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12: Romney Debate Gains Show Staying Power. Mitt Romney continues to surge in the FiveThirtyEight forecast, and Friday may have featured his best set of polls all year. The best way to track a change in the polls is to look for instances in which the same firm has surveyed the same state (or the national race) multiple times. The FiveThirtyEight forecast model relies on a procedure very much like this to calculate the overall trend in the race.

Fifteen polls were released on Friday that provided a comparison with another survey conducted between the Democratic convention and last week’s debate in Denver. Mr. That is actually a bit larger than we were showing earlier in the week, when the same exercise put Mr. It is not clear whether Mr. But unlike earlier, Mr. Thus, just as the hypothesis of a fading Romney bounce was damaged on Friday, so was the idea (which we critiqued in an earlier post) that his gains would be more modest in the swing states. Mr. The forecast model is being very aggressive about pricing in Mr. Mr. PBS Grows Increasingly Hostile Toward Mitt Romney. Democratic candidate slammed for playing World Of Warcraft. The practice of publicly attacking a political opponent in order to make yourself and your colleagues look superior by comparison is as old as politics themselves.

You need look no further than your own television to see Mitt Romney and Barack Obama trading barbs on topics like healthcare reform, education and the general state of our modern economy. However, Republicans in Maine have found a new vector of ad hominem assault in the world of massively multiplayer online roleplaying games. Colleen Lachowicz is a Democrat currently running for a seat in Maine’s state senate. Her official site portrays her as a fiscally conservative liberal who believes in “the right of equal access to marriage for everyone” as well as reducing Maine’s dependence on government organizations to create jobs in the currently turbulent economy.

The Republicans even went so far as to issue a press release (and flyers akin to the image seen above) collecting the highlights of the baffling smear campaign. Twitter launches dedicated presidential debate page | Internet & Media. Whether you're a political junkie or someone just starting to pay attention to next month's presidential election, tonight's first debate between President Barack Obama and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is sure to provide tons of conversation fodder.

And Twitter wants to be right in the middle of it. Already, Twitter has dispatched members of its @gov team to Denver, where they plan to monitor the debate from up close and keep track of how the massive Twitter user base responds to each and every barb, attack, evasion, and even the occasional thoughtful answer. And to help Twitter users corral all that information, plus the opinions and reactions of some of the world's most notable politicians and pundits, the company today launched its dedicated Debates page. "Whether you're watching at home or on the go, you can see how the rest of the country is reacting on Twitter," the company wrote in a blog post today.

How Social and Traditional Media Differ in Treatment of the Conventions and Beyond. As the candidates for president reintroduced themselves at their conventions and began the last phase of the campaign, they received markedly different treatment in social media than in the mainstream press, a new study finds. The conversation on Twitter, blogs and Facebook about Mitt Romney and Barack Obama during this key period changed little with events-even during the two candidates’ own nominating conventions. The conversation in all of these platforms was also consistently negative, according to the study by the Pew Research Center’s Project for Excellence in Journalism.

In the mainstream media, by contrast, both Romney and Obama received a version of the traditional convention bounce, with coverage about them becoming more positive during the week of their party’s nationally televised gathering. The media portrait of this key month in the campaign is consistent with what PEJ has seen in social media throughout the campaign. Twitter Blogs Facebook Mainstream Media Footnote. 5 sites that crunch data to help you predict the president — Cloud Computing News.

Google to Political Campaigns: Here's How You Win. Google's politics team has been working with presidential campaigns for years. Now they're ready to share the lessons they've learned with candidates for everything from the local school board to the U.S. Senate. The "four screens to victory" initiative, which launched on Wednesday, aims to convince those running for office at every level of politics that they need a presence across television, computers, tablets and smartphones in order to run a successful campaign.

The site is half best practices, half sales pitch for Google products. "Google’s goal is to make the web work for all political campaigns. What we’re attempting to do is take the insights of presidential and congressional campaigns and get them to folks up and down across the ballot and get those tools in the hands of everyone. " "We’re trying to build a base of expertise how to help campaigns win online," says Charles Scrase, who works with elections, campaigns and non-profits that use Google platforms. Republicans in Congress Use Twitter 'More Effectively' Than Democrats [STUDY] Many people believe that Democrats are the more tech-savvy party in the U.S., but Twitter-happy Republicans in Congress are turning that theory on its head. Republicans in Congress use Twitter "more effectively" than Democrats, according to a recent study from Edelman.

Tweeting members of the Grand Old Party not only saw more retweets, engagement and amplification than their Democratic brethren, but their tweets were also more substantive — Republicans were 3.5 times as likely to mention specific legislation and they included 52% more links and almost 60% more multimedia than Democrats in their tweets. Edelman's deep dive into Congressional tweeting habits went even further in an effort to determine the "best practices" for tweeting Senators and Representatives. The study highlighted Senate Republicans, who got the most mentions and had the highest "influence" among Congress, according to its analysis. The study also looked at the timing of Congressional tweets. Three Big Myths About China. What Can Twitter Tell Us About the South Carolina Primary? What's the social sentiment on Twitter saying about Saturday's South Carolina Primary?

Mashable teamed up with social media analysis company Global Point Research to find out. In the latest results from Public Policy Polling (PPP), Former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich is strong heading into tonight's primary. He has a nine point lead over former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum just barely edged out Congressman Ron Paul (R-TX) for third place.

The latest American Research Group poll also shows Gingrich leading the rest of the candidates by a wide margin. Gingrich's sudden burst of energy is mirrored on Twitter. Ron Paul is doing much better among Twitter users than in the PPP poll, ranking just under Gingrich. Twitter suggests strong showings for Gingrich and Paul, but a less spectacular night for Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum. In research Global Point has done in the past, its data tends to be about two weeks ahead of polls and elections.

Twitter to Play Crucial Role in South Carolina Republican Debate. Televised Republican debates are about to heat up — not only between the remaining five party presidential candidates — but between viewers using Twitter. Fox News hopes to open up the digital floor for comments during Monday's Republican debate in Myrtle Beach, S.C., with a live Twitter debate. Viewers are encouraged to share their thoughts over Twitter in real-time during Monday's 9 p.m. ET debate. They can use the debate's official hastag #scdebate as well as #answer and #dodge to convey sentiments about individual candidates. Simply attach a candidate's name to #answer — if he has answered the question well — or #dodge — if he has diverted from the topic completely — and the Twitter data analysis system will do the rest.

Fox News Digital's Vice President and General Manager Jeff Misenti told The New York Times that questions or concerns attached to these tweets will be incorporated into the conversation. Fox's Bret Baier will moderate the debate between former Pennsylvania Sen.