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Artificial intelligence: Difference Engine: Luddite legacy

Artificial intelligence: Difference Engine: Luddite legacy
AN APOCRYPHAL tale is told about Henry Ford II showing Walter Reuther, the veteran leader of the United Automobile Workers, around a newly automated car plant. “Walter, how are you going to get those robots to pay your union dues,” gibed the boss of Ford Motor Company. Without skipping a beat, Reuther replied, “Henry, how are you going to get them to buy your cars?” Whether the exchange was true or not is irrelevant. For the company, there was an added bonus. Economists see this as a classic example of how advancing technology, in the form of automation and innovation, increases productivity. Some did lose their jobs, of course. But here is the question: if the pace of technological progress is accelerating faster than ever, as all the evidence indicates it is, why has unemployment remained so stubbornly high—despite the rebound in business profits to record levels? There is a good deal of truth in that. That makes a huge, disruptive difference. The process has clearly begun.

When offshoring backfires As the global economic downturn grinds on, more companies are acknowledging that labour costs aren’t always the most important factor when deciding where to build their next factory. This column argues that, in times of recession, some companies find that bringing their business home can give them a competitive edge. While politicians argue strategies to create jobs in the faltering global economy, the debate around offshoring has intensified. Once considered a clear competitive advantage in the fast-changing global market, manufacturers rushed to replace domestic labour forces with lower-cost workers in emerging markets. By 2002–03, about a quarter to half of the manufacturing companies in Western Europe were involved in offshore production (Dachs et al 2006). Recently, though, many of the perceived offshoring advantages have been called into question. So it should not come as a surprise that more US manufacturers are ‘reshoring’, ’onshoring’ and ‘backshoring’.

These May Be The Droids Farmers Are Looking For | Epicenter When it comes to farm robots, fruit gets all the attention. But it looks like trees and shrubs could win the prize for first significant agricultural market for small mobile robots. Massachusetts startup Harvest Automation is beta testing a small mobile robot that it’s pitching to nurseries as the solution to their most pressing problem: a volatile labor market. The multi-billion-dollar industry that supplies ornamental plants to building contractors, big-box retailers and landscaping firms — $11.7 billion according to the most recent USDA figures — has been eagerly awaiting automation for decades. The down economy and harsh state laws targeting undocumented workers have turned up the pressure. The horticulture industry has caught the attention of several robotics industry veterans, including Joe Jones, a co-inventor of iRobot’s Roomba vacuum cleaning robot. In today’s human-tended nurseries, immature potted trees and shrubs arrive at nurseries by truck and are offloaded onto the ground.

Peter Victor | Capital Institute Peter Victor–eminent ecological economist, winner of the Canadian Council for the Arts' prestigious Molson Award, and author of Managing Without Growth–challenges us to reframe our economic discussions to focus on managing material and energy flows rather than GDP growth. What Drives Peter Victor? Is there a model for the economy that will allow us to achieve full employment, maintain fiscal balance, eradicate poverty, and live within the biosphere’s limits? The World According to Peter Victor When you propose the sorts of changes I do you are put on the defensive. An economy that is not pursuing growth can still be dynamic. Peter Victor’s Storyline Peter Victor confesses that his interest in economics, which he discovered at the tender age of 15, was informed from the outset by a habit of mind prone to question the accepted wisdom. Of course one of the biggest ignored topics in the world of mainstream economics was the notion of externalities, and Peter immediately seized on it.

Technological unemployment: Race against the machine FEAR of displacement from one's job by a superefficient machine is as old as modern economic growth (which is to say, about two centuries old). It is somewhat surprising that there has not been more made of the possibility of technological unemployment during the recent recession and lacklustre recovery. Technological unemployment was widely cited as a problem in the 1920s and 1930s, a time during which productivity was soaring, inequality and unemployment were high, and instability was the norm. The argument that rapid technological change may be generating labour market problems is given a lift in an interesting new ebook by Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee, entitled Race against the machine. The stylised facts of that poor performance are increasingly well known. I think the most important part of their argument is in their nice explanation of the nature of change in information and communication technologies (ICT). But what else can be done?

Living with the folks - Nov. 4 NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- With job openings scarce, getting adult children to leave the nest is becoming a lot more difficult. The number of adult children who live with their parents, especially young males, has soared since the economy started heading south. Among males age 25 to 34, 19% live with their parents today, a 5 percentage point increase from 2005, according to Census data released Thursday. Among the college-aged set, the 18- to 24-year-olds, 59% of males and 50% of females lived with their parents, up from 53% and 46%, respectively. The fact that so many young people are unable or unwilling to flee the nest "cuts into the formation of new households quite a lot," said Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody's Analytics. Zandi calculated that there are about 150,000 fewer households being formed per year than the 1.2 million that would be in a normal, well-functioning economy. But even if all of those young adults rented it still would have an impact on home sales.

Anti-Star Trek: A Theory of Posterity :: Peter Frase In the process of trying to pull together some thoughts on intellectual property, zero marginal-cost goods, immaterial labor, and the incipient transition to a rentier form of capitalism, I’ve been working out a thought experiment: a possible future society I call anti-Star Trek. Consider this a stab at a theory of posterity. One of the intriguing things about the world of Star Trek, as Gene Roddenberry presented it in The Next Generation and subsequent series, is that it appears to be, in essence, a communist society. There is no money, everyone has access to whatever resources they need, and no-one is required to work. The technical condition of possibility for this society is comprised of of two basic components. Anti-Star Trek takes these same technological premises: replicators, free energy, and a post-scarcity economy. Given the material abundance made possible by the replicator, how would it be possible to maintain a system based on money, profit, and class power?

More than half of Florida homeowners in default are 2 years overdue More than half of Florida homeowners in foreclosure have not made a mortgage payment in two years or more. That's higher than the national average and one indication of why banks are paying borrowers up to $20,000 to execute a short sale. A new report from Jacksonville-based LPS Applied Analytics found that as of September, 56 percent of Florida's mortgages in foreclosure are 24 months or more behind in payments, compared with 39 percent nationwide. About 84 percent of Florida foreclosures are more than 18 months in arrears. Considering recent figures that estimate the time from initial filing to auction at 676 days in Florida, LPS Senior Vice President Herb Blecher said, he's not shocked by the mounting late payments. In January 2010, just 19 percent of Florida's foreclosures were 24 months or more delinquent. Blecher said the longer delinquency rates are more evidence of a foreclosure bottleneck that could hinder a housing recovery. Wells Fargo and J.P.

Four Futures In his speech to the Occupy Wall Street encampment at Zuccotti Park, Slavoj Žižek lamented that “It’s easy to imagine the end of the world, but we cannot imagine the end of capitalism.” It’s a paraphrase of a remark that Fredric Jameson made some years ago, when the hegemony of neoliberalism still appeared absolute. Yet the very existence of Occupy Wall Street suggests that the end of capitalism has become a bit easier to imagine of late. At first, this imagining took a mostly grim and dystopian form: at the height of the financial crisis, with the global economy seemingly in full collapse, the end of capitalism looked like it might be the beginning of a period of anarchic violence and misery. And still it might, with the Eurozone teetering on the edge of collapse as I write. One thing we can be certain of is that capitalism will end. Much of the literature on post-capitalist economies is preoccupied with the problem of managing labor in the absence of capitalist bosses.

Differing Attitudes Toward Genuine Hypocrisy Paul Krugman has a question for you: Genuine Hypocrisy, And Attitudes Thereto, by Paul Krugman: Not sure how much blogging I can do this weekend... But here’s an item that caught my eye, given what I wrote about hypocrisy yesterday: Deadbeat Rep. Now that’s real hypocrisy — and if the past is any indication, it won’t matter at all for Rep. There’s a big difference between the left and the right in such matters, one that I don’t fully understand, although I’m trying. But if a conservative politician who preaches stern traditional morality is caught engaging in actions that are at odds with what he preaches — buying sex, taking wide stances in restrooms, or, in this case, stiffing his family even while preaching family values — he may well ride right through the scandal. How can this be? And I sort of understand the logic of that position; if the cause is what matters, the flaws of those who serve that cause can be overlooked. In a way the liberal attitude is more puzzling.

The Dialectic of Technology I was surprised and pleased to see that Bhaskar had decided to post Shulamith Firestone’s The Dialectic of Sex, as it’s one of my favorite pieces of Marxist-feminist writing. In spite of its occasional outlandishness, it does two things exceptionally well. The first is to extend Marxist analysis into the realm of sex and gender by simply taking Marx and Engels’ own framework to its logical conclusion, which they themselves were too blinded by the patriarchal assumptions of their time to recognize. The second is to see modern technology as an indispensable element of women’s liberation, going so far as to argue that “Until a certain level of evolution had been reached and technology had achieved its present sophistication, to question fundamental biological conditions was insanity.” My recent writing has, I think, created an impression in some people’s minds that I’m reflexively pro-technology. The most famous modern version of technological-determinist Marxism is probably G.A.

Disrupting the Disruptors: Three Design Patterns for Combatting Disruption in Incumbent Organizations Disrupting the Disruptors: Three Design Patterns for Combatting Disruption in Incumbent Organizations by Dan Gordon Borders. Blockbuster. To continue, please log in: This document is available to Cutter Consortium Resource Center clients only. Divining a Digital Future Paul Dourish and Genevieve Bell From the Introduction Our goal is to understand the mythology of ubicomp. When we talk in terms of myths, we do not mean to suggest that ubicomp is somehow false or mistaken. We instead want to direct attention toward the ideas that animate and drive ubicomp forward, in much the same way that myths provide human cultures with ways of understanding the world and celebrating their values. As Vincent Mosco (2004, 3) notes: Useful as it is to recognize the lie in the myth, it is important to state at the outset that myths mean more than falsehoods or cons; indeed, they matter greatly. The myths we want to examine, then, are the stories that motivate and celebrate the development of the ubicomp agenda. Alongside the myth, there is the mess -- the practical reality of ubicomp day to day. "Mess" refers, too, to the way that technological realities are always contested.

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