The Most Significant Futurists of the Past 50 Years. Predicting the future is a fool's game.
Predictions are usually extrapolations of current capabilities or needs. About all you can ever say is that the future will be a extension of the present, and this almost always turns out to be wrong. Three Major Schools. (Originally appeared on the Machine Intelligence Research Institute blog, September 2007.)
Singularity discussions seem to be splitting up into three major schools of thought: Accelerating Change, the Event Horizon, and the Intelligence Explosion. Accelerating Change: Core claim: Our intuitions about change are linear; we expect roughly as much change as has occurred in the past over our own lifetimes. But technological change feeds on itself, and therefore accelerates.
Change today is faster than it was 500 years ago, which in turn is faster than it was 5000 years ago. 'First human head transplant now possible', neurosurgeon claims. Immortality only 20 years away says scientist. Tpn_gdayworld_20070220_204. The Future of Automobile Transportation by Futurist Thomas Frey. The Future of Automobile Transportation Industry challenges, global demands, and consumer trends will define automobile transportation in the years ahead December 2007 In November I found myself on a panel discussion in the Kingdom of Bahrain, and one of the people in the audience asked me to give my impression of the future of the automobile industry.
I have to admit that I did a rather poor job of answering the question, and it really deserved more time than I had on this panel. The automobile industry has literally cemented a firm grip on global cultures with streets and roadways that are designed for cars and little else. The personal blog of Futurist Thomas Frey » Blog Archive » 2050 and the Future of Transportation. Frictionless vehicles and binary power will define transportation in the world ahead Transportation technology is progressing at a much slower pace than some of the other sciences such as information technology, biotech, and nanotechnology.
As an example, the world’s human speed record was set in 1969, a full 37 years ago, when Thomas Stafford, John Young, and Gene Cernan flew in Apollo 10 at 24,790 mph. While there is much talk about flying at a speed that approaches the speed of light, very little effort is actually being expended in this area. However, transportation technology is about to move ahead more rapidly in the coming years with the advent of two radically new technologies – frictionless vehicles and binary power. Kurzweil Accelerating Intelligence. Sony Puts Roland Emmerich's Singularity On Hold. 11.12.11 by BJSprecher After getting the green light from Sony to move forward with his new sci-fi movie, Singularity, co-writer (with Harald Kloser) and director Roland Emmerich has halted pre-production on the movie.
Some sources have claimed that the movie was put on hold because of Sony's dissatisfaction with the box office performance of Emmerich's latest movie for the studio, Anonymous, a $30 million period movie that has grossed less than $5 million in its first two weeks in theaters. However, Deadline has reported the decision stems from the desire to bring in an expert to help hone some of the futuristic concepts in the script. Little is known about Singularity at this point, other than the fact that it takes place 40 years in the future, at a time when we are in "danger of losing control" of our advanced computer technology, and centers around a young man named Adam "whose body is made up a swarm of nanobots, giving him all sorts of power. "