Welcome to Principia Cybernetica Web. (VLab: Virtual Complexity Lab) MIT Media Lab: Reality Mining. Complexity.IO. Complexity map castellani map of complexity science. New England Complex Systems Institute. Center for Interdisciplinary Research on Complex Systems (CIRCS) Home Page. Complexity Explorer. Santa Fe Institute. Complexity Society - Home Page. Center for Complex Systems Research (CCSR) Complexity-NET home. Centre for Complexity, Design & Policy - Home. Institute for the Study of Complex Systems. A World Disrupted: The Leading Global Thinkers of 2014. Microsoft PowerPoint - CS-DC Presentation - English 2014-02-10 [Compatibility Mode] - CS-DC Presentation - English 2014-02-10 [Compatibility Mode].pdf.
How to write a checklist. 26 Jan, 2010 – 8 comments Yesterday I finished Atul Gawande’s inspiring book, The Checklist Manifesto – I know what you’re thinking, inspiring, checklist, these words do not belong in the same sentence.
Oh but they do. Dr. Gawande walks through many examples of when checklists have saved hundreds of lives: from Captain Sully and the geese strike, to a checklist he helped create for the World Health Organization that increased survival rates among surgical procedures by 47%, to his own hospital and his own patients. The book is a fast read.
Checklist for Checklists - Project Check. The Checklist Manifesto: How to Get Things Right: Atul Gawande: 9780805091748: Amazon.com: Books. Ludic fallacy. It is a central argument in the book and a rebuttal of the predictive mathematical models used to predict the future – as well as an attack on the idea of applying naïve and simplified statistical models in complex domains.
According to Taleb, statistics works only in some domains like casinos in which the odds are visible and defined. Taleb's argument centers on the idea that predictive models are based on platonified forms, gravitating towards mathematical purity and failing to take some key ideas into account: It is impossible to be in possession of all the information.Very small unknown variations in the data could have a huge impact. Taleb does differentiate his idea from that of mathematical notions in chaos theory, e.g. the butterfly effect.Theories/models based on empirical data are flawed, as they cannot predict events that have never happened before, but have tremendous impact, e.g., the 911 terrorist attacks, the invention of the automobile, etc.
Examples[edit]