Strategic Foresight and Warning
Anticipating what will happen nationally, internationally and globally is crucial to allow us coordinating changes in our lives with changes that will happen, but that we, as human beings, understand imperfectly. Improving this coordinating ability is the mission of Strategic Foresight and Warning. Apr 17
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Many businesses and organisations try to identify trends and threats. For independent political scientist Dr Hélène Lavoix , it is a necessity for social good, and Paper.li is a useful tool. Hélène identifies possible risks facing the global population to help prevent wars or disasters.
University Degree & Programmes for Anticipation
Cognition, interactions and biases
Concepts: threats, crises, shocks, suprises...
Understanding and modeling
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Foreseeing the future, whatever the name given to the endeavour*, faces two major tasks.
To exist, foresight products as well as warnings must be delivered to those who must act upon them, the customers, clients or users . Furthermore, they must be provided in a timely fashion. This criterion of timeliness is extremely important.
Visual tools, Images & Videos
As Cynthia Grabo underlines, a warning does not exist if it is not delivered. Similarly, a foresight product – or risk assessment or horizon scan – has to be delivered. Furthermore, if foresight and warning are to be actionable, then clients or customers – those to whom the product has been delivered – must pay heed to the foresight, or warning. What they decide to do with those is another story, but from the point of view of SF&W, they must receive them, know they have received them and as much as possible consider them.
Japan has been forced to review its tsunami defences in the wake of last year’s disaster. STR/epa/Corbis Japan’s government is heeding a key message from last year’s Tohoku earthquake and tsunami: the underwater faults that encircle the country can unleash much greater devastation than previously anticipated.
National and Global Security Issues