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The Peter Principle (9781568491615): Laurence J. Peter. Peter Principle. An illustration visualizing the Peter principle The Peter Principle is a concept in management theory in which the selection of a candidate for a position is based on the candidate's performance in his or her current role rather than on abilities relevant to the intended role.

Peter Principle

Thus, employees only stop being promoted once they can no longer perform effectively, and "managers rise to the level of their incompetence. " The principle is named after Laurence J. Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One's Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology Selected Article © 1999 by the American Psychological Association For personal use only--not for distribution December 1999 Vol. 77, No. 6, 1121-1134 Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One's Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments Justin Kruger and David Dunning Department of Psychology Cornell University.

Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One's Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments

Dunning–Kruger effect. The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias wherein unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly assessing their ability to be much higher than is accurate.

Dunning–Kruger effect

This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their ineptitude. Conversely, highly skilled individuals tend to underestimate their relative competence, erroneously assuming that tasks which are easy for them are also easy for others.[1] Research Enterprise. Why is innovation in innovation management so difficult?

Research Enterprise

One explanation that has been developing in my mind involves what I call the “bozonet”. Ignorance Demotivator. Article 60- Beware of Skilled Incompetence. #60 from R&D Innovator Volume 2, Number 10 October 1993 Beware of Skilled Incompetence by Chris Argyris, Ph.D.

Article 60- Beware of Skilled Incompetence

Dr. Argyris is James Bryant Conant Professor of Education and Organizational Behavior at the Harvard Graduate School of Business. He has published numerous books, including Overcoming Organizational Defensive Routines (Allyn-Bacon, Needham, MA, 1990) and Knowledge for Action, (Jossey-Bass, San Francisco, CA, 1993). Is a manager who always gets along with others an asset to the company? Vogon. The Vogons are a fictional alien race from the planet Vogsphere in The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy—initially a BBC Radio series by Douglas Adams—who are responsible for the destruction of the Earth, in order to facilitate an intergalactic highway construction project.


Vogons are slug-like but vaguely humanoid, are bulkier than humans, and have green skin. Vogons are described as “one of the most unpleasant races in the galaxy—not actually evil, but bad-tempered, bureaucratic, officious and callous", and having "as much sex appeal as a road accident" as well as being the authors of "the third worst poetry in the universe". They are employed as the galactic government's bureaucrats. Description[edit] Strictly Ballroom. Strictly Ballroom is a 1992 Australian romantic comedy film directed and co-written by Baz Luhrmann and produced by M&A Productions, Miramax, and Touchstone Pictures (for the direct-to-video release in North America).

Strictly Ballroom

The film is the first installment in The Red Curtain Trilogy, Luhrmann's trilogy of theatre-motif-related films; the follow-ups were Romeo + Juliet and Moulin Rouge!. The film was based on a stage play originally developed by Luhrmann and others while he was studying at the National Institute of Dramatic Arts in Sydney in the mid-1980s, and which was later expanded for a successful season at Sydney's Wharf Theatre in 1988. Plot[edit] Strictly Ballroom tells the story of an Australian ballroom dancer, Scott Hastings (Paul Mercurio), and his struggle to establish his personal style of dance in his way to win the Pan-Pacific Grand Prix Dancing Championship.

Scott's steps are not strictly ballroom. Cast[edit] Style[edit] Production history[edit] Awards[edit] Music[edit] She's a witch! Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions (9780061353239): Dan Ariely. Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in the Markets and in Life (9781587990717): Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Simpson's paradox. Simpson's paradox for continuous data: a positive trend appears for two separate groups (blue and red), a negative trend (black, dashed) appears when the data are combined.

Simpson's paradox

In probability and statistics, Simpson's paradox, or the Yule–Simpson effect, is a paradox in which a trend that appears in different groups of data disappears when these groups are combined, and the reverse trend appears for the aggregate data. This result is often encountered in social-science and medical-science statistics,[1] and is particularly confounding when frequency data are unduly given causal interpretations.[2] Simpson's Paradox disappears when causal relations are brought into consideration. Many statisticians believe that the mainstream public should be informed of the counter-intuitive results in statistics such as Simpson's paradox.[3][4] Edward H. Examples[edit] Kidney stone treatment[edit] Outliers: The Story of Success (9780316017923): Malcolm Gladwell.

AbileneParadoxJerryHarvey.pdf (application/pdf Object) Send in the Clowns. Meaning of title[edit]

Send in the Clowns

Stealers Wheel Lyrics, Stuck in the Middle With You Lyrics. By Stealers Wheel.

Stealers Wheel Lyrics, Stuck in the Middle With You Lyrics

From Reservoir Dogs. Well I don't know why I came here tonight, I got the feeling that something ain't right, I'm so scared in case I fall off my chair, And I'm wondering how I'll get down the stairs, Clowns to the left of me, Jokers to the right, here I am, Stuck in the middle with you. Austin Lounge Lizards - "The most laughable band in show business" Frankfurt, H.G.: On Bullshit. One of the most salient features of our culture is that there is so much bullshit. Everyone knows this. Each of us contributes his share. But we tend to take the situation for granted. Most people are rather confident of their ability to recognize bullshit and to avoid being taken in by it. The Management Myth: Why the Experts Keep Getting it Wrong (9780393065534): Matthew Stewart.

I'm Not Anti-Business, I'm Anti-Idiot [Dilbert] (9780836251821): Scott Adams. Incompetence Demotivator. How The Mighty Fall: And Why Some Companies Never Give In (9780977326419): Jim Collins. The Five Dysfunctions of a Team, Manga Edition: An Illustrated Leadership Fable (9780470823385): Patrick M. Lencioni, Kensuke Okabayashi. Seattle. Meetings, Bloody Meetings: DVD & CD-ROM. Key Features 30-minute DVD video Video purchase comes with DVD, meeting break video, course leader’s guide, participant worksheets on disk, Powerpoint slides/OHPs on disk and self-study workbook on disk, English or French versions. Product Description. Meetings Demotivator. Why Most Published Research Findings Are False.

Public Library of Science Abstract Summary There is increasing concern that most current published research findings are false. The probability that a research claim is true may depend on study power and bias, the number of other studies on the same question, and, importantly, the ratio of true to no relationships among the relationships probed in each scientific field. In this framework, a research finding is less likely to be true when the studies conducted in a field are smaller; when effect sizes are smaller; when there is a greater number and lesser preselection of tested relationships; where there is greater flexibility in designs, definitions, outcomes, and analytical modes; when there is greater financial and other interest and prejudice; and when more teams are involved in a scientific field in chase of statistical significance.

Published research findings are sometimes refuted by subsequent evidence, with ensuing confusion and disappointment. Bias. Watts Up With That? Climate Audit. Climategate Document Database : Alleged CRU Email. Aliens Cause Global Warming: A Caltech Lecture by Michael Crichton. "As far as we know, Michael Crichton, author of Jurassic Park, is an evolutionist, however many of his crticisms of mainstream science and it's political, bullying nature are the same ones we've tried to make on these pages...webmaster Caltech Michelin Lecture January 17, 2003 My topic today sounds humorous but unfortunately I am serious.

I am going to argue that extraterrestrials lie behind global warming. State of Fear (9780066214139): Michael Crichton. All the Junk That's Fit to Debunk.