JoSS: Journal of Social Structure. Theoretical Sociology in the 20th Century Thomas J.
Fararo University of Pittsburghtjf2+@pitt.edu Prepared for a Festschrift in Honor of Linton C. Freeman Vancouver, B.C., April 16, 2000 [Revised: April 21, 2000] ABSTRACT: This chapter discusses theoretical sociology in historical perspective: From the classic tradition to postclassical efforts of synthesis that culminated in multiple paradigms, to the situation today in which theorists are more and more constructing formal models as essential components of their methodology.
Sociologist. Hindsight bias. Hindsight bias, also known as the knew-it-all-along effect or creeping determinism, is the inclination, after an event has occurred, to see the event as having been predictable, despite there having been little or no objective basis for predicting it, prior to its occurrence.[1][2] It is a multifaceted phenomenon that can affect different stages of designs, processes, contexts, and situations.[3] Hindsight bias may cause memory distortion, where the recollection and reconstruction of content can lead to false theoretical outcomes.
It has been suggested that the effect can cause extreme methodological problems while trying to analyze, understand, and interpret results in experimental studies. A basic example of the hindsight bias is when, after viewing the outcome of a potentially unforeseeable event, a person believes he or she "knew it all along". History[edit] SocialSciencesMostFrequentBiases.
Sociologia. History of sociology (história da sociologia) .bodycard 1376.