CHARTS: The Electoral College May Be Dragging Down Voter Turnout In Your State. Maryjane Medina, 18, a first time voter, walks up to polling booth to cast her vote at a polling station set-up in Los Angeles, California. Irfan Khan/LA Times via Getty Images hide caption toggle caption Irfan Khan/LA Times via Getty Images Maryjane Medina, 18, a first time voter, walks up to polling booth to cast her vote at a polling station set-up in Los Angeles, California. What do Democrats in West Virginia and Republicans in California have in common? Of course, these votes were counted, but anyone with a minimal knowledge of U.S. politics could have guessed that California would vote Democratic in the presidential election (Clinton won it by 29 points) and that West Virginia would go Republican (Trump won by nearly 42 points). And because of the United States' peculiar electoral college system, in which the winner takes all the electoral votes in all but two states, all the California Trump votes and West Virginia Clinton votes didn't really matter much.
Convenience matters. Clinton staffers on why she lost Michigan, Wisconsin. Donald Trump Huddles With Mike Pence During Tumultuous Transition. Trump’s Election Upends Agenda for Obama’s Last Foreign Trip - Bloomberg Politics. Donald Trump’s election has changed the nature of President Barack Obama’s final foreign trip as commander in chief, a two-continent journey that he expected to be an amicable farewell to the leaders of more than two dozen countries. Obama leaves this evening for Greece, Germany and Peru, a trip that would once have served as a tidy narrative symbolizing the handover of U.S. power to a like-minded fellow Democrat, Hillary Clinton. Instead, after Trump’s victory on Nov. 8, Obama must reassure the world of something he may not quite believe himself: that the billionaire real estate developer and reality TV star will be ready to lead the free world by his Jan. 20 inauguration, and that America will continue to lead the way on using diplomacy to defuse international crises and on the protection of the environment.
All that Obama has accomplished in foreign affairs hangs in the balance. Read More: Iran Sanctions Redux? -- a QuickTake ‘Strong Fundamentals’ America First ‘Partnership, Not Conflict’ How Donald Trump could be the saviour of a corrupt and divided America. U.S. voters want leader to end advantage of rich and powerful: Reuters/Ipsos. All Programs A-Z. Polls Tighten In Key Battlegrounds, But Clinton Leads Trump In Electoral Map Before Election Day.
Election Day is nearly upon us. So where does the electoral map stand? It's a close race, with Hillary Clinton retaining a broad and consistent but shallow advantage, according to the final NPR Battleground Map. Compared with a couple of weeks ago, when Clinton hit her peak lead, the race has tightened. So our map reflects that — almost all of the moves benefit Trump, though because of one potentially determinative move, Clinton still surpasses the 270 electoral votes needed to be president with just the states in which she's favored. It's worth noting that for all the vacillations in this race, Clinton has been above 270 with just Lean Democratic states in the NPR Battleground Map in every NPR map since May, except one. And even in that, she was just 2 electoral votes shy of 270. The big moves in the final map: Former Toss-ups Ohio, Iowa, Georgia and Arizona are now in Trump's corner; New Hampshire was moved out of Clinton's column and back into Toss-up.
The Neverending Race Is Coming to a Close. Then what? Finally! That is the prevailing thought as this presidential election is headed for the finish line. Wanting this race to be over is certainly one of the reasons why a record number of Americans have voted early. But will it be? Sure, we will (likely) know by Wednesday who the next president will be, but, in this election, that will not provide closure. The country is still deeply divided and neither candidate appears to be in a position to heal that rift. If Hillary Clinton wins by a small margin, which is still the most likely scenario three days before the election, then Donald Trump has already suggested that he will claim the vote was rigged. That will bring more divisiveness, more anger, and more distrust. And there are reasons to distrust the system, although not necessarily the reasons Trump suggests.
The primaries have already demonstrated how frustrated and angry voters are with the establishment. Americans are also fed up with the two-party system. Speak Truth To Power Related. A short history lesson on presidents winning without the popular vote. Q: How many times was a president elected who did not win the popular vote? A: It has happened four times. The 2000 election was the most recent when the candidate who received the greatest number of electoral votes, and thus won the presidency, didn’t win the popular vote. But this scenario has played out in our nation’s history before. In 1824, John Quincy Adams was elected president despite not winning either the popular vote or the electoral vote.
Andrew Jackson was the winner in both categories. Jackson received 38,000 more popular votes than Adams, and beat him in the electoral vote 99 to 84. In 1876, Rutherford B. In 1888, Benjamin Harrison received 233 electoral votes to Grover Cleveland’s 168, winning the presidency. In 2000, George W. Election coverage from USA TODAY: • Plot Trump's or Clinton's path to 270 electoral votes• See the latest national and state presidential polling averages• Check out poll closing times in each state• Candidate info and ratings for all races 1 of 90. Latest Presidential Polls 2016: Why Is Hillary Clinton Losing Ground? 5 Ways Donald Trump Could Win Over Jill Stein, Gary Johnson And The Democrats. Americans who insist they will move to Canada or some other liberal bastion of freedom if Republican Donald Trump is declared the winner on Election Day should perhaps start hunting down their passports and getting their other documents in order.
While Democrat Hillary Clinton remains in the lead, a Trump victory is still a very real possibility. Here are five ways Trump could win Tuesday. 1. He could get the most votes overall. In the final week before Election Day, national and battleground-state showed Trump closing in on Clinton. An ABC/Washington Post had Clinton ahead nationally by just 1 point, down from a 12-point lead the week before. The survey saw Clinton at 46 percent and Trump at 45 percent. 2. 3. 4. 5. Gregg Jarrett: An avalanche of evidence may now bury Hillary. Americans who lived through the nightmares of both the Watergate and Lewinsky scandals recall vividly how every day seemed to produce new evidence of wrongdoing.
The drip, drip of deceptions and lies finally overflowed into a cascading pool of criminality and disgust. The first scandal culminated in Articles of Impeachment. The other an impeachment trial. Is America now hurtling toward the same political abyss? It looks like it. So, fasten your seat belts and brace for impact. Sources tell Fox News’s Bret Baier that the FBI has uncovered an “avalanche of evidence” in the Clinton Foundation investigation. Agents are “actively and aggressively pursuing this case,” calling it a “very high priority.” Armed with newly discovered email evidence and additional documents revealed by WikiLeaks, these sources say that agents will likely try to get Huma Abedin and others to cooperate in an effort to bring criminal charges against Hillary Clinton.
It is a stunning development. Two Investigations Merge. Election Update: Yes, Donald Trump Has A Path To Victory. Tuesday was another pretty good day of polling for Donald Trump. It’s also not an easy day to characterize given the large number of polls published. You could cherry-pick and point to the poll that has Trump up 7 percentage points in North Carolina, for example, or the ABC News/Washington Post national tracking poll that has Trump up 1 point overall. And you could counter, on the Hillary Clinton side, with a poll showing her up by 11 points in Pennsylvania, or a national poll that gives her a 9-point lead. Our model takes all this data in stride, along with all the other polls that nobody pays much attention to.
And it thinks the results are most consistent with a 3- or 4-percentage point national lead for Clinton, down from a lead of about 7 points in mid-October. Trump remains an underdog, but no longer really a longshot: His Electoral College chances are 29 percent in our polls-only model — his highest probability since Oct. 2 — and 30 percent in polls-plus. More Politics. Donald Trump's closing argument is battle cry against Hillary Clinton's corruption. Donald Trump over the weekend delivered a closing argument against Hillary Clinton and the “totally rigged system” he says enables her — but the businessman’s presidential campaign expressed open frustration Sunday that a policy-centric message once again has been drowned out. Trailing badly in virtually all polls, Mr. Trump outlined plans for his first 100 days in office during a speech in Gettysburg on Saturday. In his attempt to put the focus on issues during the home stretch of the campaign, the Republican nominee offered himself as a “once in a lifetime” agent of change to revive the economy and stamp out Washington corruption, and he drew a stark contrast between his plan and the more-of-the-same government that he said Mrs.
Clinton would run to benefit herself and her cronies. But much of Mr. Trump’s pitch was lost as headlines instead focused on his vow to sue the 11 women that have come forward in recent weeks to accuse him of sexual assault. Mr. Mrs. “We feel very frustrated. A Guide for Republicans Still Deciding How to Vote for President - The Atlantic. The day of decision is nearing.
All the talk fades, and one mark must be made beside one box on the ballot. Many Republicans are agonizing. They reject Donald Trump; they cannot accept Hillary Clinton. What to do? I won’t conceal, I’m struggling with this question myself. I’ve listened to those Republicans, many my friends, who feel it their duty to stifle their anger and disappointment, and vote for Trump; to cast a protest vote for the Libertarian Gary Johnson or the independent Evan McMullin; or to cross the aisle and vote for Hillary Clinton as the lesser evil. Emphasize the word “best.” Among the difficulties raised by the hard choice before Republicans is this: What is a vote for? The Intelligent Conservative’s Case for Trump You’re a conservative and a Republican, but (in the phrase of the elder George Bush) you’re “not a nut about it.” You may suspect some degree of media collusion with the Clinton campaign in the timing of the Access Hollywood tapes. But … No. You’re a patriot?
Twitter Imagines 'What The Electoral Map Would Look Like If...' | Huffington Post. Trump's Twitter debate lead was 'swelled by bots' Image copyright Getty Images More than four times as many tweets were made by pro-Donald Trump bots in and around the first US presidential debate as the number made by those backing Hillary Clinton, a study found. The research indicates the Republican candidate would have enjoyed more support on Twitter even if the automated accounts had not been active. But it highlights that the software has the capacity to "manipulate public opinion" and "muddy political issues". The report has yet to be peer-reviewed. And one critic noted that it was impossible to be completely sure which accounts were real and which were "web robots". Image copyright Twitter Profuse tweeters The investigation was led by Prof Philip Howard, from the University of Oxford, and is part of a wider project exploring "computational propaganda".
It covered tweets posted on 26 September, the day of the debate, plus the three days afterwards, and relied on popular hashtags linked to the event. How to spot a bot Hashtags galore. Meacham: The End of Christian America. It was a small detail, a point of comparison buried in the fifth paragraph on the 17th page of a 24-page summary of the 2009 American Religious Identification Survey.
But as R. Albert Mohler Jr. —president of the Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, one of the largest on earth—read over the document after its release in March, he was struck by a single sentence. For a believer like Mohler—a starched, unflinchingly conservative Christian, steeped in the theology of his particular province of the faith, devoted to producing ministers who will preach the inerrancy of the Bible and the Gospel of Jesus Christ as the only means to eternal life—the central news of the survey was troubling enough: the number of Americans who claim no religious affiliation has nearly doubled since 1990, rising from 8 to 15 percent. "That really hit me hard," he told me last week. Sign up Sign up to our daily newsletter for up to date global news and features. Still, in the new NEWSWEEK Poll new NEWSWEEK Poll. Survey reveals what Americans fear the most. More than 1,500 people around the country were surveyed for the Chapman University Survey of American Fears.
Many of their top 10 fears were elements out of their control. USA TODAY NETWORK As the presidential election campaign drags on, it may come as no surprise that corrupt government officials are one of the greatest fears many Americans have, according to a new study. People are scared of a lot of things, ranging from terror attacks to identity theft and deaths within the family, according to the third annual Chapman University Survey of American Fears.
The 2016 survey data showed a shift from 2015, where many of the top fears were economic and “big brother type issues," Christopher Bader, a professor of sociology at Chapman University in Orange, Calif., said in a statement. But while the overall focus of fear may have shifted, corruption of government officials remained the top fear for the second year in a row. Here are the top 10 fears of 2016: Hillary Clinton campaign WikiLeaks emails reveal disdain for Catholics, Southerners, 'needy Latinos' Long before Hillary Clinton called millions of Americans a “basket of deplorables,” her top campaign advisers and liberal allies openly mocked Catholics, Southerners and a host of other groups, according to newly released emails that offer a stunning window into the vitriol inside the Clinton world less than a month before Election Day.
The emails, published by WikiLeaks after a hack of Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta’s private account, also show Clinton campaign officials and Democratic leaders disparaging supporters of Sen. Bernard Sanders as “self-righteous” whiners, calling Hispanic party leaders such as Bill Richardson “needy Latinos,” labeling CNN anchor Jake Tapper “a d—k” and even lambasting longtime Clinton ally Sidney Blumenthal. The sheer number of insults in the email trove has left the Clinton campaign, along with outside organizations such as the Center for American Progress that were routinely involved in the brutal bad-mouthing, unable or unwilling to respond.
Mr. First Read: A Fight Over What Kind of Country the U.S. Should Be. First Read is a morning briefing from Meet the Press and the NBC Political Unit on the day's most important political stories and why they matter. Clinton vs. Trump: A fight over what kind of country the United States should be This presidential contest is turning out to be more than a battle of Democrat vs.
Republican, liberal vs. conservative, blue vs. red. Instead, yesterday's dueling speeches by Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump on the Orlando shooting revealed it to be an even bigger fight over what kind of country the United States of America should be -- open, inclusive and tolerant, or closed, divided and intolerant? That's the choice. How does the rest of the Republican Party respond to Trump's speech? Remember when Trump advisers were suggesting that their candidate would back off or moderate his temporary Muslim ban? Fact-checking Trump Clinton now has her biggest lead yet over Trump in NBC|SurveyMonkey tracking poll Clinton, Sanders to meet later today On the trail. Only a Democrat can stop Trump now. It's Trump: Here's what evangelicals should do now. What Google and Twitter Can Tell Us About 2016.