A military strike on Iran ? Really ?

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Israël menace de nouveau d'intervenir en Iran Le premier ministre israélien, Benyamin Nétanyahou, a averti dimanche 14 juillet sur une télévision américaine qu'Israël pourrait intervenir militairement contre le programme nucléaire iranien avant les Etats-Unis, qualifiant le nouveau président Hassan Rohani de "loup déguisé en mouton". "Nous sommes plus proches [de l'Iran] que les Etats-Unis. Nous sommes plus vulnérables. Et nous devrons donc aborder cette question de comment arrêter l'Iran, peut-être avant les Etats-Unis. Il y a un nouveau président en Iran. Il critique son prédécesseur pour avoir été un loup déguisé en loup. Israël menace de nouveau d'intervenir en Iran
War with Iran? Revisiting the Potentially Staggering Costs to the Global Economy - FAS Strategic Security Blog War with Iran? Revisiting the Potentially Staggering Costs to the Global Economy - FAS Strategic Security Blog The Senate passage of Resolution 65 on May 22, 2013, some argue, draws the United States closer to military action against Iran. In October 2012, amid concerns that surprisingly little research addressed the potential broad outcomes of possible U.S.-led actions against Iran, researchers at the Federation of American Scientists (FAS) assembled nine renowned subject matter experts (SMEs) to investigate one underexplored question that now, eight months later, looms larger than ever: What are the potential effects on the global economy of U.S. actions against Iran?
Could Tehran be the next Hiroshima? Could Tehran be the next Hiroshima? In those first minutes, they’ll be stunned. Eyes fixed in a thousand-yard stare, nerve endings numbed. They’ll just stand there. Soon, you’ll notice that they are holding their arms out at a 45-degree angle. Your eyes will be drawn to their hands and you’ll think you mind is playing tricks. But it won’t be.
IranReport_091112_FINAL.pdf - Google Docs
plutoniumpage : Haven't we been saying "2-4
A month ago, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) told Iran that it was time for a sit-down. It sought a meeting for two reasons. First, talks with Tehran to negotiate a so-called "structured approach" to wind down the IAEA's investigation and determine whether Iran had been working on nuclear weapons -- following evidence raised by Yukiya Amano, the agency's director general, back in November -- had ground to a halt in early June. Second, unless Iran made a significant goodwill gesture by the end of August, Amano would have to report to the agency's Board of Governors that, for nine months, Iran had refused to cooperate -- even as Israeli officials were signaling that they might attack Iran's nuclear installations without warning and soon because diplomacy had failed. Now, Amano has done just that. Iran and the IAEA had a fruitless encounter in Vienna on August 24, and so six days later Amano filed his report to the IAEA governors. Report Card Report Card
Israeli Defense Minister Pushes To Keep ‘Military Option’ On The Table Against Iran Israeli Defense Minister Pushes To Keep ‘Military Option’ On The Table Against Iran By Eli Clifton on June 6, 2011 at 2:45 pm "Israeli Defense Minister Pushes To Keep ‘Military Option’ On The Table Against Iran" Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak pushed back against comments by ex-Mossad chief Meir Dagan who had made waves by publicly asserting that, referring to Iran’s nuclear program, “An aerial strike on the reactors is a dumb idea that has no benefit.” Challenging Dagan, Barak said, “Any ability to disperse the ambiguousness surrounding the issue of Iran” hurts Israel’s ability to defend itself against Iran, adding that the military option must remain on the table if international efforts to stop Iran’s nuclear program are to be effective. Barak emphasized the importance of ambiguity in deterrence and clarified Israel’s position on a military strike.
How Would America Respond if Israel Attacked Iran? How Would America Respond if Israel Attacked Iran? Some extracts from an Atlantic Council seminar, US-Israel and Iran: Looming Military Confrontation?. The participants are Barbara Slavin, Senior Fellow, South Asia Center, Atlantic Council; Michael Eisenstadt, Director, Military and Security Studies Program, Washington Institute for Near East Policy; and Bruce Riedel, Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution. MS. SLAVIN: ...We talked about – talked a little bit about whether Israel would let us know in advance, but I’m going to pose a hypothetical and ask both of you whether you think it’s realistic and what you think would happen in that case. It’s actually one that you’ve mentioned to me, Bruce.
US has plan to attack Iran if needed
China’s Role In A Preventing A Possible Israeli Attack On Iran | Sinocism If press reports like U.S. Warns Israel Against Iran Strike-WSJ are to be believed Israel may be on the verge of attacking Iran. Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao is on a tour of the Middle East and the New York Times reports that ”China’s strategic alliance with Iran is less certain than before.” China’s Role In A Preventing A Possible Israeli Attack On Iran | Sinocism
During the last several months, the Burke Chair has carried out a detailed examination of Iran’s programs involving missile and weapons of mass destruction. The key drafts involved are available on the CSIS web site at:http://www.csis.org/burke/reports/ A final comprehensive report will be published this summer as CSIS book by the Praeger Press. Abdullah Toucan, a senior Associate of the Burke Chair, has prepared an additional report which provides an independent assessment of Israel’s options for striking at Iran’s facilities, based in part on prior work on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Study on a Possible Israeli Strike on Iran's Nuclear Development Facilities Study on a Possible Israeli Strike on Iran's Nuclear Development Facilities
Iran’s nuclear program inspires perennial rumors of an Israeli air raid. No one really knows if one is coming. But if it does, it won’t be a conventional bombing run. Israel has quietly developed powerful jamming, spoofing and electronic weapons to confuse the mullahs before, during and after an attack. If Israel Bombs Iran, It’ll Jam, Spoof and Hack First | Danger Room If Israel Bombs Iran, It’ll Jam, Spoof and Hack First | Danger Room
Mark Hibbs • “Engage Iran” — What Does It Mean? Mark Hibbs • “Engage Iran” — What Does It Mean? During the second half of this week there will be a flurry of meetings in Washington on the subject of negotiating with Iran about its nuclear program. These will include this one hosted at the Stimson Center and held by the Arms Control Association, and a discussion at the University of Maryland with former Iranian negotiator Seyed Hossein Mousavian, now a visiting scholar at Princeton. Just before, there were two treatments of the same subject in Brussels: one a panel discussion during the IISS-led EU Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Conference, on Saturday, February 4, and thereafter a public discussion on Monday, February 6, featuring three Carnegie Endowment colleagues: James Acton, Shahram Chubin, and Jessica Mathews. I was in Brussels for the EU event this weekend but I won’t be in Washington for the meetings this week.
Planning on attacking Iran? "Better pack a lunch," advises my friend, retired Lt. Col. Terry Daly, who knows a lot about war. His point was that airstrikes alone against Iranian nuclear facilities wouldn't do much. If you are going to attack Iran, you need to hit its ability to retaliate, and that means that pretty soon you have a big fat war on your hands. Best comment I have heard lately on attacking Iran's nuclear facilities
Editors Note: Art Keller is a former case officer in the CIA's Counter Proliferation Division. He currently is a writer on intelligence and national security issues and recently published his first novel, "Hollow Strength." By Art Keller, special to Security Clearance As a new round of nuclear negotiations with Iran is set to begin this month, it brings up the question: In the not-unlikely event that this round of diplomacy collapses, as all previous rounds have, where would that leave the West? Is bombingIran's nuclear facilities the unavoidable final recourse? Despite an abundance of saber-rattling, Western leaders have yet to convincingly explain why policy toward Iran should differ from policy toward the Soviet Union during the Cold War. With Iran, the courage to do…nothing
Israel's top general says Iran unlikely to make bomb JERUSALEM (Reuters) - Israel's military chief said he does not believe Iran will decide to build an atomic bomb and called its leaders "very rational" - comments that clashed with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's assessment. Lieutenant-General Benny Gantz's remarks, in an interview published on Wednesday in the left-wing Haaretz newspaper, drew little attention in Israel on its annual remembrance day for fallen soldiers, when political discourse is suspended. But they will add fuel to an internal debate on the prospects of Iran weaponizing its uranium enrichment program and the wisdom and risks of any Israeli military strike to try to prevent Tehran from becoming a nuclear power.
In a recent article for The Jewish Chronicle , I explained in detail how talk of military action against Iran’s nuclear program is a counterproductive distraction that undercuts American and Israeli security goals. Worse, if such talk is converted into action, it may actually create the outcome that both countries are trying to avoid: an Iranian nuclear weapon. But how is this so? War talk shifts the focus from Iran to Israel. The Loose Talk of War with Iran Returns | Ploughshares Fund
US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (2nd L) listens to Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (2nd R) during their meeting in Jerusalem July 16, 2012. Israel's Defense Minister Ehud Barak (R) and US ambassador to Israel Daniel Shapiro (L) were also present at the meeting. (photo by REUTERS/Abir Sultan/Pool) Author: Yedioth Ahronoth (Israel) Posted September 1, 2012 Netanyahu and US Ambassador Clash on Policy Toward Iran
Nuclear Mullahs
Reuters : IRAN COULD STRIKE U.S. BASES
U.S. Attack on Iran Would Take Hundreds of Planes, Ships, and Missiles | Danger Room
Cable Viewer
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Iran Will Acquire Nuclear Weapons Despite Any U.S. Efforts To Stop Them
Iran Will Acquire Nuclear Weapons Despite Any U.S. Efforts To Stop Them
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Israeli Officials Expect Strike on Iran by July 2011
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