The Irish squatters taking on empty homes and a bankrupt system. As Ireland reels from yet another austere budget and a year of economic pain, a group of young activists have begun to take over empty properties spawned by the boomand abandoned by banks and property developers across the country.
The squatters, linked to Ireland's Occupy movement, say they plan a mass occupation of houses and flats owned by the Irish government's "bad bank", National Asset Management Agency (Nama), which took over thousands of properties that speculators handed back after the crash. Led by a 27-year-old Irish-language speaker and graduate from Galway, the group has already squatted a house on Dublin's northside that was worth €550,000 in the boom but is now put at under €200,000. Since the property has been empty for several years, Liam Mac an Bháird and his friends occupied it in the autumn to highlight homelessness, as well as the way builders and banks were bailed out by the taxpayer. Authorities refused to publish house price warnings in 2004. This post was written by Frank Barry Anthony Murphy, now at the Dallas Fed, is a renowned Irish econometrician with a strong research interest in housing markets.
Back in 2004 he was commissioned by the National Competitiveness Council to study the competitiveness implications of the housing boom. The first paragraph of his report read: “Ireland’s booming housing market has attracted and continues to attract a considerable amount of attention, both domestically and internationally. Irish house prices are extremely high by historic and international standards, both in absolute terms and relative to incomes. The strength and duration of the house price boom is unique. Ireland's house prices at lowest levels since 2000. Houses in Dublin, where prices have crashed in the past five years.
Photograph: Barry Mason/Alamy Property prices in Ireland are in freefall, according to housing analysts, whose latest figures show that prices in Dublin have collapsed by 65% in five years and by 60% across the country. Irish banks face mortgage strikes. Central Bank of Ireland - Central Bank Publishes New Research on Mortgage Arrears and Negative Equity. The Central Bank of Ireland today publishes new economic research on “The Distribution of Property Level Mortgage Arrears”.
The research analyses the position of mortgaged households in the areas of arrears and negative equity. The analysis in the paper draws on loan-level data collected for the March 2011 Financial Measures Programme Report. London property bubble is good news for NAMA. As shares across the globe tumble investors are fleeing to safe havens such as gold and the Swiss franc.
But they are also turning to trophy properties in London, which is why the National Asset Management Agency (NAMA) may have been right earlier this year when it let slip it was launching a £16.5bn firesale of all its London properties which include the Citigroup tower in Canary Wharf, part of Leicester Square and the Louis Vuitton building in Bond Street. Critics believe the Irish bad bank would have been better holding on to London assets for the long term as yields on rent and prospects for capital growth are good, unlike Dublin, where offices lie empty throughout the city and chances of price increases are nil to slim over the next five years.
But it turns out this week that NAMA is looking very prescient. "The relative lack of caution in the real estate capital markets is a concern. Ireland’s speculative mania. Morgan Kelly warns of new middle-class debt default. An Irish academic best known for correctly calling the property crash four years ago has raised fresh concerns over a potential tsunami of debt default from "high rolling" professional classes.
Irlande: le pays des maisons fantômes. Leur nombre n'est pas encore connu précisément, mais le phénomène lui est tristement célèbre en Irlande.
Les "ghost estate" ont fleuris un peu partout à travers le pays: des logements construits en nombre et aujourd'hui simplement abandonnés. Un fonds de 5 millions d'euros a été mis à disposition des autorités locales, par le dernier gouvernement pour régler le problème des "ghost estate". Des complexes immobiliers construits dans les années 2000 et aujourd'hui abandonnés, souvent mal ou pas entretenu. Ils ont été estimés à près de 2800 par un rapport du Ministère de l'Environnement en octobre dernier. Cela n'inclut pas les 20000 chantiers qui n'ont jamais été terminés et les 23000 maisons terminées mais inoccupées. L'insalubrité guette Dans le courant du mois de février, un autre rapport montre que près de 400 bâtiments abandonnés sont vétustes à deux doigts de s'effondrer. Les restes du Celtic Tiger Rembourser la dette des banques.
Ireland Sets Up Its 'Bad Bank' Agency. Ireland's little secret - tracker mortgages. No soothing mood music from Bank of Ireland concerning mortgage holders who are in difficulty.
Unlike Allied Irish Banks, which earlier this week said it would consider debt forgiveness for those who are struggling to keep up with payments, Bank of Ireland said at its annual results it will not pursue any such policy. Bargain time as thousands of houses to be sold - National News, Frontpage. BARGAIN hunters will be tempted by thousands of cut-price houses and apartments over the coming months as NAMA offloads a huge stockpile of assets.
Finance Minister Michael Noonan yesterday ordered the agency to start selling both commercial and residential property -- worth up to €2.7bn -- as soon as possible. NAMA will sit down with Ireland 's leading banks within the coming fortnight to organise finance for purchasers. The aim is to kick-start the beleaguered property market and provide a "floor" for prices. Repossession: why we need a new bank directive. Repossession's terrible toll. Repossessions affect homeowners from all walks of life.
Photograph: Peter Macdiarmid/Getty I met a lady last week, a lovely lady with two children, whose husband had taken his own life. They had borrowed on a family home, gone into arrears and remortgaged to clear the arrears on a previous mortgage. They were involved in the services industry. The system failed this couple. 16/10/2011: Negative Equity and Debt Restructuring. This is unedited version of my article in Irish Mail on Sunday (October 16): This week, we finally learned the official figure for what it would cost to address one of the biggest problems facing this country.
According to the Keane Report - or the Inter-Departmental Mortgage Arrears Working Group Report - writing off negative equity for all Irish mortgages will cost “in the region of €14 billion”. Doing the same just for mortgages taken out between 2006 and 2008 would require some €10 billion. These numbers are truly staggering, not because of they are so high, but the opposite: because they contrast the State’s unwillingness to help ordinary Irish families caught in the gravest economic crisis we have ever faced with the relatively low cost it would take to do so. Let me explain.