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Modern Warm Period: Europe and Russia

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The unfortunate ‘climate anomaly’ of the First World War revealed. By Paul Homewood h/t Ian Magness WOW!! And no mention of CO2! The First World War was made more bloody by a "once-in-a-century" climate crisis which rained death on Europe, a study has found. Many of the 700,000 British lives lost in the conflict ended in the “liquid grave” of mud-choked battlefields, and the desolation of places like Passchendaele have become part of the imagery of the First World War. Even on the Turkish coast at Gallipoli troops were immobilised and killed by appalling weather, drowning in their trenches and succumbing to exposure and pneumonia, as well as enemy bullets. Using laser technology to examine glacial ice, Harvard and Climate Change Institute (CCI) analysts have discovered that Tommies fighting the world’s first global conflict also endured a freakish “climate anomaly” which "substantially" increased casualties.

With peaks in rain, the Harvard-led study found, came peaks in deaths in bloody campaigns and the Spanish Flu pandemic which followed. Like this:

France

Germany. Northern Europe. Central Europe. New Studies: Europe Is No Warmer Today Than It Was During Medieval Times. By Kenneth Richard on 13. April 2020 Two new papers use tree ring proxy evidence to suggest modern European temperatures are neither unusual nor higher than they were during the Medieval Warm Period. Image Source: Esper et al. (2020) Esper et al. (2020) have produced a new temperature reconstruction for Southern Europe to complement past reconstructions for Northern and Central Europe. They find “the warmest 30-year period since 730 CE occurred during high Medieval times (876–905 CE=+0.78 °C w.r.t. 1961–1990) and has been slightly warmer than the recent period from 1985–2014 (+0.71 °C)“. The proxy evidence and instrumental record also show there has been no obvious net warming in Southern Europe since the 1940s. Past reconstructions for Northern and Central Europe also show no unusual warming has occurred over the last century, with as-warm or warmer temperatures during the 1940s.

Image Source: Ljungqvist et al., 2020. Despite Mild Winter, Europe February Mean Temperatures Show No Warming Over Three Decades. By P Gosselin on 13. March 2020 By Kirye and Pierre Gosselin It’s been a particularly mild winter in Europe this year. But that hasn’t changed the long-term trend over the past 30 years. Now that the February 2020 data have been coming in, we plot the mean February temperatures for some countries in Europe.

Sweden Three of 5 stations show February mean temperature in Greta Thunberg’s Sweden have had a cooling trend since 1988! Data source: JMA. Great Britain Twelve of 14 stations in UK show February mean temperatures have had a cooling or no warming trend since 1992! Source: JMA Finland As a whole this northern European country has seen very little warming over the past 3 decades for the month of February: Three of six stations in Finland show no warming since the 1980s. Ireland Ireland, situated in the North Atlantic, also shows no warming for the month of February since 1987: Four of 6 stations with data going back to the 1980s show no February warming. Netherlands. Europe’s Warm Winter Due To Natural Factors, Says Norwegian Center for Climate Research CICERO.

By Die kalte Sonne The past winter in central and northern Europe was quite warm. Why is that? The Norwegian Centre for Climate Research CICERO explains it in an article from 6 January 2020: Unseasonal temperatures for NorwayThe unusual warm temperatures this winter and forecasts indicating milder winter conditions for January, February and March in Europe are partly due to an atmospheric circulation pattern called the North Atlantic Oscillation, or NAO. Read more at CICERO. For those who don’t know it yet: The NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation) controls the winter temperature in Northern and Central Europe. Now some of you will ask, what is this NAO actually?

Why is it important? In a negative NAO (NAO-), the westerly winds blow further south and discharge their humidity as rain in Portugal and Spain. For those who want to know more, the NAO website of the British MetOffice is recommended. And this is how a negative looks: We see: In fact, the NAO was mostly positive during the winter. Historical Grape Harvest Dates Show Modern Temperatures No Warmer Now Than Most Of The Last 1,000 Years.

Public domain photo. Source here In a late February (2017) interview on a U.S. news program, mechanical engineer Bill Nye claimed that the settled science says humans have been warming the planet at a rate that is unnaturally and “catastrophically” fast since the year 1750 . “It’s a settled question. The speed that climate change is happening is caused by humans. Instead of climate change happening on timescales of millions of years or 15,000 years, it’s happening on the timescale of decades, and now years. … Humans are causing it [climate change] to happen catastrophically fast. When pressed to identify the signature change affirming this rapid human-caused acceleration, Nye immediately cited viticulture evidence, or grape-growing practices in England and France.

“Britain would not be very well suited to growing grapes as it is today [if not for human activity]. Apparently Bill Nye believes it is quite unusual to grow grapes in England. Easterbrook, 2011 Pfister, 1988 Chuine et al., 2004. 100-Year Russian Arctic Temperature Reconstruction Shows 1930s Just As Warm As Today! Greenland Temperature Data For 2018. By Paul Homewood Greenland yemps The DMI has just published its Greenland Climate Data Collection for last year, and it is worth looking at the temperature data: There are six stations with long records, Upernavik, Nuuk, Ilulissat, Qaqortoq, Narsarsuaq and Tasilaq. Throughout Greenland we find that temperatures in the last two decades are little different to the 1920s to 60s.

The only exceptions were 2010 on the west coast sites, which was an unusually warm year, and 2016 on the east coast at Tasilaq, another warm year there. Noticeably, last year was actually colder than the 1981-2010 average at all of the west and south coast stations. It is also noticeable that temperatures during the very cold interval at all sites during the 1970s and 80s were comparable to the late 19thC, when Greenland beginning to struggle out of the Little Ice Age. Be very wary when ever anybody tells you how much Greenland has warmed in the last thirty years. Like this: Like Loading... Alarmist Scientist “Way Off Target” …Arctic Sea Ice/European Winter Claim Refuted By Newly Published Study. Rahmstorf way off: New study finds no robust relationship between shrinking sea ice, European cold waves By Die Kalte Sonne (German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) Photo: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research A good six years ago, Potsdam climate researcher Stefan Rahmstorf was outraged by the German Weather Service (DWD) at his at Klimalounge site.

The DWD had the audacity to contradict Mr. Rahmstorf. Specifically, it was about the presumed connection between the expansion of Arctic sea ice and cold winter weather. Rahmstorf’s simple model: Less Arctic sea ice causes cold European winters. In my view, the above studies provide clear evidence of a link between Arctic ice loss due to global warming, and more frequent winter high pressures, particularly over the Atlantic-European part of the Arctic, and the associated influx of cold air into Europe. More than half a decade has passed by since Rahmstorf’s rumblings.