Prospects for the Global Economy Source: World Bank. Notes: e = estimate; f = forecast. EMDE = emerging market and developing economy. Notes: e = estimate; f = forecast. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Index forecasts weaker growth The index predicts future real GDP growth (gross domestic product, adjusted for inflation) based on 11 leading economic and financial indicators. Four of the 11 indicators were positive in July, up from three in June. Positive indicators include hours worked, real capital goods orders, the real money supply and light-vehicle sales, all of which increased. Negative indicators include declines in building permits, stock prices, ISM export orders and the yield curve. Also negative were increases in the AAA corporate bond spread, seasonally adjusted crude oil prices and the real federal funds rate. This model assumes it can take 12 to 15 months for changes in the real federal funds rate to affect economic activity, so it uses the November 2011 — January 2012 rolling average to forecast real GDP in December 2012. About the USA TODAY/IHS Global Insight Economic Outlook Index The index predicts future gross domestic product (GDP) growth. The interactive graphic How this index differs from others
Morgan Stanley - Global Economic Forum Top Economic Reports March 05, 2014 By The Global Economics Team | Asia Pacific Economics: Asia Insight: Asia’s Debt Indulgence: AXJ’s leverage levels have picked up sharply over the past six years... US Economics: Making Cents: A Minimum Wage Brief: As the debate over the minimum wage drags on in DC, we outline the key economic issues at play. Sunday Start: What Next in the Global Economy (February 23, 2014): While each EM economy is different, South Africa shares some common features with other members of what we call the ‘double deficit club’, which also includes Brazil, Turkey, India, Indonesia and Ukraine. US Economics: Business Conditions: Weathered by Winter: The February MSBCI fell 9 points to 43% as severe winter weather weighs on growth expectations. Important Disclosure Information at the end of this Forum Disclosure Section The information and opinions in Morgan Stanley Research were prepared by Morgan Stanley & Co. Global Research Conflict Management Policy
Global Economic Outlook Slow Global Growth to See a Rebound in 2014 Faster Increase in Public and Private Investment and Policy Reform to Drive Productivity Can Counter Long Term Slowdown Main results: Global growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), adjusted for inflation, will rebound from 2.9 percent in 2013 to 3.5 percent in 2014 – a slight upward revision from our projection of 3.1 percent, last November. Global Outlook for Growth of Gross Domestic Product, 2014-2025 Note: projections are based on trend growth estiamtes, which – for the period 2014-19 – are adjusted for adjustments from remaining output gaps *Europe includes 27 members of the European Union (excluding Croatia) as well as Switzerland and Norway. Global Outlook for Growth of Gross Domestic Product, 2013-2025 Distribution of World GDP in 2000, 2012 and 2025 Note: GDP shares are converted to U.S. dollars using purchasing power parities. About The Conference Board Global Economic Outlook For detailed methodology, click here. Methodological Notes
Consensus Economics - Economic Forecasts and Indicators Forecasts for the Next 25 Years The Single Most Critical Skill for the 21st Century 7 Ways to Spot Tomorrow’s Trends Today How to Succeed in an Age of Hyper-Change How Foresight Built a Fortune Forecast #1: Electric cars powered by fuel cells earn extra cash for their owners—Your next car may help pay for itself by selling its excess electricity back to the power company. Researchers in the Netherlands have developed electric cars using fuel cells that convert biogas or hydrogen into electricity. Then, while the car is parked, it generates extra electricity that you can sell to the power company for extra cash. Forecast #2: Open-source robot blueprints cut the cost of robots by 90%—Robot development may soon dramatically accelerate thanks to new open-source hardware-sharing systems. 3-D Printing Revolutionizes Manufacturing Many types of goods that are now produced in a factory may soon be created via 3-D printing. New 3-D printers can use a wide range of materials—plastic, glass, steel, even titanium. Dear Reader,