background preloader

Prediction markets

Facebook Twitter

Open Source Intelligence. It’s been a while since we last weighed in on Libya, but recent events warrant an updated look at the future of the conflict.

Open Source Intelligence

Two events in particular raise questions worth exploring. First, a recent New York Times piece interviewing Seif al-Islam Gaddafi suggests the family has found an ally in Islamist groups. This news was followed shortly by reports from rebel fighters suggesting that Khamis Gaddafi, son of Muammar and the head of a prominent military division, was killed by NATO airstrikes. I’ll start with the second issue and work back to the claims of state ties with Islamist groups. As for reports of Khamis Gaddafi being killed by airstrikes, it’s worth noting that similar rumors emerged from the fighting earlier this year and remain unconfirmed (something mentioned in our coverage of Gaddafi’s inner circle). Timeline of Gaddafi's son Khamis killed in Libyan fighting Treemap of ties drawn up through scanning Gaddafi and Islamist Examples of this include: Open Source Intelligence Analysis Tools, OSINT Intelligence Analysis With Recorded Future.

Defense Intelligence Forecasting tools and big data analytics for defense and national security teams.

Open Source Intelligence Analysis Tools, OSINT Intelligence Analysis With Recorded Future

Foresite Integration Use our software to extract temporal signals from internal documents, third-party content, or sensitive data sources. Create the ultimate all-source solution by combining insights from internal data with our open web index. Historic Data Integrate with our web service API for access to real-time harvesting of over 450,000 open sources, and online sentiment and momentum measures. New Insights Get answers to your organization’s most important questions. Methodology Web intelligence is an emerging capability that draws on the web: the richest real-time information about the world, updated every day.

How Our Software Works Demo Interested in seeing what Recorded Future can do for your organization? Request a Demo Sales Ready to experience Recorded Future yourself? Contact Our Team Company Capabilities Customers. Consensus Point. The Huunu Research platform is designed for research organizations and MROC’s to provide a simple and engaging way to tap into the knowledge of respondents and communities.

Consensus Point

Quickly and easily identify the best ideas and concepts: Increase the speed with which your organization selects ideas and determine which concepts are most desired by the marketSignificantly reduce your concept and ideation research costsTest more concepts with clearer differentiation among ideasObtain more accurate answers with less effortOffer a more engaging tool for respondents than traditional research methods Huunu is proven to accelerate your time to market and to lower your total cost of research. Huunu enables companies to quickly arrive at a “consensus” and determine which ideas and concepts are going to be winners in the market. Get the answers in a few days as opposed to a few weeks at a fraction of the cost of traditional research. What is it used for? Is it Accurate? Yes! Want to see more? Les algorithmes prédictifs sont-ils un risque pour notre libre-arbitre? L’informavore caractérise l’organisme qui consomme de l’information pour vivre, explique Frank Schirrmacher, coéditeur du premier quotidien national allemand le Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung dans une passionnante interview à la revue The Edge.

Les algorithmes prédictifs sont-ils un risque pour notre libre-arbitre?

Nous sommes apparemment aujourd’hui dans une situation où la technologie moderne change la façon dont les gens se comportent, parlent, réagissent, pensent et se souviennent. Nous dépendons de plus en plus de nos gadgets pour nous souvenirs des choses : comme le disait Daniel Dennet, nous connaissons une explosion démographique des idées que le cerveau n’arrive pas à couvrir. L’information est alimentée par l’attention : si nous n’avons pas assez d’attention, nous n’avons pas assez de nourriture pour retenir tout ces renseignements. Or, à l’âge de l’explosion de l’information que faut-il retenir ? Que faut-il oublier ? La question est de savoir ce qu’il faut enseigner, ce qu’il faut apprendre et comment. Quelles informations retenir ?