Dr Hélène Lavoix, it is a necessity for social good, and Paper.li is a useful tool. Hélène identifies possible risks facing the global population to help prevent wars or disasters. She researches often hidden threats using various tools including a weekly Paper.li to scan the global horizon for anything that may create dangerous tipping points and dailies for more specific problems. Initially, I specialized in finance in France, but then went to live in Cambodia, right after the 1991 Paris Peace Agreement. I decided to try, as much as I could, to contribute to preventing wars. As an independent political scientist, I try to bridge the worlds of science and policy-making to help prevent conflict — first through early-warning systems then through strategic foresight and warnings on all issues. You can find this same idea throughout society. Rainy day photo by solidether on flickr
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