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Solar Stormwatch

Solar Stormwatch

More Signs Of The Sun Slowing Down In my post from yesterday, I highlighted a paragraph from a NASA press release which touched on one of the final findings of the soon to be ended Ulysses spacecraft mission to study the sun: “Ulysses ends its career after revealing that the magnetic field emanating from the sun’s poles is much weaker than previously observed. This could mean the upcoming solar maximum period will be less intense than in recent history. “ A few months ago, I had plotted the Average Geomagnetic Planetary Index (Ap) which is a measure of the solar magnetic field strength but also daily index determined from running averages of eight Ap index values. Click for a larger image I had noted that there was a curious step function in 2005, almost as if something had “switched off”. Today, since it is fathers day, and I get to do whatever I want, I chose to revisit this graph. First, I’ve updated the original Ap graph to June 2008 as you can see below. Now we have almost two years. Here is my plot of the above dataset:

the peoples astronomer Strange emissions by sun are mutating matter ~UPDATED 12/01/11 Check links please…This is not a scientific paper…link at bottom for source…Thank you ~jude The angry sun For months mounting fear has driven researchers to wring their hands over the approaching solar storms. Some have predicted devastating solar tsunamis that could wipe away our advanced technology, others voiced dire warnings that violent explosions on the surface of the sun could reach out to Earth, breach our magnetic field, and expose billions to high intensity X-rays and other deadly forms of cancer-causing radiation. Now evidence has surfaced that something potentially more dangerous is happening deep within the hidden core of our life-giving star: never-before-seen particles—or some mysterious force—is being shot out from the sun and it’s hitting Earth. Whatever it is, the evidence suggests it’s affecting all matter. Strange and unknown Alarmed physicists first became aware of this threat over the past several years. Something impossible has happened. Sources

Bad Astronomy Well now, this is an interesting discovery: astronomers have found what looks like a "super-Earth" – a planet more massive than Earth but still smaller than a gas giant – orbiting a nearby star at the right distance to have liquid water on it! Given that, it might – might – be Earthlike. This is pretty cool news. We’ve found planets like this before, but not very many! Now let me be clear: this is a planet candidate; it has not yet been confirmed. The star is called HD 40307, and it’s a bit over 40 light years away (pretty close in galactic standards, but I wouldn’t want to walk there). Massive planets tug on their star harder, so they’re easier to find this way. In this case, HD 40307 was originally observed a little while back by HARPS, and three planets were found. We don’t know how big the planet is, unfortunately. That’s exciting because of the prospect for life. Here’s a diagram of the system as compared to our own: Image credits: ESO/M. Related Posts:

Solar Influences Data Center Stellarium Solar Influences Data Center Solar Influences Data Analysis Center - Homepage 3-day-forecast of solar and geomagnetic activity. Archive Latest issue :Issued: 2014 Apr 14 1244 UTC :Product: documentation at #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 40414 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 14 Apr 2014, 1204UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 14 Apr 2014 until 16 Apr 2014) SOLAR FLARES : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Apr 2014 10CM FLUX: 140 / AP: 006 PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Apr 2014 10CM FLUX: 145 / AP: 005 PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Apr 2014 10CM FLUX: 150 / AP: 004 COMMENT: Six sunspot groups are reported by NOAA today. Details NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE Check the ISES code book for information on ISES codes.

2012: Magnetic Pole Reversal Happens All The (Geologic) Time 2012: Magnetic Pole Reversal Happens All The (Geologic) Time Schematic illustration of Earth's magnetic field. Credit/Copyright: Peter Reid, The University of Edinburgh› View larger Scientists understand that Earth's magnetic field has flipped its polarity many times over the millennia. In other words, if you were alive about 800,000 years ago, and facing what we call north with a magnetic compass in your hand, the needle would point to 'south.' Reversals are the rule, not the exception. Sediment cores taken from deep ocean floors can tell scientists about magnetic polarity shifts, providing a direct link between magnetic field activity and the fossil record. Earth's polarity is not a constant. Another doomsday hypothesis about a geomagnetic flip plays up fears about incoming solar activity. The science shows that magnetic pole reversal is – in terms of geologic time scales – a common occurrence that happens gradually over millennia. Related Link: › Earth's Inconstant Magnetic Field

Another LDE M Flare and 2 CME's - Jan 23 2012 Update @ 22:18 UTC Jan 23, 2012: Event Summery: -The CME's are Earth directed. -CME speed is 2200 km/s -Will arrive on Jan 24, 2012 - 1 day after ejection -There was a R2 radio Blackout with this M flare -There was Proton event associated this this event-Strongest Proton event since 2003-S3 Solar Radiation Storm is now in progress Read full report for all details! *A strong S3 Level radiation storm is still in progress. This is the strongest proton event since 2003! NOAA Correction and New Data Update:Issued 16:30 UTC Jan 24, 2012 Here we see a plot of the Protons and it shows the secondary increase of 10 MeV protons as the CME arrived. Earlier, it was stated that the current Solar Radiation Storm was the largest since May 2005, when the 10 MeV protons exceeded over 3000 PFU. *What is a Solar Radiation Storm? Read the answer here: Issue Time: 2012 Jan 23 1426 UTC Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected Extension to Serial Number: 336 Valid From: 2012 Jan 23 0500 UTC

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